为什么HEDERA（HBAR）在2025年可能不会达到1美元

赫德拉（Hedera）最近几个月一直是最受关注的加密项目之一。分析师已经涌入了许多看涨的预测

Hedera (HBAR) has been a hot topic in recent months, with many analysts making bullish predictions. However, despite all the hype, the reality on the charts may tell a different story.

Hedera（HBAR）最近几个月一直是一个热门话题，许多分析师做出了看涨的预测。但是，尽管有所有炒作，但图表上的现实可能会讲另一个故事。

The HBAR price is still lagging, and 2025 has not been kind to holders so far. Many analysts are acting more like crypto cheerleaders than real observers of the market. If we go by their predictions, Hedera should be breaking new highs by now, and HBAR coin value should be making swimmers out of traders. But the opposite is true. We are halfway into 2025, and HBAR is trading well below where it started the year.

HBAR价格仍在落后，到目前为止，2025年对持有人并不友善。许多分析师的行为更像是加密啦啦队，而不是真正的观察者。如果我们按照他们的预测进行预测，那么Hedera应该现在打破新的高点，而HBAR硬币的价值应该使游泳者从交易者中脱颖而出。但是情况恰恰相反。我们已经进入2025年的一半，而HBAR的交易远低于本年度的开始。

HBAR Price Has Underperformed in 2023

HBAR价格在2023年表现不佳

On January 1, 2025, Hedera was trading around $0.28. Now it is sitting closer to $0.16, down by about 40%. This kind of move wasn’t predicted by most analysts who were calling for a big upside. Instead of asking how to manage excess profits, many holders are wondering when the bleeding will stop.

2025年1月1日，Hedera的交易约为0.28美元。现在，它的价格接近0.16美元，下降了约40％。大多数呼吁优势的分析师都没有预测这种举动。许多持有人没有问如何管理多余的利润，而是想知道出血何时会停止。

This poor performance raises serious questions about the likelihood of HBAR hitting $1 in 2025. For that to happen from the current $0.16 level, the HBAR price would need to rise by about 525%. At first glance, that seems achievable in the crypto space where tokens can jump by over 1,000% in just a few weeks. Onyxcoin (XCN) for example, surged more than 1,500% within two weeks earlier this year.

这种糟糕的表现引起了关于HBAR在2025年达到1美元的可能性的严重疑问。为了使这从当前的0.16级别开始，HBAR价格将需要上涨约525％。乍一看，这在加密货币领域似乎是可以实现的，在加密货币领域，令牌在短短几周内就可以增加1,000％以上。例如，Onyxcoin（XCN）在今年年初的两周内飙升了1,500％以上。

However, HBAR’s current chart structure suggests a completely different direction. The price action is showing signs of weakness, and indicators suggest that more downside is possible before any potential reversal.

但是，HBAR的当前图表结构提出了一个完全不同的方向。价格动作显示出弱点的迹象，指标表明在任何潜在的逆转之前可能会有更多的弊端。

Hedera’s Fundamentals: Still Solid, But Not Enough

Hedera的基本面：仍然很稳定，但还不够

Hedera uses the Hashgraph consensus mechanism to enable fast, secure transactions. The network supports smart contracts, low fees, and fair transaction ordering. It is also backed by major corporate partners who sit on its governing council. These partners include Google, IBM, Boeing, and several others.

Hedera使用标签共识机制来实现快速，安全的交易。该网络支持智能合约，低费用和公平的交易订购。它也得到了坐在理事委员会的主要公司合作伙伴的支持。这些合作伙伴包括Google，IBM，波音公司等。

From a technology and partnership standpoint, Hedera is impressive. The platform is being developed for real-world enterprise use cases including DeFi, NFTs, and supply chain tracking. Ongoing upgrades focus on speed, security, and usability. It’s even aligned with the ISO 20022 standard, giving it a potential edge for regulatory compliance and institutional adoption.

从技术和伙伴关系的角度来看，Hedera令人印象深刻。该平台正在针对现实世界中的企业用例开发，包括DEFI，NFTS和供应链跟踪。持续的升级专注于速度，安全性和可用性。它甚至与ISO 20022标准保持一致，使其具有监管合规性和机构采用的潜在优势。

But despite these positives, they are not translating into upward momentum for the HBAR price. The broader crypto market trends, competition from other blockchain platforms, and hesitation from institutional players are still major hurdles.

但是，尽管有这些积极性，但它们并未以HBAR价格转化为向上的动力。更广泛的加密市场趋势，其他区块链平台的竞争以及机构参与者的犹豫仍然是重大障碍。

HBAR Price Pattern Signals Bearish Momentum

HBAR价格模式信号看跌势头

The current structure of the HBAR price is forming a descending triangle. This is a bearish pattern that often leads to a breakdown. The horizontal support level at around $0.12 has been tested several times. Each bounce has been weaker than the last, and the pattern of lower highs shows that buyer interest is fading.

HBAR价格的当前结构正在形成下降三角形。这是一种看跌模式，通常会导致崩溃。水平支撑级在0.12美元左右左右已进行了几次测试。每次弹跳都比上一个弹跳弱，低点的模式表明，买方的兴趣正在消失。

The triangle is closing in on its apex, and if the price breaks below the $0.12 level, the next likely support could be around $0.09 to $0.10. This suggests that there may still be more room to fall before any serious recovery attempt begins.

该三角形在其顶点上关闭，如果价格突破低于$ 0.12的水平，下一个可能的支持可能约为0.09美元至0.10美元。这表明，在开始进行任何认真的恢复尝试之前，可能仍然有更多的空间掉落。

RSI and MACD Indicators Are Still Bearish

RSI和MACD指标仍然是看跌

The Relative Strength Index (RSI) is currently around 42.96. That is below the neutral level of 50 and suggests that bearish momentum is still dominating. The RSI has failed to break above 50 multiple times, and its most recent attempt stalled near 40. This type of move often happens before another leg downward. There’s also no bullish divergence on the RSI, which further confirms the weak momentum.

相对强度指数（RSI）目前约为42.96。这低于50的中性水平，这表明看跌动量仍在主导。 RSI未能多次突破50次，其最新尝试停滞在40。这种举动经常发生在另一只腿下方。 RSI也没有看涨的分歧，这进一步证实了弱势势头。

The MACD is showing the same weakness. The MACD line is only slightly above the signal line and does not show real strength. The histogram is shrinking and looks ready to turn red again. This indicates that the recent bounce is losing steam. There was a bearish crossover in early May, and the MACD has not shown convincing strength since then. The last significant bullish wave was back in late 2024, but it did not hold.

MACD显示出相同的弱点。 MACD线仅略高于信号线，并未显示真正的强度。直方图正在收缩，看起来可以再次变成红色。这表明最近的反弹正在失去蒸汽。 5月初，有看跌的交叉，从那以后，MACD并没有表现出令人信服的力量。最后一个重要的看涨浪潮回到了2024年底，但没有结束。

These indicators all tell the same story: HBAR buyers are not stepping up in full force. Sellers are still in control, and small bounces are being sold rather than accumulated.

这些指标都讲述了同样的故事：HBAR买家并没有全力以赴。卖家仍处于控制之中，而小型弹跳正在出售而不是积累。

Will HBAR Hit $1 in 2025?

HBAR会在2025年达到1美元吗？

While the Hedera network has strong fundamentals, the HBAR price is not reflecting that optimism. Technical indicators and price patterns suggest weakness, not strength. RSI is still low. MACD is bearish. Price is trending in a descending triangle with repeated failed attempts to break higher.

尽管Hedera网络具有强大的基础知识，但HBAR价格并没有反映出这种乐观。技术指标和价格模式表明弱点，而不是力量。 RSI仍然很低。 MACD是看跌。价格在下降的三角形中趋于趋势，反复失败以打破更高的尝试。

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另请阅读：出色的价格预测：在看跌期间，流明在2025年达到1美元