与中国贸易交易后，2025年美国衰退的几率低于50％

下注赞成题为“ 2025年美国衰退？”的博彩合同。在基于Polygon POL/USD的平台上，过去24小时内从52％下降到49％。

The odds of a U.S. recession in 2025 dipped below the 50% mark on decentralized prediction market Polymarket after the U.S. announced a trade deal with China on Sunday.

在美国宣布与中国达成的贸易协定之后，2025年美国衰退的几率下降到了分散的预测市场多人市场的50％。

Bets in favor of a betting contract titled “US recession in 2025?” decreased slightly from 52% to 49% in the last 24 hours on the Polygon (CRYPTO: MATIC)-based platform.

下注赞成题为“ 2025年美国衰退？”的博彩合同。在多边形（加密：Matic）平台上，在过去24小时内，在过去24小时内从52％略微下降到49％。

As of press time, bookmakers have wagered more than $5 million on the bet. The outcome will resolve to “Yes” if the economy experiences another quarter of negative growth or if the National Bureau of Economic Research declares a recession before January 1, 2026.

截至发稿时，博彩公司在赌注上下注了超过500万美元。如果经济经历了另一季度的负面增长，或者国家经济研究局宣布在2026年1月1日之前宣布经济衰退，则结果将决定“是”。

Polymarket, which enables users to purchase “Yes” and “No” shares using USD Coin (USDC), is not accessible to U.S. residents due to regulatory constraints.

由于监管限制，美国居民无法使用Polymarket，它使用户可以使用USD Coin（USDC）购买“是”和“否”股份。

The slight decrease in probability follows the announcement of a trade deal between the U.S. and China in Geneva on Sunday after high-level talks between the two countries.

在两国之间的高级会谈之后，周日在日内瓦宣布了一项贸易协议之后，概率的略有下降。

President Donald Trump also mentioned that “great progress” was made during the discussions and that a “total reset” could be anticipated.

唐纳德·特朗普总统还提到，在讨论期间取得了“巨大的进步”，可以预期“完全重置”。

In response to the trade deal announcement, stock futures showed gains, with Dow Jones Futures increasing by over 400 points on Sunday evening.

为了回应贸易交易公告，股票期货显示出收益，道琼斯的期货在周日晚上增加了400多分。

Trump's wide-ranging tariff measures have led to volatility in financial markets, contributed to macroeconomic uncertainty and threatened product shortages.

特朗普的广泛关税措施导致金融市场的波动，导致宏观经济不确定性和威胁产品短缺。

The U.S. economy contracted by 0.3% in the first quarter, marking the first instance of quarterly shrinkage since the second quarter of 2022.

美国经济在第一季度收缩了0.3％，标志着自2022年第二季度以来季度收缩的第一次实例。