與中國貿易交易後，2025年美國衰退的機率低於50％

下注贊成題為“ 2025年美國衰退？”的博彩合同。在基於Polygon POL/USD的平台上，過去24小時內從52％下降到49％。

The odds of a U.S. recession in 2025 dipped below the 50% mark on decentralized prediction market Polymarket after the U.S. announced a trade deal with China on Sunday.

在美國宣布與中國達成的貿易協定之後，2025年美國衰退的機率下降到了分散的預測市場多人市場的50％。

Bets in favor of a betting contract titled “US recession in 2025?” decreased slightly from 52% to 49% in the last 24 hours on the Polygon (CRYPTO: MATIC)-based platform.

下注贊成題為“ 2025年美國衰退？”的博彩合同。在多邊形（加密：Matic）平台上，在過去24小時內，在過去24小時內從52％略微下降到49％。

As of press time, bookmakers have wagered more than $5 million on the bet. The outcome will resolve to “Yes” if the economy experiences another quarter of negative growth or if the National Bureau of Economic Research declares a recession before January 1, 2026.

截至發稿時，博彩公司在賭注上下注了超過500萬美元。如果經濟經歷了另一季度的負面增長，或者國家經濟研究局宣佈在2026年1月1日之前宣布經濟衰退，則結果將決定“是”。

Polymarket, which enables users to purchase “Yes” and “No” shares using USD Coin (USDC), is not accessible to U.S. residents due to regulatory constraints.

由於監管限制，美國居民無法使用Polymarket，它使用戶可以使用USD Coin（USDC）購買“是”和“否”股份。

The slight decrease in probability follows the announcement of a trade deal between the U.S. and China in Geneva on Sunday after high-level talks between the two countries.

在兩國之間的高級會談之後，週日在日內瓦宣布了一項貿易協議之後，概率的略有下降。

President Donald Trump also mentioned that “great progress” was made during the discussions and that a “total reset” could be anticipated.

唐納德·特朗普總統還提到，在討論期間取得了“巨大的進步”，可以預期“完全重置”。

In response to the trade deal announcement, stock futures showed gains, with Dow Jones Futures increasing by over 400 points on Sunday evening.

為了回應貿易交易公告，股票期貨顯示出收益，道瓊斯的期貨在周日晚上增加了400多分。

Trump's wide-ranging tariff measures have led to volatility in financial markets, contributed to macroeconomic uncertainty and threatened product shortages.

特朗普的廣泛關稅措施導致金融市場的波動，導致宏觀經濟不確定性和威脅產品短缺。

The U.S. economy contracted by 0.3% in the first quarter, marking the first instance of quarterly shrinkage since the second quarter of 2022.

美國經濟在第一季度收縮了0.3％，標誌著自2022年第二季度以來季度收縮的第一次實例。