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在加密平台上的QuickTake帖子中,鍊鍊分析師Burak Kesmeci檢查瞭如何使用二手貨幣的資金率來分析比特幣的價格軌跡。
The price of Bitcoin (BTC) has made quite the recovery in the past few weeks, raising questions about the sustainability of this fresh bullish momentum. It remains to be seen whether the flagship cryptocurrency is setting a bull’s trap, or it is making a legitimate claim for a new all-time-high price. However, the latest on-chain data suggests that the Bitcoin price might be at the beginning of a strong upward trend.
在過去的幾周中,比特幣(BTC)的價格已經取得了相當大的恢復,引發了有關這種新的看漲勢頭的可持續性的疑問。旗艦加密貨幣是設置公牛的陷阱還是為新的歷史最高價格提出合法索賠還有待觀察。但是,最新的鍊鍊數據表明,比特幣價格可能是強勁的上升趨勢的開始。
Is There A Correlation Between BTC Price And Binance Funding Rates?
BTC價格和二人資金率之間是否存在相關性?
In a Quicktake post on the CryptoQuant platform, on-chain analyst Burak Kesmeci examined how funding rates on Binance can be used to analyze Bitcoin’s price trajectory in the short term. For context, the “funding rate” metric measures the periodic fee exchanged between traders in the derivatives (perpetual futures) market.
在加密平台上的QuickTake帖子中,鍊鍊分析師Burak Kesmeci檢查瞭如何使用二手貨幣的資金率來分析比特幣的價格軌跡。在上下文中,“資金率”度量標準衡量衍生品(永久期貨)市場中交易者之間交換的周期性費用。
A positive funding rate indicates that the long traders (investors with buy positions) are paying a fee to short traders (investors with sell positions). This trend of the periodic fee signals the prevalence of a bullish sentiment in the crypto market.
正面的融資率表明,長交易者(具有買入頭寸的投資者)正在向短交易者(具有賣出職位的投資者)支付費用。定期費用的這種趨勢表明,加密貨幣市場中看漲情緒的流行。
On the other hand, a low funding rate metric implies that investors with short positions are paying long traders in the derivatives market. This direction of funding rate suggests that the market is being dominated by the short sellers.
另一方面,低資金率指標意味著職位短缺的投資者在衍生品市場中支付了較長的交易者。這個資金率的方向表明,市場由賣空者主導。
According to Kesmeci, an in-depth evaluation of Binance’s Bitcoin funding rates over the past 30 days shows a clear correlation with the short-term price movement. When funding rates turned positive, the price of BTC typically experienced notable increases in the short term.
根據Kesmeci的說法,過去30天對Binance的比特幣融資率進行了深入評估,這表明與短期價格變動有明顯的相關性。當資金率變為正時,BTC的價格通常在短期內會顯著上漲。
The on-chain analyst highlighted two scenarios in the past month where the price of BTC displayed a strong correlation with the funding rates. Firstly, the Bitcoin funding rates on Binance entered positive territory and reached strong levels (0.0030 and above) between April 10 and April 22, with price simultaneously rising from $79,000 to $93,000.
這位鏈分析師在過去一個月中強調了兩種情況,在過去的一個月中,BTC的價格與籌資率有很強的相關性。首先,在4月10日至4月22日之間,Binance的比特幣融資率進入了正區域,並達到了強大的水平(0.0030及以上),價格同時從79,000美元上漲至93,000美元。
In the second period — between May 6 and May 10, the funding rates once again entered into positive territory, with the Bitcoin price jumping from $95,000 to $103,000 during this time. According to Kesmeci, the funding rates on Binance — the world’s largest exchange by trading volume — remain pivotal to the BTC price trajectory.
在第二階段 - 在5月6日至5月10日之間,資金率再次進入積極的領土,在此期間,比特幣價格從95,000美元上升到103,000美元。根據Kesmeci的說法,Binance的籌資率(通過交易量通過交易量)仍然對BTC價格軌跡仍然關鍵。
Kesmeci concluded that the rise in the spot market, reinforced by positive funding rates in the futures market, suggests a strong short-term upward trend for the Bitcoin price. With further bullish momentum, it would only be a matter of time before the premier cryptocurrency reclaims its current all-time-high price and perhaps forge a new one.
Kesmeci得出的結論是,現貨市場的增長在期貨市場的積極融資率加強了,這表明比特幣價格的短期上升趨勢強勁。有了進一步看漲的動力,總理加密貨幣將收回其目前的歷史最高價格,也許是新的,這只是時間問題。
Bitcoin Price At A Glance
比特幣價格一目了然
As of this writing, the price of BTC stands at around $103,605, reflecting a 0.5% jump in the past 24 hours.
截至撰寫本文時,BTC的價格約為103,605美元,反映了過去24小時的0.5%上漲。
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