ENA价格预测：5月2日令牌解锁之前看跌压力

Ethena的本地令牌ENA面临着巨大的看跌压力，将其价格预测塑造成大型令牌解锁

Ethena’s native token, ENA, is facing significant bearish pressure ahead of a large token unlock planned for May 2, 2025. The release of 94.19 million tokens, or 0.63% of the total supply, is a key factor influencing ENA’s near-term market outlook.

Ethena的本地令牌ENA在计划于2025年5月2日的大型令牌解锁之前面临着巨大的看跌压力。释放9419万令牌，占总供应总额的0.63％，是影响ENA近期市场前景的关键因素。

The estimated value of the unlocking is $30.3 million, which amounts to 1.7% of ENA’s market cap. Token unlocks usually introduce new supply into circulation, which can depress prices if demand doesn’t keep pace. The May 2 unlock will be followed by an even larger release on May 5, bringing 171.85 million ENA (1.15% of total supply) at an estimated value of $55.28 million or 3.09% of the market cap.

解锁的估计价值为3030万美元，占ENA市值的1.7％。代币通常将新的供应引入流通，如果需求无法保持步伐，这可能会降低价格。 5月2日的解锁将在5月5日发布更大的发布，带来1.7185亿ENA（总供应量的1.15％），估计价值为5528万美元，占市值的3.09％。

These back-to-back releases are raising serious concerns about near-term selling pressure on ENA.

这些背靠背的版本引起了人们对ENA近期销售压力的严重关注。

From the recent low at $0.3018 to the local high at $0.3253, ENA has retraced and bounced precisely around the 0.618 level ($0.3108), a key zone that is usually encountered during strong support or resistance rallies.

从最近的低价，0.3018美元到本地高点为0.3253美元，ENA已将其追溯和弹跳精确地左右（0.3108美元），这是一个通常在强大的支撑或阻力集会期间遇到的关键区域。

The price is currently trading at $0.3217, which is close to the 0.236 retracement level at $0.3193, indicating a modest recovery attempt. However, the inability to reclaim $0.3253 would likely confirm a local top and suggest further downside potential.

该价格目前的交易价格为0.3217美元，接近0.236回撤水平为0.3193美元，表明恢复量适中。但是，无法恢复$ 0.3253可能会确认本地顶部，并提出进一步的下行潜力。

The Relative Strength Index (RSI) reading is 54.34, a neutral level indicating room for price movement in either direction. The RSI has trended higher recently, which might indicate some short-term buying activity, possibly linked to the upcoming unlock event or a broader relief rally.

相对强度指数（RSI）的读数为54.34，是一个中性水平，表明沿任一方向的价格移动的空间。 RSI最近趋势更高，这可能表明一些短期购买活动可能与即将举行的解锁活动或更广泛的救济集会有关。

Additionally, the MACD line has crossed above the signal line, and histogram bars are turning green—typically bullish indicators. While this crossover could hint at continued upward momentum, the MACD is still close to the zero line, meaning that the momentum is not yet overwhelming to warrant ruling out a reversal scenario.

此外，MACD线已在信号线上上方交叉，直方图杆变绿色（通常是看涨的指标）。尽管这种跨界可以暗示持续的势头，但MACD仍然接近零线，这意味着势头尚未压倒性地保证排除逆转情况。

As a key scenario in this ENA price prediction, if the token manages to break below the $0.3193 support after the May 2 unlock, a move toward $0.3108 (0.618 Fib) or $0.3068 (0.786 Fib) seems more likely.

作为此ENA价格预测中的关键情况，如果代币在5月2日解锁后设法超过0.3193美元的支持，则朝0.3108美元（0.618 FIB）或0.3068美元（0.786 FIB）的转移似乎更可能。

On the other hand, if market sentiment manages to hold and buyers are able to absorb the unlocked supply, ENA could continue towards the $0.3253 high. A breakout above this level may open the door for a final rally toward $0.335 or higher.

另一方面，如果市场情绪设法持有并且买家能够吸收未锁定的供应，那么ENA可能会继续朝着0.3253美元的高价延伸。高于此水平的突破可能会打开最终集会的大门，朝着0.335美元或更高的价格打开。