Dogecoin的七月煩惱：歷史會遭受更多損失嗎？

Dogecoin面臨著7月的潛在看跌，反映了過去的趨勢。模因硬幣會違背歷史，還是更多的損失在地平線上？讓我們研究數據。

Dogecoin's had a wild ride, and July's shaping up to be another interesting chapter. Historically, July hasn't been kind to Dogecoin, with data suggesting potential losses. Is this just a blip, or a sign of things to come? Let's break it down.

Dogecoin狂野地旅行，而7月的塑造是另一個有趣的章節。從歷史上看，七月對Dogecoin並不友善，數據表明潛在的損失。這只是一個碎片，還是即將發生的事情的跡象？讓我們分解。

Dogecoin's Historical July Woes

Dogecoin的歷史七月困境

June 2025 marked the ninth consecutive year of losses for Dogecoin in June. Now, as July rolls around, history suggests a similar trend. CryptoRank data shows an average return of -3.48% and a median return of -7.31% for Dogecoin in July. While potentially less severe than June's dip, losses are still anticipated. Only four out of the last eleven years have seen Dogecoin end July in the green, painting a bearish picture.

2025年6月，Dogecoin連續第九年損失了6月。現在，隨著七月的到來，歷史也表明了類似的趨勢。 Cryptorank數據顯示，Dogecoin在7月的平均回報率為-3.48％，中位回報率為-7.31％。雖然潛在的嚴重程度不如六月的下降，但仍會預計損失。在過去的十一年中，只有四個在七月份結束了綠色的果醬，畫了看跌的照片。

Q3: A Traditionally Bearish Quarter

Q3：傳統的看跌季度

It's not just July; the entire third quarter historically presents challenges for Dogecoin. The data indicates that the third quarter is often the most bearish, with an average of 10% losses over the past 11 years. This is in contrast to the first and fourth quarters, which are generally more profitable for Dogecoin investors.

不只是七月；歷史上，整個第三季度對Dogecoin提出了挑戰。數據表明，第三季度通常是最看跌的，在過去的11年中，平均虧損10％。這與第一個和第四季度相反，這對於Dogecoin投資者來說通常更有利潤。

Recent On-Chain Metrics: A Mixed Bag

最近的鏈量指標：一個混合的袋子

Recent on-chain data reveals Dogecoin experienced the highest realized losses among top digital assets in a 24-hour period, with $132 million in losses against only $5 million in profits. This contrasts sharply with Bitcoin and Ethereum, which saw significant profits during the same timeframe. This divergence suggests newer or short-term Dogecoin holders are exiting their positions at a loss.

最近的鏈上數據顯示，Dogecoin在24小時內遭受了頂級數字資產的最高損失，損失損失為1.32億美元，而僅利潤僅為500萬美元。這與比特幣和以太坊形成鮮明對比，比特幣和以太坊在同一時間範圍內獲得了可觀的利潤。這種分歧表明，較新的或短期的狗狗幣正在虧本退出其職位。

Technical Analysis: Potential Reversal on the Horizon?

技術分析：潛在的逆轉即將到來？

Despite the losses, technical analysis offers a glimmer of hope. A bullish Moving Average Convergence Divergence (MACD) crossover on daily charts indicates a potential shift from bearish to bullish momentum. This follows a breakdown below the $0.15 support level, suggesting a possible recovery and upward movement.

儘管造成了損失，但技術分析帶來了一線希望。在每日圖表上，看漲的移動平均收斂差異（MACD）交叉表明，從看跌到看漲的動力的可能轉變。這是在低於$ 0.15的支持水平的細分之後，表明可能會恢復和向上移動。

Personal Take: Navigating the Doge Waters

個人拍攝：導航總督水域

While the historical data and recent losses paint a cautious picture for Dogecoin in July, it's crucial to remember that the crypto market is notoriously unpredictable. The technical indicators suggest a potential reversal, and broader market trends could influence Dogecoin's performance. Given Dogecoin's history of volatility, any dramatic market shift could result in an unexpected and rapid surge, making any predictions difficult. It's important to approach Dogecoin with caution, acknowledge the inherent risks, and consider consulting with a financial advisor before making any decisions.

雖然歷史數據和最近的損失在7月對Dogecoin持謹慎態度，但要記住，加密貨幣市場是無法預測的。技術指標表明潛在的逆轉，更廣泛的市場趨勢可能會影響Dogecoin的表現。鑑於Dogecoin的波動率歷史，任何急劇的市場轉變都可能導致出乎意料的迅速增長，這使任何預測變得困難。重要的是要謹慎對待Dogecoin，承認固有的風險，並在做出任何決定之前考慮與財務顧問進行諮詢。

Final Thoughts

最後的想法

So, will Dogecoin defy the odds and break free from its historical July slump? Only time will tell. But hey, even if it's a bumpy ride, at least we have memes, right? Buckle up, Doge fans, it's gonna be an interesting month!

那麼，狗狗幣會違背賠率並擺脫其歷史悠久的七月蕭條嗎？只有時間會證明。但是，嘿，即使這是一個顛簸的旅程，至少我們有模因，對嗎？係好，Doge粉絲，這將是一個有趣的月份！