在廣泛的市場集會的推動下，鯨魚的積累發出了XRP情緒謹慎樂觀

儘管波動性和監管不確定性揮之不去，但周圍XRP的情緒卻謹慎地樂觀，這是由於更廣泛的市場集會而推動的

The crypto market has seen a broader rally of late, and one token that might be able to continue moving higher from here is XRP.

XRP是加密貨幣市場的廣泛集會，一個可能繼續從這裡移動的代幣。

The price of the token has been volatile in recent months, as it continues to be affected by a lawsuit from the U.S. Securities and Exchange Commission (SEC). However, despite this, XRP has managed to remain in a channel and could be setting up for a breakout from the weekly triangle and a potential new all-time high.

近幾個月來，令牌的價格一直在波動，因為它繼續受到美國證券交易委員會（SEC）的訴訟的影響。然而，儘管如此，XRP還是設法保留在頻道中，並可能從每週三角形和潛在的新歷史最高水平中進行突破。

As the market trends suggest, large holders, commonly referred to as whales, have been increasing their exposure to XRP. According to data from Santiment, investors holding between 10 million and 100 million XRP now account for 12.1% of the token’s total supply. This proportion has seen a rise from 11.58% in mid-April.

正如市場趨勢所表明的那樣，通常稱為鯨魚的大型持有人正在增加其對XRP的影響。根據Santiment的數據，持有1000萬至1億XRP的投資者現在佔代幣總供應量的12.1％。這一比例已從4月中旬的11.58％上升。

This increase in whale concentration typically signals growing interest from institutions and confidence in the token’s value. The same can be said for a sharp increase in XRP exchange reserves, especially on Binance, which might indicate short-term risks.

鯨魚濃度的這種增加通常信號表明機構對代幣價值的信心增加了利益。對於XRP交換儲量的急劇增加，尤其是在二元方面，也可以說這相同，這可能表明短期風險。

According to CryptoQuant, the amount of XRP held on exchanges went up from 2.7 billion on May 1 to 2.9 billion. As we know, rising reserves often precede selling pressure as traders move assets onto exchanges. This dynamic introduces a note of caution to otherwise bullish momentum.

據CryptoQuant稱，在交易所持有的XRP金額從5月1日增加到27億增加到29億。眾所周知，隨著交易者將資產轉移到交易所，上升的儲量經常在銷售壓力之前。這種動態引入了謹慎的注意，以使其他勢頭。

But on the technical side of things, XRP has managed to stay above several key moving averages despite some short-term choppiness. The 50-day EMA at $2.30, the 100-day EMA at $2.26, and the 200-day EMA at $2.06 form a solid base of support.

但是從技術方面來說，儘管短期切碎，XRP還是設法超過了幾個關鍵的移動平均值。 50天的EMA為2.30美元，100天EMA為2.26美元，200天EMA $ 2.06構成了堅實的支持基礎。

What’s more, the recent low on XRP aligns with an ascending trendline that traders are keeping an eye on. A stable move above $2.46 could signal a bullish breakout of the $2.64 resistance. If the price can pierce through the immediate resistance at $2.48, the next upside targets become $2.55 and $2.64.

更重要的是，最近對XRP的低點與交易者一直在關注的上升趨勢線保持一致。穩定的舉動超過$ 2.46，可能表明看漲2.64美元的電阻。如果價格可以在2.48美元的立即電阻上刺穿，那麼下一個上升目標將變為2.55美元和2.64美元。

Technical analyst Dark Defender also suggests a potential surge to $3.33 in the near term, with even greater projections of $5.85 for the long term. However, a breakdown below $2.33 could expose XRP to pullbacks towards $2.88 or even $2.21.

技術分析師Dark Defender還建議在短期內增加$ 3.33的費用，長期預測為5.85美元。但是，低於$ 2.33的故障可能會使XRP降低到$ 2.88甚至2.21美元。

“XRP is aiming for $3.33 in the short term, and is expected to fire the bullet, which will then likely flatten itself against the $5.85 parapet,” said Dark Defender in a recent post.

Dark Defender在最近的一篇帖子中說：“ XRP的目標是在短期內以3.33美元的價格發射，並有望發射子彈，然後這可能會使自己與5.85美元的欄杆抗衡。”

Adding fuel to the bullish narrative, traders on the decentralized prediction platform Polymarket have sharply increased their bets that XRP will revisit its all-time high of $3.3517. The odds went up drastically, shifting from 24% to 44% during May, reflecting a surge in optimism.

在看漲的敘事中增加了燃料，分散的預測平台Polmoarket上的貿易商急劇增加了他們的賭注，即XRP將重新審視其歷史最高高價3.3517美元。賠率急劇上升，5月在5月的24％轉移到44％，反映了樂觀的激增。

Analyst Credible Crypto also drew interesting parallels between XRP’s current setup and Bitcoin’s recent parabolic rally, stating: “The chop/consolidation we are seeing on $XRP in the $2 range is not a cause for concern—the longer we chop in this tight range the more explosive the next leg up will be.”

分析師可靠的加密貨幣還引起了XRP當前設置和比特幣最近的拋物線集會之間的有趣相似之處，他說：“我們在$ 2範圍內看到的$ XRP上看到的章/固結並不是一個令人關注的原因 - 我們在這個緊密的範圍內的距離越長，下一條腿的爆炸性越大，下一條腿就會越來越爆發。”

It seems like momentum from the broader crypto market, especially Bitcoin’s recent surge past $109,000, is trickling down to altcoins like XRP, which has seen a 50% gain since April’s local low.

似乎來自更廣泛的加密市場的勢頭，尤其是比特幣最近的109,000美元激增，正在滴至XRP等山寨幣，自4月份本地低點以來，XRP的增長幅度為50％。

As for institutional developments, Ripple’s recent acquisition of Hidden Road unlocks access to over $11 trillion in daily U.S. Treasury clearing markets through the FICC. Although XRP itself won’t be used directly for settlement—Ripple’s enterprise-focused stablecoin RLUSD takes that role—the move massively enhances Ripple’s institutional reach.

至於機構發展，Ripple最近收購隱藏的道路可以通過FICC獲得超過11萬億美元的美國國庫清算市場的距離。儘管XRP本身不會直接用於和解 - 雷普爾的企業以企業為中心的Stablecoin Rlusd扮演了這一角色，但此舉大大增強了Ripple的機構覆蓋範圍。

This development also highlights the growing utility of the Ripple ledger, which underlies XRP’s broader use cases in payments and liquidity provisioning. Further credibility could be added if rumored talks between Ripple and Circle, the issuer of USD Coin (USDC), result in a merger. That would make Ripple the second-largest stablecoin provider after Tether, indirectly boosting XRP’s ecosystem influence.

這一發展還凸顯了Ripple Ledger的日益增長的效用，這是XRP在付款和流動性提供方面更廣泛的用例。如果有傳言稱，USD Coin（USDC）的發行人Circle之間的談話會導致合併，則可以添加進一步的信譽。這將使波紋成為僅次於繫繩的第二大穩定提供商，從而間接增強了XRP的生態系統影響。

Finally, speculation persists over whether the U.S. Securities and Exchange Commission (SEC) will approve spot XRP ETFs. Polymarket currently assigns an 85% chance of approval by year-end, with JPMorgan estimating inflows of $4–8 billion in the first year. The already-launched XXRP ETF has managed to attract $121 million despite a high 1.89% expense ratio.

最後，對美國證券交易委員會（SEC）是否批准現場XRP ETF的猜測持續存在。 Polymarket目前在年底時分配了85％的批准機會，摩根大通估計第一年的流入量為4-8億美元。儘管費用比率高1.89％，但已經推出的XXRP ETF還是設法吸引了1.21億美元。