Dogecoin的七月烦恼：历史会遭受更多损失吗？

Dogecoin面临着7月的潜在看跌，反映了过去的趋势。模因硬币会违背历史，还是更多的损失在地平线上？让我们研究数据。

Dogecoin's had a wild ride, and July's shaping up to be another interesting chapter. Historically, July hasn't been kind to Dogecoin, with data suggesting potential losses. Is this just a blip, or a sign of things to come? Let's break it down.

Dogecoin狂野地旅行，而7月的塑造是另一个有趣的章节。从历史上看，七月对Dogecoin并不友善，数据表明潜在的损失。这只是一个碎片，还是即将发生的事情的迹象？让我们分解。

Dogecoin's Historical July Woes

Dogecoin的历史七月困境

June 2025 marked the ninth consecutive year of losses for Dogecoin in June. Now, as July rolls around, history suggests a similar trend. CryptoRank data shows an average return of -3.48% and a median return of -7.31% for Dogecoin in July. While potentially less severe than June's dip, losses are still anticipated. Only four out of the last eleven years have seen Dogecoin end July in the green, painting a bearish picture.

2025年6月，Dogecoin连续第九年损失了6月。现在，随着七月的到来，历史也表明了类似的趋势。 Cryptorank数据显示，Dogecoin在7月的平均回报率为-3.48％，中位回报率为-7.31％。虽然潜在的严重程度不如六月的下降，但仍会预计损失。在过去的十一年中，只有四个在七月份结束了绿色的果酱，画了看跌的照片。

Q3: A Traditionally Bearish Quarter

Q3：传统的看跌季度

It's not just July; the entire third quarter historically presents challenges for Dogecoin. The data indicates that the third quarter is often the most bearish, with an average of 10% losses over the past 11 years. This is in contrast to the first and fourth quarters, which are generally more profitable for Dogecoin investors.

不只是七月；历史上，整个第三季度对Dogecoin提出了挑战。数据表明，第三季度通常是最看跌的，在过去的11年中，平均亏损10％。这与第一个和第四季度相反，这对于Dogecoin投资者来说通常更有利润。

Recent On-Chain Metrics: A Mixed Bag

最近的链量指标：一个混合的袋子

Recent on-chain data reveals Dogecoin experienced the highest realized losses among top digital assets in a 24-hour period, with $132 million in losses against only $5 million in profits. This contrasts sharply with Bitcoin and Ethereum, which saw significant profits during the same timeframe. This divergence suggests newer or short-term Dogecoin holders are exiting their positions at a loss.

最近的链上数据显示，Dogecoin在24小时内遭受了顶级数字资产的最高损失，损失损失为1.32亿美元，而仅利润仅为500万美元。这与比特币和以太坊形成鲜明对比，比特币和以太坊在同一时间范围内获得了可观的利润。这种分歧表明，较新的或短期的狗狗币正在亏本退出其职位。

Technical Analysis: Potential Reversal on the Horizon?

技术分析：潜在的逆转即将到来？

Despite the losses, technical analysis offers a glimmer of hope. A bullish Moving Average Convergence Divergence (MACD) crossover on daily charts indicates a potential shift from bearish to bullish momentum. This follows a breakdown below the $0.15 support level, suggesting a possible recovery and upward movement.

尽管造成了损失，但技术分析带来了一线希望。在每日图表上，看涨的移动平均收敛差异（MACD）交叉表明，从看跌到看涨的动力的可能转变。这是在低于$ 0.15的支持水平的细分之后，表明可能会恢复和向上移动。

Personal Take: Navigating the Doge Waters

个人拍摄：导航总督水域

While the historical data and recent losses paint a cautious picture for Dogecoin in July, it's crucial to remember that the crypto market is notoriously unpredictable. The technical indicators suggest a potential reversal, and broader market trends could influence Dogecoin's performance. Given Dogecoin's history of volatility, any dramatic market shift could result in an unexpected and rapid surge, making any predictions difficult. It's important to approach Dogecoin with caution, acknowledge the inherent risks, and consider consulting with a financial advisor before making any decisions.

虽然历史数据和最近的损失在7月对Dogecoin持谨慎态度，但要记住，加密货币市场是无法预测的。技术指标表明潜在的逆转，更广泛的市场趋势可能会影响Dogecoin的表现。鉴于Dogecoin的波动率历史，任何急剧的市场转变都可能导致出乎意料的迅速增长，这使任何预测变得困难。重要的是要谨慎对待Dogecoin，承认固有的风险，并在做出任何决定之前考虑与财务顾问进行咨询。

Final Thoughts

最后的想法

So, will Dogecoin defy the odds and break free from its historical July slump? Only time will tell. But hey, even if it's a bumpy ride, at least we have memes, right? Buckle up, Doge fans, it's gonna be an interesting month!

那么，狗狗币会违背赔率并摆脱其历史悠久的七月萧条吗？只有时间会证明。但是，嘿，即使这是一个颠簸的旅程，至少我们有模因，对吗？系好，Doge粉丝，这将是一个有趣的月份！