蜻蜓doji暗示Eth Bulls正在恢復控制

Ether Price印刷了一個罕見的每月蜻蜓Doji燭台，通常在Eth Bull Market Cycles少之前看到。

Key takeaways:

關鍵要點：

Ether price printed a rare monthly Dragonfly doji candlestick, which is often seen before major ETH bull market cycles.

Ether Price印刷了一個罕見的每月蜻蜓Doji燭台，通常在Eth Bull Market Cycles少之前看到。

ETH is retesting its long-term parabolic support zone that preceded its historic 2017 rally.

ETH正在重新測試其在2017年曆史性集會之前的長期拋物線支持區。

The MVRV Z-Score has entered the accumulation zone, signaling undervaluation.

MVRV z得分已進入累積區，信號傳導低估。

Ethereum’s native token, Ether (ETH), is flashing a combination of technical and onchain signals once seen in the early stages of its 2017 bull run, a cycle that produced over 25,000% gains.

以太坊的本地令牌Ether（ETH）正在閃爍著在其2017年公牛跑步的早期階段曾經看到的技術和OnChain信號的組合，這一周期產生了超過25,000％的增長。

Dragonfly doji hints ETH bulls are regaining control

蜻蜓doji暗示Eth Bulls正在恢復控制

Ether is flashing a rare Dragonfly Doji candlestick on its monthly chart, the same structure that preceded its historic 25,000% rally during the 2017 bull cycle.

Ether在其月表上閃爍著罕見的蜻蜓Doji燭台，與在2017年公牛週期中其歷史性25,000％集會之前的結構相同。

This pattern is confirmed when the price prints a long lower wick, little to no upper wick, and closes at or near its opening level.

當價格打印出長的下部燈芯，幾乎沒有上部的燈芯，並且在其開放層附近關閉時，就會確認這種模式。

On Ether’s monthly chart, the candlestick reflects a sharp intra-month rejection of lower prices, suggesting that bulls are beginning to regain control after an extended downtrend.

在Ether的每月圖表上，燭台反映了較低價格的月球內拒絕，這表明公牛在延長下降趨勢後開始重新獲得控制。

In December 2016, Ethereum formed a similar monthly Dragonfly doji before erupting from under $6 to over $1,400 in over a year. The same pattern has been seen, with smaller upside, in 2021 and 2023, where ETH gained over 80% and 145%, respectively.

2016年12月，以太坊形成了類似的每月蜻蜓Doji，一年中從6美元爆發到6美元以上。在2021年和2023年，已經看到了相同的模式，其上升空間較小，在那裡ETH分別上漲了80％和145％。

If bulls confirm the signal with a strong May open, especially above April’s high of around $1,950, Ethereum could be primed for another multimonth rally, beginning with an initial run toward $2,100.

如果Bulls用強有力的信號確認該信號可能打開，尤其是在4月高於1,950美元左右的高處，則可以為另一個多個月的集會啟動以太坊，從初次運行到2,100美元開始。

Ethereum tests long-term parabolic support, just like in 2017

與2017年一樣，以太坊測試長期拋物線支持

Chartist Merlijn the Trader points to Ethereum retesting its long-term parabolic support, (the green zone in the chart below) that has consistently acted as a launchpad for new uptrends.

交易者匯報家Merlijn指出以太坊重新測試了其長期拋物線支持（下圖中的綠色區域），該支持一直充當新上升趨勢的發射台。

“In every cycle, this zone triggers a reversal — and this time is no different,” he wrote in his X post on April 30, adding:

他在4月30日的X帖子中寫道：“在每個週期中，這個區域都會觸發逆轉 - 這一次也沒有什麼不同。”

In early 2017, ETH also bounced from this exact same parabolic trendline during its initial breakout phase. The trendline supported ETH throughout that year, fueling the vertical move to $1,400 from around $6.

在2017年初，ETH在最初的突破階段也從完全相同的拋物線趨勢線中反彈。趨勢線支持ETH這一年，將垂直移動從$ 6左右提高到1,400美元。

Related: Ethereum’s ‘capitulation’ suggests ETH price is undervalued: Fidelity report

相關：以太坊的“投降”表明ETH價格被低估了：Fidelity報告

The current retest in 2025 mirrors that breakout setup, suggesting a cyclical pattern may be repeating.

當前的2025年反射鏡重新設置，表明周期性模式可能正在重複。

Onchain data points to ICO-era-style ETH accumulation sentiment

OnChain數據指向ICO時代風格的ETH積累情緒

Ethereum’s MVRV Z-Score, a key onchain metric used to identify market tops and bottoms, has re-entered the historical accumulation zone (the green band in the chart below), strengthening the argument that ETH may have found its cycle bottom.

以太坊的MVRV Z分數是用於識別市場頂部和底部的關鍵Onchain指標，它重新進入了歷史積累區（下圖中的綠色樂隊），增強了ETH可能發現其周期底部的論點。

In past cycles, Ethereum’s MVRV Z-Score dipped into this green zone in late 2018, March 2020, and mid-2022. All of these dips coincided with market bottoms and preceded multimonth to multi-year rallies.

在過去的周期中，以太坊的MVRV Z得分於2018年底，2020年3月下旬和2022年中期進入了這個綠色區域。所有這些下降都與市場底層相吻合，並在多年到多年的集會之前。

This article does not contain investment advice or recommendations. Every investment and trading move involves risk, and readers should conduct their own research when making a decision.

本文不包含投資建議或建議。每個投資和交易舉動都涉及風險，讀者在做出決定時應進行自己的研究。