ENA價格預測：5月2日令牌解鎖之前看跌壓力

Ethena的本地令牌ENA面臨著巨大的看跌壓力，將其價格預測塑造成大型令牌解鎖

Ethena’s native token, ENA, is facing significant bearish pressure ahead of a large token unlock planned for May 2, 2025. The release of 94.19 million tokens, or 0.63% of the total supply, is a key factor influencing ENA’s near-term market outlook.

Ethena的本地令牌ENA在計劃於2025年5月2日的大型令牌解鎖之前面臨著巨大的看跌壓力。釋放9419萬令牌，佔總供應總額的0.63％，是影響ENA近期市場前景的關鍵因素。

The estimated value of the unlocking is $30.3 million, which amounts to 1.7% of ENA’s market cap. Token unlocks usually introduce new supply into circulation, which can depress prices if demand doesn’t keep pace. The May 2 unlock will be followed by an even larger release on May 5, bringing 171.85 million ENA (1.15% of total supply) at an estimated value of $55.28 million or 3.09% of the market cap.

解鎖的估計價值為3030萬美元，佔ENA市值的1.7％。代幣通常將新的供應引入流通，如果需求無法保持步伐，這可能會降低價格。 5月2日的解鎖將在5月5日發布更大的發布，帶來1.7185億ENA（總供應量的1.15％），估計價值為5528萬美元，佔市值的3.09％。

These back-to-back releases are raising serious concerns about near-term selling pressure on ENA.

這些背靠背的版本引起了人們對ENA近期銷售壓力的嚴重關注。

From the recent low at $0.3018 to the local high at $0.3253, ENA has retraced and bounced precisely around the 0.618 level ($0.3108), a key zone that is usually encountered during strong support or resistance rallies.

從最近的低價，0.3018美元到本地高點為0.3253美元，ENA已將其追溯和彈跳精確地左右（0.3108美元），這是一個通常在強大的支撐或阻力集會期間遇到的關鍵區域。

The price is currently trading at $0.3217, which is close to the 0.236 retracement level at $0.3193, indicating a modest recovery attempt. However, the inability to reclaim $0.3253 would likely confirm a local top and suggest further downside potential.

該價格目前的交易價格為0.3217美元，接近0.236回撤水平為0.3193美元，表明恢復量適中。但是，無法恢復$ 0.3253可能會確認本地頂部，並提出進一步的下行潛力。

The Relative Strength Index (RSI) reading is 54.34, a neutral level indicating room for price movement in either direction. The RSI has trended higher recently, which might indicate some short-term buying activity, possibly linked to the upcoming unlock event or a broader relief rally.

相對強度指數（RSI）的讀數為54.34，是一個中性水平，表明沿任一方向的價格移動的空間。 RSI最近趨勢更高，這可能表明一些短期購買活動可能與即將舉行的解鎖活動或更廣泛的救濟集會有關。

Additionally, the MACD line has crossed above the signal line, and histogram bars are turning green—typically bullish indicators. While this crossover could hint at continued upward momentum, the MACD is still close to the zero line, meaning that the momentum is not yet overwhelming to warrant ruling out a reversal scenario.

此外，MACD線已在信號線上上方交叉，直方圖桿變綠色（通常是看漲的指標）。儘管這種跨界可以暗示持續的勢頭，但MACD仍然接近零線，這意味著勢頭尚未壓倒性地保證排除逆轉情況。

As a key scenario in this ENA price prediction, if the token manages to break below the $0.3193 support after the May 2 unlock, a move toward $0.3108 (0.618 Fib) or $0.3068 (0.786 Fib) seems more likely.

作為此ENA價格預測中的關鍵情況，如果代幣在5月2日解鎖後設法超過0.3193美元的支持，則朝0.3108美元（0.618 FIB）或0.3068美元（0.786 FIB）的轉移似乎更可能。

On the other hand, if market sentiment manages to hold and buyers are able to absorb the unlocked supply, ENA could continue towards the $0.3253 high. A breakout above this level may open the door for a final rally toward $0.335 or higher.

另一方面，如果市場情緒設法持有並且買家能夠吸收未鎖定的供應，那麼ENA可能會繼續朝著0.3253美元的高價延伸。高於此水平的突破可能會打開最終集會的大門，朝著0.335美元或更高的價格打開。