10 个被误导的加密理论和信仰最终被证明是错误的

加密行业已经看到了相当多的预测和理论，它们的崩溃程度比编码不良的智能合约还要严重。从对中本聪的无休止的追求，到加里·詹斯勒（Gary Gensler）对加密货币有利的可笑错误想法，以下是一些加密理论和信念，结果证明它们充其量是被误导的。

10 crypto theories that turned out to be wrong

10 个被证明是错误的加密货币理论

The crypto industry has seen its fair share of forecasts and theories that have crashed harder than a poorly coded smart contract.

加密行业已经看到了相当多的预测和理论，它们的崩溃程度比编码不良的智能合约还要严重。

From the never-ending quest to dox Satoshi Nakamoto to the laughably wrong idea that Gary Gensler would be good for crypto, here are some crypto theories and beliefs that turned out to be misguided at best.

从对中本聪的无休止的追求，到加里·詹斯勒（Gary Gensler）对加密货币有利的可笑错误想法，以下是一些加密理论和信念，结果证明它们充其量是被误导的。

1. Peter Todd is Satoshi

1. 彼得·托德是中本聪

Every few months, someone comes forward claiming to have definitive proof of Nakamoto’s identity — or worse, claiming to be the creator of Bitcoin themselves. Yet, time and again, these “discoveries” unravel under scrutiny, revealing more about the allure of the mystery than any solid evidence.

每隔几个月，就会有人站出来声称拥有中本聪身份的明确证据——或者更糟糕的是，声称自己是比特币的创造者。然而，这些“发现”一次又一次地在仔细审视下被揭开，比任何确凿的证据更多地揭示了这个谜团的魅力。

We’ve seen faked documents, misinterpreted cryptographic signatures, and linguistic analyses attempting to trace Satoshi’s origins — all leading to red herrings and inevitable public retractions. Some think the NSA is Satoshi and invented Bitcoin as a honey trap for criminals, while others tip Elon Musk or Snowcrash author Neal Stephenson.

我们已经看到了伪造的文件、误解的密码签名以及试图追踪中本聪起源的语言分析——所有这些都导致了转移注意力和不可避免的公开撤回。一些人认为美国国家安全局是中本聪，并发明比特币作为犯罪分子的美人计，而另一些人则向埃隆·马斯克或 Snowcrash 的作者尼尔·斯蒂芬森提出建议。

In other words, pretty much anyone who was older than 15 in 2008 and had an internet connection has been suggested as a possible Satoshi.

换句话说，几乎所有 2008 年年满 15 岁并能连接互联网的人都被认为是可能的中本聪。

The latest round of rumors came thanks to this week’s HBO documentary, which named Bitcoin developer Peter Todd as the creator of Bitcoin. The doco made a lot of hay from some interesting circumstantial evidence but few people think it’s cleared up the mystery of who Satoshi is.

最新一轮的谣言源于本周的 HBO 纪录片，该纪录片将比特币开发商 Peter Todd 称为比特币的创造者。这位 doco 从一些有趣的间接证据中获得了很多干草，但很少有人认为它已经解开了中本聪是谁的谜团。

Conclusively proving Todd isn’t Satoshi isn’t easy, but the evidence for believing he is Satoshi is not particularly compelling.

最终证明托德不是中本聪并不容易，但相信他是中本聪的证据并不是特别令人信服。

In the lead-up to HBO’s reveal, Polymarket bettors speculated on who HBO might name, with guesses ranging from the late cryptographer Len Sassaman to computer scientist Nick Szabo. 

在 HBO 揭晓之前，Polymarket 投注者猜测 HBO 可能会提名谁，猜测范围从已故密码学家伦·萨萨曼 (Len Sassaman) 到计算机科学家尼克·萨博 (Nick Szabo)。

In the end, HBO named Todd, who denied the claim … but admitted to being Craig Wright.

最终，HBO 点名了托德，托德否认了这一说法……但承认自己就是克雷格·赖特。

2. Gary Gensler’s crypto knowledge means he’s good for Bitcoin

2. Gary Gensler 的加密知识意味着他适合比特币

Gary Gensler, once heralded as a beacon of hope by the crypto community, assumed his role as chairman of the United States Securities and Exchange Commission on April 17, 2021. 

曾被加密货币界誉为希望灯塔的加里·詹斯勒 (Gary Gensler) 于 2021 年 4 月 17 日就任美国证券交易委员会主席。

Gensler’s appointment was initially met with enthusiasm, as industry participants expressed relief to have an MIT blockchain professor at the helm who seemed to genuinely understand cryptocurrency. How naive we were.

Gensler 的任命最初受到了热烈的欢迎，因为行业参与者对由一位似乎真正了解加密货币的麻省理工学院区块链教授来掌舵感到欣慰。我们当时是多么天真啊。

Turns out, Professor Gensler was less about blockchain buddy-ness and more about rulebook thumping.

事实证明，詹斯勒教授不太关心区块链伙伴关系，而更多地关心规则手册的重击。

If Donald Trump gets elected, he’s promised to remove Gensler before the SEC chairman’s term expires in 2026. If that happens his crypto legacy will have been marked by a contentious regulation-by-enforcement approach that targeted major industry players and has often been blamed for driving key talent overseas.

如果唐纳德·特朗普当选，他将承诺在 2026 年 SEC 主席任期届满之前罢免 Gensler。如果这种情况发生，他的加密货币遗产将因针对主要行业参与者的有争议的执法监管方式而受到指责。推动关键人才海外发展。

Despite his best efforts, Gensler’s tenure also saw the approval of the first spot Bitcoin exchange-traded funds in the US, showing no one man can hold back the tide of progress.

尽管做出了最大的努力，Gensler 的任期内也见证了美国第一个现货比特币交易所交易基金的批准，这表明没有人可以阻挡进步的浪潮。

3. CryptoKitties and NFTs are the future: The metaverse is coming

3. CryptoKitties 和 NFT 是未来：元宇宙即将到来

Launched in November 2017, CryptoKitties quickly became a cultural phenomenon and introduced the concept of non-fungible tokens (NFT) to the broader blockchain community.

CryptoKitties 于 2017 年 11 月推出，迅速成为一种文化现象，并将不可替代代币 (NFT) 的概念引入了更广泛的区块链社区。

The CryptoKitties frenzy saw investors chasing these digital felines like real-life treasure, but the excitement quickly faded.

加密猫的狂热让投资者像追逐现实生活中的宝藏一样追逐这些数字猫科动物，但这种兴奋很快就消退了。

The most expensive CryptoKitty was purchased for 600 ETH in September 2019, at the time valued at around $172,000. This was a defining moment that showcased NFTs can be more than just JPEGs for nerds.

最昂贵的 CryptoKitty 于 2019 年 9 月以 600 ETH 的价格购买，当时价值约为 172,000 美元。这是一个决定性的时刻，它展示了 NFT 不仅仅是书呆子们的 JPEG。

Today, in 2024, 600 ETH is roughly valued at $1.5 million, while the average CryptoKitty is valued at $21.

如今，到 2024 年，600 个 ETH 的价值大约为 150 万美元，而 CryptoKitty 的平均价值为 21 美元。

Bored Ape Yacht Club followed and was once a status symbol talked up by the world’s top stars like rap legend Eminem and NBA star Stephen Curry. As of Oct. 9, the floor price of Bored Apes was down to 10.83 ETH, from a peak of 153 ETH.

无聊猿游艇俱乐部紧随其后，一度成为说唱传奇人物埃米纳姆和 NBA 球星史蒂芬·库里等世界顶级巨星津津乐道的身份象征。截至 10 月 9 日，Bored Apes 的底价从峰值 153 ETH 降至 10.83 ETH。

For a while there in 2021, digital ownership via NFTs was said to usher in the age of the metaverse — a theory that turned into a full-blown hype when Facebook changed its name to Meta and burned billions of dollars researching the concept.

2021 年，有一段时间，通过 NFT 实现的数字所有权据说将迎来元宇宙时代——当 Facebook 更名为 Meta 并花费数十亿美元研究这一概念时，这一理论变成了一场全面的炒作。

The slow adoption of VR hardware and the end of the NFT bubble, however, has seen interest in the metaverse fade… although some true believers still think it will come about in a longer timeframe.

然而，随着 VR 硬件的缓慢采用和 NFT 泡沫的终结，人们对虚拟宇宙的兴趣逐渐消退……尽管一些真正的信徒仍然认为它会在更长的时间内出现。

4. Sam Bankman-Fried is a hero who will take crypto mainstream

4. Sam Bankman-Fried 是一位将加密货币带入主流的英雄

Sam Bankman-Fried was once the crypto community’s white knight, having been handed the keys to rescue SushiSwap and swooping in to bail out companies during the Terra-Luna and Three Arrows Capital fallout. 

Sam Bankman-Fried 曾经是加密货币社区的白衣骑士，他曾获得拯救 SushiSwap 的钥匙，并在 Terra-Luna 和 Three Arrows Capital 事件期间出手救助公司。

His platform, FTX, was hailed as innovative and leading the way

他的平台 FTX 被誉为创新和领先