在广泛的市场集会的推动下，鲸鱼的积累发出了XRP情绪谨慎乐观

尽管波动性和监管不确定性挥之不去，但周围XRP的情绪却谨慎地乐观，这是由于更广泛的市场集会而推动的

The crypto market has seen a broader rally of late, and one token that might be able to continue moving higher from here is XRP.

XRP是加密货币市场的广泛集会，一个可能继续从这里移动的代币。

The price of the token has been volatile in recent months, as it continues to be affected by a lawsuit from the U.S. Securities and Exchange Commission (SEC). However, despite this, XRP has managed to remain in a channel and could be setting up for a breakout from the weekly triangle and a potential new all-time high.

近几个月来，令牌的价格一直在波动，因为它继续受到美国证券交易委员会（SEC）的诉讼的影响。然而，尽管如此，XRP还是设法保留在频道中，并可能从每周三角形和潜在的新历史最高水平中进行突破。

As the market trends suggest, large holders, commonly referred to as whales, have been increasing their exposure to XRP. According to data from Santiment, investors holding between 10 million and 100 million XRP now account for 12.1% of the token’s total supply. This proportion has seen a rise from 11.58% in mid-April.

正如市场趋势所表明的那样，通常称为鲸鱼的大型持有人正在增加其对XRP的影响。根据Santiment的数据，持有1000万至1亿XRP的投资者现在占代币总供应量的12.1％。这一比例已从4月中旬的11.58％上升。

This increase in whale concentration typically signals growing interest from institutions and confidence in the token’s value. The same can be said for a sharp increase in XRP exchange reserves, especially on Binance, which might indicate short-term risks.

鲸鱼浓度的这种增加通常信号表明机构对代币价值的信心增加了利益。对于XRP交换储量的急剧增加，尤其是在二元方面，也可以说这相同，这可能表明短期风险。

According to CryptoQuant, the amount of XRP held on exchanges went up from 2.7 billion on May 1 to 2.9 billion. As we know, rising reserves often precede selling pressure as traders move assets onto exchanges. This dynamic introduces a note of caution to otherwise bullish momentum.

据CryptoQuant称，在交易所持有的XRP金额从5月1日增加到27亿增加到29亿。众所周知，随着交易者将资产转移到交易所，上升的储量经常在销售压力之前。这种动态引入了谨慎的注意，以使其他势头。

But on the technical side of things, XRP has managed to stay above several key moving averages despite some short-term choppiness. The 50-day EMA at $2.30, the 100-day EMA at $2.26, and the 200-day EMA at $2.06 form a solid base of support.

但是从技术方面来说，尽管短期切碎，XRP还是设法超过了几个关键的移动平均值。 50天的EMA为2.30美元，100天EMA为2.26美元，200天EMA $ 2.06构成了坚实的支持基础。

What’s more, the recent low on XRP aligns with an ascending trendline that traders are keeping an eye on. A stable move above $2.46 could signal a bullish breakout of the $2.64 resistance. If the price can pierce through the immediate resistance at $2.48, the next upside targets become $2.55 and $2.64.

更重要的是，最近对XRP的低点与交易者一直在关注的上升趋势线保持一致。稳定的举动超过$ 2.46，可能表明看涨2.64美元的电阻。如果价格可以在2.48美元的立即电阻上刺穿，那么下一个上升目标将变为2.55美元和2.64美元。

Technical analyst Dark Defender also suggests a potential surge to $3.33 in the near term, with even greater projections of $5.85 for the long term. However, a breakdown below $2.33 could expose XRP to pullbacks towards $2.88 or even $2.21.

技术分析师Dark Defender还建议在短期内增加$ 3.33的费用，长期预测为5.85美元。但是，低于$ 2.33的故障可能会使XRP降低到$ 2.88甚至2.21美元。

“XRP is aiming for $3.33 in the short term, and is expected to fire the bullet, which will then likely flatten itself against the $5.85 parapet,” said Dark Defender in a recent post.

Dark Defender在最近的一篇帖子中说：“ XRP的目标是在短期内以3.33美元的价格发射，并有望发射子弹，然后这可能会使自己与5.85美元的栏杆抗衡。”

Adding fuel to the bullish narrative, traders on the decentralized prediction platform Polymarket have sharply increased their bets that XRP will revisit its all-time high of $3.3517. The odds went up drastically, shifting from 24% to 44% during May, reflecting a surge in optimism.

在看涨的叙事中增加了燃料，分散的预测平台Polmoarket上的贸易商急剧增加了他们的赌注，即XRP将重新审视其历史最高高价3.3517美元。赔率急剧上升，5月在5月的24％转移到44％，反映了乐观的激增。

Analyst Credible Crypto also drew interesting parallels between XRP’s current setup and Bitcoin’s recent parabolic rally, stating: “The chop/consolidation we are seeing on $XRP in the $2 range is not a cause for concern—the longer we chop in this tight range the more explosive the next leg up will be.”

分析师可靠的加密货币还引起了XRP当前设置和比特币最近的抛物线集会之间的有趣相似之处，他说：“我们在$ 2范围内看到的$ XRP上看到的章/固结并不是一个令人关注的原因 - 我们在这个紧密的范围内的距离越长，下一条腿的爆炸性越大，下一条腿就会越来越爆发。”

It seems like momentum from the broader crypto market, especially Bitcoin’s recent surge past $109,000, is trickling down to altcoins like XRP, which has seen a 50% gain since April’s local low.

似乎来自更广泛的加密市场的势头，尤其是比特币最近的109,000美元激增，正在滴至XRP等山寨币，自4月份本地低点以来，XRP的增长幅度为50％。

As for institutional developments, Ripple’s recent acquisition of Hidden Road unlocks access to over $11 trillion in daily U.S. Treasury clearing markets through the FICC. Although XRP itself won’t be used directly for settlement—Ripple’s enterprise-focused stablecoin RLUSD takes that role—the move massively enhances Ripple’s institutional reach.

至于机构发展，Ripple最近收购隐藏的道路可以通过FICC获得超过11万亿美元的美国国库清算市场的距离。尽管XRP本身不会直接用于和解 - 雷普尔的企业以企业为中心的Stablecoin Rlusd扮演了这一角色，但此举大大增强了Ripple的机构覆盖范围。

This development also highlights the growing utility of the Ripple ledger, which underlies XRP’s broader use cases in payments and liquidity provisioning. Further credibility could be added if rumored talks between Ripple and Circle, the issuer of USD Coin (USDC), result in a merger. That would make Ripple the second-largest stablecoin provider after Tether, indirectly boosting XRP’s ecosystem influence.

这一发展还凸显了Ripple Ledger的日益增长的效用，这是XRP在付款和流动性提供方面更广泛的用例。如果有传言称，USD Coin（USDC）的发行人Circle之间的谈话会导致合并，则可以添加进一步的信誉。这将使波纹成为仅次于系绳的第二大稳定提供商，从而间接增强了XRP的生态系统影响。

Finally, speculation persists over whether the U.S. Securities and Exchange Commission (SEC) will approve spot XRP ETFs. Polymarket currently assigns an 85% chance of approval by year-end, with JPMorgan estimating inflows of $4–8 billion in the first year. The already-launched XXRP ETF has managed to attract $121 million despite a high 1.89% expense ratio.

最后，对美国证券交易委员会（SEC）是否批准现场XRP ETF的猜测持续存在。 Polymarket目前在年底时分配了85％的批准机会，摩根大通估计第一年的流入量为4-8亿美元。尽管费用比率高1.89％，但已经推出的XXRP ETF还是设法吸引了1.21亿美元。