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以太坊的本地代幣Ether Ethusd恢復了一個關鍵的技術水平,歷史上一直在價格上漲之前,並標誌著“ Altseason”的開始
The price of Ethereum (ETH) has reclaimed a key technical level that could set the stage for a sharp price gain in the coming months, according to technical analysis.
根據技術分析,以太坊(ETH)的價格(ETH)收回了一個關鍵的技術水平,這可能為未來幾個月的價格上漲奠定基礎。
On the 2-week chart, Ethereum closed above the mid-line of the Gaussian Channel—a moving average-based band that tracks long-term momentum—for the first time since November 2023.
在為期2週的圖表上,以太坊在高斯頻道的中線上方封閉,高斯頻道的中線(一個基於移動的平均樂隊追踪長期勢頭)是自2023年11月以來的第一次。
In 2020-2021, a move above the same technical level saw the ETH price rally from $400 to over $4,800 as it quickly advanced toward and broke above the channel’s upper band.
在2020年至2021年,超過同一技術水平的舉動將ETH價格從400美元升至4,800美元以上,因為它迅速向前邁進並越過了頻道的上班樂隊。
A similar move in late 2023 saw ETH, the second-largest cryptocurrency by market capitalization, climb from below $1,500 to nearly $4,000 within a year.
在2023年末,類似的舉動也看到了ETH,這是市值第二大加密貨幣,從1,500美元以下攀升至一年之內的近4,000美元。
As of May 2025, that upper band sat at $3,200, making it the next key resistance. A breakout above this level could open the path toward the previous cycle high of $4,100 by July.
截至2025年5月,該上班樂隊的價格為3,200美元,使其成為下一個關鍵阻力。超過此水平的突破可能會為7月的上一環高達4,100美元開闢道路。
The potential for a large ETH price rally also comes as technical analysis indicates that the altcoin market could be setting up for a massive surge in the second half of 2025.
大型ETH價格集會的潛力也出現,因為技術分析表明,山寨幣市場可能在2025年下半年為大量增長設置。
According to market analyst Moustache, who focused on the same Gaussian Channel fractal, the combined market cap of the altcoin market, excluding Ethereum, surged by over 1,400% over a year after Ether’s close above the channel’s midline in July 2020.
據市場分析師鬍鬚說,專注於同一高斯頻道分形,不包括以太坊的山寨幣市場的聯合市值在2020年7月以太頻道的中線超過該頻道的中線後一年飆升了1,400%以上。
Similarly, the analyst added that the altcoin market cap went up by more than 200% a year after ETH’s midline breakout in November 2023.
同樣,分析師補充說,在2023年11月ETH的中線突破之後,Altcoin市值每年增加了200%以上。
The prospect of a 2025 altseason is furthered by a repeating post-Bitcoin-halving pattern. In both 2017 and 2021, Bitcoin dominance dropped sharply around 400 days after the halving, triggering altcoin rallies.
重複的居民備後模式進一步促進了2025年altseason的前景。在2017年和2021年,比特幣在減半後約400天左右急劇下降,引發了山寨幣集會。
With the April 2024 halving nearing the same period, a similar decline could occur within the next 100 days, according to analyst Wimar X, who expects the altcoin market cap to surge toward $15 trillion if the trend repeats.
分析師Wimar X表示,隨著2024年4月的同一時期減半,在接下來的100天內可能會發生類似的下降,他預計如果趨勢重複,Altcoin市值將飆升至15萬億美元。
The potential for a large increase in the altcoin market capitalization also comes as onchain data from Glassnode showed that the largest portion of ETH’s market cap—around $123 billion—is held by investors who bought between $2,300 and $2,500.
由於GlassNode的OnChain數據表明,ETH的市值中最大的一部分(1,230億美元)是由購買2,300美元至2,500美元的投資者持有的,因此Altcoin市值大幅增長的潛力也大大增加。
If ETH’s price drops even slightly below this range, a large number of holders would flip into a red balance, increasing the risk of panic selling and adding pressure to the market.
如果ETH的價格甚至略低於此範圍,那麼大量持有人會陷入紅色的平衡,從而增加了恐慌銷售的風險並增加了市場的壓力。
So while ETH is showing technical strength, its support remains shallow unless it can move further away from this cost zone.
因此,儘管ETH表現出技術力量,但其支持仍然很淺,除非它可以遠離該成本區域。
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