比特幣的瘋狂騎行：ETF績效，失業數據和90,000美元的下降？

比特幣的價格受ETF成功，失業率下降和潛在崩潰的影響。亞瑟·海斯（Arthur Hayes）預測，$ 9萬美元的跌幅，而ETF的表現優於標準普爾500款基金。

Bitcoin's been on a rollercoaster, fueled by ETF performance, surprising unemployment data, and whispers of a potential crash. Let's break down what's driving this crypto craziness.

比特幣一直在過山車上，以ETF的性能，令人驚訝的失業數據以及潛在崩潰的耳語為動力。讓我們打破驅動這種加密瘋狂的原因。

Bitcoin's Bumpy Climb: ETFs and Economic Data in the Driver's Seat

比特幣的顛簸攀登：駕駛員座位中的ETF和經濟數據

Bitcoin (BTC) has bounced back from a mid-June dip around $98,000, surging past $110,000 recently. Trading volume's up, market cap's peaking – things are looking bullish, right? Well, kinda. This rise was fueled by strong performance in US Bitcoin ETFs and a surprising dip in unemployment data.

比特幣（BTC）從6月中旬下跌約98,000美元，最近又飆升了110,000美元。交易量的增加，市值的峰值 - 事情看起來看漲，對嗎？好吧，有點。美國比特幣ETF的出色表現和失業數據中令人驚訝的下降促進了這一上升。

BlackRock's ETF Bonanza

貝萊德的ETF大富翁

BlackRock's killing it with crypto ETFs. Their Bitcoin and Ethereum ETFs have raked in billions since launch. The iShares Bitcoin Trust (IBIT) ETF is even outperforming BlackRock's own S&P 500 ETF (IVV) in terms of annual fees generated! Despite the IVV having way more assets and a longer track record, IBIT is the new rockstar. This shows you the crazy demand for Bitcoin exposure right now.

用加密ETF殺死了貝萊德。自推出以來，他們的比特幣和以太坊ETF在數十億美元中脫穎而出。在產生的年度費用方面，iShares比特幣信託（IBIT）ETF甚至優於BlackRock自己的標準普爾500 ETF（IVV）！儘管IVV擁有更多的資產和更長的記錄，但IBIT是新的Rockstar。這表明您現在對比特幣暴露的瘋狂需求。

Unemployment Drop: Good News for Bitcoin?

失業率下降：比特幣的好消息？

The US unemployment rate dipped from 4.2% to 4.1% in June. This good news boosts confidence in the economy, making people more willing to gamble on riskier assets like Bitcoin and crypto. Basically, when people feel secure about their jobs, they're more likely to throw some cash at the crypto lottery.

6月，美國失業率從4.2％下降到4.1％。這個好消息增強了人們對經濟的信心，使人們更願意在比特幣和加密等風險的資產上賭博。基本上，當人們對自己的工作感到安全時，他們更有可能在加密彩票上投入一些現金。

Arthur Hayes' $90K Bitcoin Prediction: Crash or Opportunity?

亞瑟·海斯（Arthur Hayes）的$ 90K比特幣預測：崩潰還是機會？

Now for the buzzkill. Arthur Hayes, BitMEX co-founder, thinks Bitcoin could drop to $90,000. He's pointing to technical patterns, global events (like potential Trump tariffs), and liquidity issues. According to Hayes, $90,000 is a key support level that Bitcoin hasn't dipped below since April 2025.

現在是嗡嗡聲。 Bitmex聯合創始人Arthur Hayes認為比特幣可能會降至90,000美元。他指出技術模式，全球事件（例如潛在的特朗普關稅）以及流動性問題。根據海耶斯的說法，自2025年4月以來，比特幣從未下跌的關鍵支持水平。

Hayes is concerned about potential stablecoin regulations and the return of Trump's tariffs, which could hurt markets, including BTC. Some analysts also see bearish signals on Bitcoin's chart, hinting at a possible dip to $90K or even lower.

海耶斯（Hayes）擔心潛在的穩定法規和特朗普的關稅返回，這可能會損害包括BTC在內的市場。一些分析師還可以在比特幣圖表上看到看跌信號，暗示可能降至$ 90k甚至更低。

Hayes isn't necessarily preaching doom. He actually sees a potential drop to $90,000 as a good buying opportunity for long-term investors. His strategy is to accumulate Bitcoin slowly between $98,000 and $90,000. Think of it as dollar-cost averaging your way through the dip.

海斯不一定宣講厄運。實際上，他認為潛在的跌至90,000美元是長期投資者的好購買機會。他的策略是在98,000美元至90,000美元之間緩慢積累比特幣。可以將其視為通過浸入的美元成本平均。

The Bottom Line

底線

Bitcoin's price is a wild mix of ETF success, economic data, and market fears. While BlackRock's ETFs are booming and unemployment figures look good, potential regulations and global tensions could trigger a price correction. Arthur Hayes' $90,000 prediction is a reminder that Bitcoin's ride is never smooth.

比特幣的價格是ETF成功，經濟數據和市場恐懼的瘋狂結合。雖然貝萊德的ETF正在蓬勃發展，並且失業數字看起來不錯，但潛在的法規和全球緊張局勢可能會引發價格糾正。亞瑟·海斯（Arthur Hayes）的90,000美元預測提醒您，比特幣的騎行永遠不會平穩。

So, what's the play? Well, that's up to you. But remember, Bitcoin's volatile, so do your own research and don't bet the farm. Maybe Hayes is right, and a $90K Bitcoin is in the cards. Or maybe Bitcoin will laugh in his face and shoot for the moon. Either way, buckle up – it's gonna be a fun ride!

那麼，什麼是戲？好吧，這取決於你。但是請記住，比特幣的動盪不安，您自己的研究也是如此，不要打賭農場。也許海耶斯是對的，卡在卡中也有9萬美元的比特幣。也許比特幣會在他的臉上大笑，並為月球射擊。無論哪種方式，都可以搭扣 - 這將是一個有趣的旅程！