為什麼HEDERA（HBAR）在2025年可能不會達到1美元

赫德拉（Hedera）最近幾個月一直是最受關注的加密項目之一。分析師已經湧入了許多看漲的預測

Hedera (HBAR) has been a hot topic in recent months, with many analysts making bullish predictions. However, despite all the hype, the reality on the charts may tell a different story.

Hedera（HBAR）最近幾個月一直是一個熱門話題，許多分析師做出了看漲的預測。但是，儘管有所有炒作，但圖表上的現實可能會講另一個故事。

The HBAR price is still lagging, and 2025 has not been kind to holders so far. Many analysts are acting more like crypto cheerleaders than real observers of the market. If we go by their predictions, Hedera should be breaking new highs by now, and HBAR coin value should be making swimmers out of traders. But the opposite is true. We are halfway into 2025, and HBAR is trading well below where it started the year.

HBAR價格仍在落後，到目前為止，2025年對持有人並不友善。許多分析師的行為更像是加密啦啦隊，而不是真正的觀察者。如果我們按照他們的預測進行預測，那麼Hedera應該現在打破新的高點，而HBAR硬幣的價值應該使游泳者從交易者中脫穎而出。但是情況恰恰相反。我們已經進入2025年的一半，而HBAR的交易遠低於本年度的開始。

HBAR Price Has Underperformed in 2023

HBAR價格在2023年表現不佳

On January 1, 2025, Hedera was trading around $0.28. Now it is sitting closer to $0.16, down by about 40%. This kind of move wasn’t predicted by most analysts who were calling for a big upside. Instead of asking how to manage excess profits, many holders are wondering when the bleeding will stop.

2025年1月1日，Hedera的交易約為0.28美元。現在，它的價格接近0.16美元，下降了約40％。大多數呼籲優勢的分析師都沒有預測這種舉動。許多持有人沒有問如何管理多餘的利潤，而是想知道出血何時會停止。

This poor performance raises serious questions about the likelihood of HBAR hitting $1 in 2025. For that to happen from the current $0.16 level, the HBAR price would need to rise by about 525%. At first glance, that seems achievable in the crypto space where tokens can jump by over 1,000% in just a few weeks. Onyxcoin (XCN) for example, surged more than 1,500% within two weeks earlier this year.

這種糟糕的表現引起了關於HBAR在2025年達到1美元的可能性的嚴重疑問。為了使這從當前的0.16級別開始，HBAR價格將需要上漲約525％。乍一看，這在加密貨幣領域似乎是可以實現的，在加密貨幣領域，令牌在短短幾週內就可以增加1,000％以上。例如，Onyxcoin（XCN）在今年年初的兩週內飆升了1,500％以上。

However, HBAR’s current chart structure suggests a completely different direction. The price action is showing signs of weakness, and indicators suggest that more downside is possible before any potential reversal.

但是，HBAR的當前圖表結構提出了一個完全不同的方向。價格動作顯示出弱點的跡象，指標表明在任何潛在的逆轉之前可能會有更多的弊端。

Hedera’s Fundamentals: Still Solid, But Not Enough

Hedera的基本面：仍然很穩定，但還不夠

Hedera uses the Hashgraph consensus mechanism to enable fast, secure transactions. The network supports smart contracts, low fees, and fair transaction ordering. It is also backed by major corporate partners who sit on its governing council. These partners include Google, IBM, Boeing, and several others.

Hedera使用標籤共識機制來實現快速，安全的交易。該網絡支持智能合約，低費用和公平的交易訂購。它也得到了坐在理事委員會的主要公司合作夥伴的支持。這些合作夥伴包括Google，IBM，波音公司等。

From a technology and partnership standpoint, Hedera is impressive. The platform is being developed for real-world enterprise use cases including DeFi, NFTs, and supply chain tracking. Ongoing upgrades focus on speed, security, and usability. It’s even aligned with the ISO 20022 standard, giving it a potential edge for regulatory compliance and institutional adoption.

從技術和夥伴關係的角度來看，Hedera令人印象深刻。該平台正在針對現實世界中的企業用例開發，包括DEFI，NFTS和供應鏈跟踪。持續的升級專注於速度，安全性和可用性。它甚至與ISO 20022標准保持一致，使其具有監管合規性和機構採用的潛在優勢。

But despite these positives, they are not translating into upward momentum for the HBAR price. The broader crypto market trends, competition from other blockchain platforms, and hesitation from institutional players are still major hurdles.

但是，儘管有這些積極性，但它們並未以HBAR價格轉化為向上的動力。更廣泛的加密市場趨勢，其他區塊鏈平台的競爭以及機構參與者的猶豫仍然是重大障礙。

HBAR Price Pattern Signals Bearish Momentum

HBAR價格模式信號看跌勢頭

The current structure of the HBAR price is forming a descending triangle. This is a bearish pattern that often leads to a breakdown. The horizontal support level at around $0.12 has been tested several times. Each bounce has been weaker than the last, and the pattern of lower highs shows that buyer interest is fading.

HBAR價格的當前結構正在形成下降三角形。這是一種看跌模式，通常會導致崩潰。水平支撐級在0.12美元左右左右已進行了幾次測試。每次彈跳都比上一個彈跳弱，低點的模式表明，買方的興趣正在消失。

The triangle is closing in on its apex, and if the price breaks below the $0.12 level, the next likely support could be around $0.09 to $0.10. This suggests that there may still be more room to fall before any serious recovery attempt begins.

該三角形在其頂點上關閉，如果價格突破低於$ 0.12的水平，下一個可能的支持可能約為0.09美元至0.10美元。這表明，在開始進行任何認真的恢復嘗試之前，可能仍然有更多的空間掉落。

RSI and MACD Indicators Are Still Bearish

RSI和MACD指標仍然是看跌

The Relative Strength Index (RSI) is currently around 42.96. That is below the neutral level of 50 and suggests that bearish momentum is still dominating. The RSI has failed to break above 50 multiple times, and its most recent attempt stalled near 40. This type of move often happens before another leg downward. There’s also no bullish divergence on the RSI, which further confirms the weak momentum.

相對強度指數（RSI）目前約為42.96。這低於50的中性水平，這表明看跌動量仍在主導。 RSI未能多次突破50次，其最新嘗試停滯在40。這種舉動經常發生在另一隻腿下方。 RSI也沒有看漲的分歧，這進一步證實了弱勢勢頭。

The MACD is showing the same weakness. The MACD line is only slightly above the signal line and does not show real strength. The histogram is shrinking and looks ready to turn red again. This indicates that the recent bounce is losing steam. There was a bearish crossover in early May, and the MACD has not shown convincing strength since then. The last significant bullish wave was back in late 2024, but it did not hold.

MACD顯示出相同的弱點。 MACD線僅略高於信號線，並未顯示真正的強度。直方圖正在收縮，看起來可以再次變成紅色。這表明最近的反彈正在失去蒸汽。 5月初，有看跌的交叉，從那以後，MACD並沒有表現出令人信服的力量。最後一個重要的看漲浪潮回到了2024年底，但沒有結束。

These indicators all tell the same story: HBAR buyers are not stepping up in full force. Sellers are still in control, and small bounces are being sold rather than accumulated.

這些指標都講述了同樣的故事：HBAR買家並沒有全力以赴。賣家仍處於控制之中，而小型彈跳正在出售而不是積累。

Will HBAR Hit $1 in 2025?

HBAR會在2025年達到1美元嗎？

While the Hedera network has strong fundamentals, the HBAR price is not reflecting that optimism. Technical indicators and price patterns suggest weakness, not strength. RSI is still low. MACD is bearish. Price is trending in a descending triangle with repeated failed attempts to break higher.

儘管Hedera網絡具有強大的基礎知識，但HBAR價格並沒有反映出這種樂觀。技術指標和價格模式表明弱點，而不是力量。 RSI仍然很低。 MACD是看跌。價格在下降的三角形中趨於趨勢，反复失敗以打破更高的嘗試。

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