10 個被誤導的加密理論和信念最終被證明是錯誤的

加密產業已經看到了相當多的預測和理論，它們的崩潰程度比編碼不良的智慧合約還要嚴重。從對中本聰的無休止的追求，到加里·詹斯勒（Gary Gensler）對加密貨幣有利的可笑錯誤想法，以下是一些加密理論和信念，結果證明它們充其量是被誤導的。

10 crypto theories that turned out to be wrong

10 個被證明是錯誤的加密貨幣理論

The crypto industry has seen its fair share of forecasts and theories that have crashed harder than a poorly coded smart contract.

加密產業已經看到了相當多的預測和理論，它們的崩潰程度比編碼不良的智慧合約還要嚴重。

From the never-ending quest to dox Satoshi Nakamoto to the laughably wrong idea that Gary Gensler would be good for crypto, here are some crypto theories and beliefs that turned out to be misguided at best.

從對中本聰的無休止的追求，到加里·詹斯勒（Gary Gensler）對加密貨幣有利的可笑錯誤想法，以下是一些加密理論和信念，結果證明它們充其量是被誤導的。

1. Peter Todd is Satoshi

1. 彼得‧托德是中本聰

Every few months, someone comes forward claiming to have definitive proof of Nakamoto’s identity — or worse, claiming to be the creator of Bitcoin themselves. Yet, time and again, these “discoveries” unravel under scrutiny, revealing more about the allure of the mystery than any solid evidence.

每隔幾個月，就會有人站出來聲稱擁有中本聰身分的明確證據——或者更糟的是，聲稱自己是比特幣的創造者。然而，這些「發現」一次又一次地在仔細審視下被揭開，比任何確鑿的證據更揭示了這個謎團的魅力。

We’ve seen faked documents, misinterpreted cryptographic signatures, and linguistic analyses attempting to trace Satoshi’s origins — all leading to red herrings and inevitable public retractions. Some think the NSA is Satoshi and invented Bitcoin as a honey trap for criminals, while others tip Elon Musk or Snowcrash author Neal Stephenson.

我們已經看到了偽造的文件、誤解的密碼簽名以及試圖追蹤中本聰起源的語言分析——所有這些都導致​​了轉移注意力和不可避免的公開撤回。有些人認為美國國家安全局是中本聰，並發明比特幣作為犯罪分子的美人計，而另一些人則向埃隆馬斯克或 Snowcrash 的作者尼爾史蒂芬森提出建議。

In other words, pretty much anyone who was older than 15 in 2008 and had an internet connection has been suggested as a possible Satoshi.

換句話說，幾乎所有 2008 年年滿 15 歲並能連接網路的人都被認為是可能的中本聰。

The latest round of rumors came thanks to this week’s HBO documentary, which named Bitcoin developer Peter Todd as the creator of Bitcoin. The doco made a lot of hay from some interesting circumstantial evidence but few people think it’s cleared up the mystery of who Satoshi is.

最新一輪的謠言源於本週的 HBO 紀錄片，該紀錄片將比特幣開發人員 Peter Todd 稱為比特幣的創造者。這位 doco 從一些有趣的間接證據中獲得了很多乾草，但很少有人認為它已經解開了中本聰是誰的謎團。

Conclusively proving Todd isn’t Satoshi isn’t easy, but the evidence for believing he is Satoshi is not particularly compelling.

最後證明托德不是中本聰並不容易，但相信他是中本聰的證據並不是特別令人信服。

In the lead-up to HBO’s reveal, Polymarket bettors speculated on who HBO might name, with guesses ranging from the late cryptographer Len Sassaman to computer scientist Nick Szabo. 

在 HBO 揭曉之前，Polymarket 投注者猜測 HBO 可能會提名誰，猜測範圍從已故密碼學家倫·薩薩曼 (Len Sassaman) 到計算機科學家尼克·薩博 (Nick Szabo)。

In the end, HBO named Todd, who denied the claim … but admitted to being Craig Wright.

最終，HBO 點名了托德，托德否認了這一說法……但承認自己就是克雷格·賴特。

2. Gary Gensler’s crypto knowledge means he’s good for Bitcoin

2. Gary Gensler 的加密知識意味著他適合比特幣

Gary Gensler, once heralded as a beacon of hope by the crypto community, assumed his role as chairman of the United States Securities and Exchange Commission on April 17, 2021. 

曾被加密貨幣界譽為希望燈塔的加里‧詹斯勒 (Gary Gensler) 於 2021 年 4 月 17 日就任美國證券交易委員會主席。

Gensler’s appointment was initially met with enthusiasm, as industry participants expressed relief to have an MIT blockchain professor at the helm who seemed to genuinely understand cryptocurrency. How naive we were.

Gensler 的任命最初受到了熱烈的歡迎，因為行業參與者對由一位似乎真正了解加密貨幣的麻省理工學院區塊鏈教授來掌舵感到欣慰。我們當時是多麼天真。

Turns out, Professor Gensler was less about blockchain buddy-ness and more about rulebook thumping.

事實證明，詹斯勒教授不太關心區塊鏈夥伴關係，而更關心規則手冊的重擊。

If Donald Trump gets elected, he’s promised to remove Gensler before the SEC chairman’s term expires in 2026. If that happens his crypto legacy will have been marked by a contentious regulation-by-enforcement approach that targeted major industry players and has often been blamed for driving key talent overseas.

如果唐納德·川普當選，他將承諾在2026 年SEC 主席任期屆滿之前罷免Gensler。 。

Despite his best efforts, Gensler’s tenure also saw the approval of the first spot Bitcoin exchange-traded funds in the US, showing no one man can hold back the tide of progress.

儘管做出了最大的努力，Gensler 的任期內也見證了美國第一個現貨比特幣交易所交易基金的批准，這表明沒有人可以阻擋進步的浪潮。

3. CryptoKitties and NFTs are the future: The metaverse is coming

3. CryptoKitties 和 NFT 是未來：元宇宙即將到來

Launched in November 2017, CryptoKitties quickly became a cultural phenomenon and introduced the concept of non-fungible tokens (NFT) to the broader blockchain community.

CryptoKitties 於 2017 年 11 月推出，迅速成為一種文化現象，並將不可替代代幣 (NFT) 的概念引入了更廣泛的區塊鏈社群。

The CryptoKitties frenzy saw investors chasing these digital felines like real-life treasure, but the excitement quickly faded.

加密貓的狂熱讓投資者像追逐現實生活中的寶藏一樣追逐這些數位貓科動物，但這種興奮很快就消退了。

The most expensive CryptoKitty was purchased for 600 ETH in September 2019, at the time valued at around $172,000. This was a defining moment that showcased NFTs can be more than just JPEGs for nerds.

最昂貴的 CryptoKitty 於 2019 年 9 月以 600 ETH 的價格購買，當時價值約為 172,000 美元。這是一個決定性的時刻，它展示了 NFT 不僅僅是書呆子們的 JPEG。

Today, in 2024, 600 ETH is roughly valued at $1.5 million, while the average CryptoKitty is valued at $21.

如今，到 2024 年，600 個 ETH 的價值約為 150 萬美元，而 CryptoKitty 的平均價值為 21 美元。

Bored Ape Yacht Club followed and was once a status symbol talked up by the world’s top stars like rap legend Eminem and NBA star Stephen Curry. As of Oct. 9, the floor price of Bored Apes was down to 10.83 ETH, from a peak of 153 ETH.

無聊猿遊艇俱樂部緊隨其後，一度成為饒舌傳奇人物艾米納姆和 NBA 球星史蒂芬庫裡等世界頂級巨星津津樂道的身份象徵。截至 10 月 9 日，Bored Apes 的底價從高峰 153 ETH 降至 10.83 ETH。

For a while there in 2021, digital ownership via NFTs was said to usher in the age of the metaverse — a theory that turned into a full-blown hype when Facebook changed its name to Meta and burned billions of dollars researching the concept.

2021 年，有一段時間，透過NFT 實現的數位所有權據說將迎來元宇宙時代——當Facebook 更名為Meta 並花費數十億美元研究這一概念時，這一理論變成了一場全面的炒作。

The slow adoption of VR hardware and the end of the NFT bubble, however, has seen interest in the metaverse fade… although some true believers still think it will come about in a longer timeframe.

然而，隨著 VR 硬體的緩慢採用和 NFT 泡沫的終結，人們對虛擬宇宙的興趣逐漸消退……儘管一些真正的信徒仍然認為它會在更長的時間內出現。

4. Sam Bankman-Fried is a hero who will take crypto mainstream

4. Sam Bankman-Fried 是一位將加密貨幣帶入主流的英雄

Sam Bankman-Fried was once the crypto community’s white knight, having been handed the keys to rescue SushiSwap and swooping in to bail out companies during the Terra-Luna and Three Arrows Capital fallout. 

Sam Bankman-Fried 曾經是加密貨幣社區的白衣騎士，他曾獲得拯救 SushiSwap 的鑰匙，並在 Terra-Luna 和 Three Arrows Capital 事件期間出手救助公司。

His platform, FTX, was hailed as innovative and leading the way

他的平台 FTX 被譽為創新和領先