US JOLTS報告顯示，三月的工作空缺是四年來最低的

根據美國勞工部4月29日的努力報告，三月的工作空缺是四年來最低的。列出了720萬個職位空缺，少於預測750萬。此外，自2020年1月以來，消費者的信心達到了其歷史上的最低水平。

According to the latest JOLTS report by the U.S. Labor Department, March job openings came in at 7.2 million, the lowest in four years and exceeding economists' expectations of 7.5 million. Consumer confidence also hit a seven-year low in April, according to the Conference Board.

根據美國勞工部的最新震撼報告，三月的工作空缺為720萬，是四年來最低的，超出了經濟學家的期望為750萬。會議委員會稱，消費者的信心在4月也達到了七年低點。

Typically, stimulus measures, including the possibility of a Fed rate cut, tend to increase market liquidity. This raises the question of how this data will affect the crypto market and Bitcoin price in May.

通常，刺激措施，包括降低美聯儲率的可能性，傾向於增加市場流動性。這就提出了一個問題，即這些數據將如何影響5月的加密市場和比特幣價格。

Past Data Shows Delayed but Positive Impact on Bitcoin

過去的數據顯示對比特幣的延遲但積極影響

Historical data reveals that markets often react with a delay. Between January and June, when job openings and consumer sentiment dropped, the Bitcoin price remained in the $53,000 to $66,000 range. However, it surged more than 60% by October, surpassing $100,000. This suggests that while reports like JOLTS may indicate worrying trends, investors usually wait for signals of future growth before making significant moves.

歷史數據表明，市場通常會延遲反應。在一月至六月之間，當工作空缺和消費者情緒下降時，比特幣價格仍在53,000美元至66,000美元之間。但是，到10月，它飆升了60％以上，超過了100,000美元。這表明，諸如震撼之類的報告可能表明令人擔憂的趨勢，但投資者通常會等待未來增長的信號，然後再採取重大行動。

The market tends to respond once confidence improves. As seen before, “it took more than 105 days for this effect to show in the cryptocurrency market.” This highlights the importance of a long-term vision in navigating the market's response to economic indicators.

一旦信心提高，市場往往會做出反應。如前所述，“在加密貨幣市場中，這種效果花了105天以上的時間。”這凸顯了長期願景在瀏覽市場對經濟指標的反應方面的重要性。

Repeating Patterns Could Offer Hints for 2025

重複模式可以提供2025年的提示

This isn't the first time poor labor and confidence data have preceded a crypto surge. In 2023, a similar dip occurred between January and June. During the next four months, Bitcoin fell 18% before commencing its ascent again. The JOLTS report then hinted at recovery, and by October, Bitcoin experienced a 45% gain. A similar story unfolded in early 2020 after the COVID lockdowns. Despite a short-term fall to $4,000, Bitcoin reached $19,700 by the year's end.

這不是第一次勞動力和信心數據之前的加密貨幣激增。在2023年，一月至六月之間發生了類似的下降。在接下來的四個月中，比特幣在再次上升之前下跌了18％。然後，震動報告暗示了恢復，到10月，比特幣獲得了45％的收益。共同鎖定後，在2020年初展開了一個類似的故事。儘管短期降至4,000美元，但到年底，比特幣達到了19,700美元。

If we follow the same pattern, improved indicators after April 2025 might mean another rally by July, assuming the labor market and consumer sentiment show signs of recovery.

如果我們遵循相同的模式，則假設勞動力市場和消費者情緒顯示出恢復的跡象，那麼2025年4月以後的改進指標可能意味著在7月舉行一次集會。

Why the JOLTS Report Matters More Than Investors Think

為什麼震動報告比投資者認為的重要

The JOLTS data does more than list job vacancies. It provides insight into worker confidence. In March, job openings decreased by 288,000 to 7,192 million, and February's data was revised downward. The quit rate, which economists use to measure worker confidence, rose slightly to 2.1%. Layoffs also decreased, and job loss incidence fell to 1.0%.

震動數據不僅僅是列出職位空缺。它提供了對工人信心的見解。 3月，職位空缺減少了288,000，至71.92億，而2月的數據被修改了。經濟學家用來衡量工人信心的退出率略有上升到2.1％。裁員也有所減少，失業發病率下降至1.0％。

Chief Fixed Income Strategist at Charles Schwab, Kathy Jones, mentioned, "The ratio of job openings to unemployed individuals dropped to 1.0, matching its four-year low." Many financial experts highlighted this point after the JOLTS data was released.

查爾斯·施瓦布（Charles Schwab）的首席固定收益戰略家凱西·瓊斯（Kathy Jones）提到：“職位空缺與失業者的比率下降到1.0，與其四年低點相匹配。”在發布JOLTS數據後，許多財務專家強調了這一點。

JOLTS (Job Openings and Turnover Survey) showed a decline in openings month to month. However, the ratio of openings to unemployment is still above 1.0. pic.twitter.com/zdRdM6R59p

JOLTS（職位空缺和營業額調查）顯示，每月開放量下降。但是，空缺與失業率的比率仍高於1.0。 pic.twitter.com/zdrdm6r59p

Is a Fed Rate Cut Coming? Experts Weigh In

美聯儲削減稅率即將到來嗎？專家體重

Jerome Powell may take action if conditions worsen. "The ratio of job openings to unemployed individuals dropped to 1.0, matching its four-year low," said Jones. At the same time, Treasury Secretary Scott Bessent confirmed that "the administration is holding talks with several partners and plans to use tariff revenue to fund the ITA." A Polymarket forecast indicates an 89% chance of rate cuts later in 2025.

如果條件惡化，杰羅姆·鮑威爾（Jerome Powell）可能會採取行動。瓊斯說：“職位空缺與失業者的比率下降到1.0，與其四年低點相匹配。”同時，財政部長斯科特·貝斯特（Scott Bessent）確認：“政府正在與幾個合作夥伴舉行會談，併計劃利用關稅收入來資助ITA。”聚合物的預測表明，在2025年後期，降低率的機會降低了89％。

These moves could ease economic conditions and provide support for asset prices, particularly in the crypto market, where liquidity plays a major role in driving growth.

這些舉動可以緩解經濟狀況，並為資產價格提供支持，尤其是在加密貨幣市場中，流動性在推動增長方面起著重要作用。

Pro-Crypto Sentiment and Policy Could Further Boost Bitcoin

親克賴普託的情緒和政策可以進一步提高比特幣

Some experts believe that the crypto market development is being influenced by the labor market downturn and potential Fed actions.

一些專家認為，加密市場發展受勞動力市場低迷和潛在的美聯儲行動的影響。

According to financial analyst Ted, "Rate cuts and quantitative easing by Q4" could create a "supportive economic environment under a pro-crypto administration." He mentioned Donald Trump's positive stance on digital assets and Paul Atkins's role as SEC Chair.

根據財務分析師TED的說法，“第四季度的削減稅率和量化寬鬆”可能會在職業統治下創造“支持性的經濟環境”。他提到唐納德·特朗普（Donald Trump）對數字資產的積極立場以及保羅·阿特金斯（Paul Atkins）擔任SEC主席的角色。

Ted also highlighted the likely approval of XRP ETFs and said that "global regulatory clarity" might further accelerate adoption. If these developments align with improving macro data and a Fed rate cut, the Bitcoin price could aim for $140,000 by October 2025.

TED還強調了XRP ETF的可能批准，並表示“全球監管清晰度”可能會進一步加速採用。如果這些發展與改善宏觀數據和降低美聯儲降低速度相吻合，則比特幣價格可能會在2025年10月之前以140,000美元的價格目標。

In summary, the JOLTS report has brought attention to the declining job openings and hiring activity in the U.S., while consumer confidence also hit a seven-year low. These trends could influence the crypto market and Bitcoin price in the coming months. As the market reacts to these indicators and anticipates potential Fed actions, the crypto sphere will be closely watching for any shifts in liquidity and economic pressure.

總而言之，《震撼力》的報告引起了人們對美國職位空缺和招聘活動不斷下降的關注，而消費者的信心也達到了七年的低點。這些趨勢可能會影響未來幾個月的加密市場和比特幣價格。當市場對這些指標做出反應並預期潛在的美聯儲行動時，加密貨幣領域將密切關注流動性和經濟壓力的任​​何轉變。

As always, it's crucial to conduct thorough research and consult with a financial advisor before making any investment decisions.

與往常一樣，在做出任何投資決策之前，進行徹底研究並諮詢財務顧問至關重要。