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以太坊的本地代币Ether Ethusd恢复了一个关键的技术水平,历史上一直在价格上涨之前,并标志着“ Altseason”的开始
The price of Ethereum (ETH) has reclaimed a key technical level that could set the stage for a sharp price gain in the coming months, according to technical analysis.
根据技术分析,以太坊(ETH)的价格(ETH)收回了一个关键的技术水平,这可能为未来几个月的价格上涨奠定基础。
On the 2-week chart, Ethereum closed above the mid-line of the Gaussian Channel—a moving average-based band that tracks long-term momentum—for the first time since November 2023.
在为期2周的图表上,以太坊在高斯频道的中线上方封闭,高斯频道的中线(一个基于移动的平均乐队追踪长期势头)是自2023年11月以来的第一次。
In 2020-2021, a move above the same technical level saw the ETH price rally from $400 to over $4,800 as it quickly advanced toward and broke above the channel’s upper band.
在2020年至2021年,超过同一技术水平的举动将ETH价格从400美元升至4,800美元以上,因为它迅速向前迈进并越过了频道的上班乐队。
A similar move in late 2023 saw ETH, the second-largest cryptocurrency by market capitalization, climb from below $1,500 to nearly $4,000 within a year.
在2023年末,类似的举动也看到了ETH,这是市值第二大加密货币,从1,500美元以下攀升至一年之内的近4,000美元。
As of May 2025, that upper band sat at $3,200, making it the next key resistance. A breakout above this level could open the path toward the previous cycle high of $4,100 by July.
截至2025年5月,该上班乐队的价格为3,200美元,使其成为下一个关键阻力。超过此水平的突破可能会为7月的上一环高达4,100美元开辟道路。
The potential for a large ETH price rally also comes as technical analysis indicates that the altcoin market could be setting up for a massive surge in the second half of 2025.
大型ETH价格集会的潜力也出现,因为技术分析表明,山寨币市场可能在2025年下半年为大量增长设置。
According to market analyst Moustache, who focused on the same Gaussian Channel fractal, the combined market cap of the altcoin market, excluding Ethereum, surged by over 1,400% over a year after Ether’s close above the channel’s midline in July 2020.
据市场分析师胡须说,专注于同一高斯频道分形,不包括以太坊的山寨币市场的联合市值在2020年7月以太频道的中线超过该频道的中线后一年飙升了1,400%以上。
Similarly, the analyst added that the altcoin market cap went up by more than 200% a year after ETH’s midline breakout in November 2023.
同样,分析师补充说,在2023年11月ETH的中线突破之后,Altcoin市值每年增加了200%以上。
The prospect of a 2025 altseason is furthered by a repeating post-Bitcoin-halving pattern. In both 2017 and 2021, Bitcoin dominance dropped sharply around 400 days after the halving, triggering altcoin rallies.
重复的居民备后模式进一步促进了2025年altseason的前景。在2017年和2021年,比特币在减半后约400天左右急剧下降,引发了山寨币集会。
With the April 2024 halving nearing the same period, a similar decline could occur within the next 100 days, according to analyst Wimar X, who expects the altcoin market cap to surge toward $15 trillion if the trend repeats.
分析师Wimar X表示,随着2024年4月的同一时期减半,在接下来的100天内可能会发生类似的下降,他预计如果趋势重复,Altcoin市值将飙升至15万亿美元。
The potential for a large increase in the altcoin market capitalization also comes as onchain data from Glassnode showed that the largest portion of ETH’s market cap—around $123 billion—is held by investors who bought between $2,300 and $2,500.
由于GlassNode的OnChain数据表明,ETH的市值中最大的一部分(1,230亿美元)是由购买2,300美元至2,500美元的投资者持有的,因此Altcoin市值大幅增长的潜力也大大增加。
If ETH’s price drops even slightly below this range, a large number of holders would flip into a red balance, increasing the risk of panic selling and adding pressure to the market.
如果ETH的价格甚至略低于此范围,那么大量持有人会陷入红色的平衡,从而增加了恐慌销售的风险并增加了市场的压力。
So while ETH is showing technical strength, its support remains shallow unless it can move further away from this cost zone.
因此,尽管ETH表现出技术力量,但除非它可以远离该成本区域,否则其支持仍然很浅。
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