本週末，美國 - 中國貿易談話信號波動率

隨著美國和中國之間在瑞士進行的高級貿易談判，比特幣（BTC）面臨著一個關鍵的周末。這些談話被不信任籠罩

High-level trade talks between the US and China, set for the weekend of May 10 and 11 in Switzerland, are putting Bitcoin (BTC) in the crosshairs.

美國和中國之間的高級貿易談判定於5月10日至11日在瑞士舉行，將比特幣（BTC）放在十字準線中。

The two economic superpowers will be resuming trade talks on Saturday, May 9. However, these talks are awash with mistrust, dueling narratives, and no compromise on tariffs.

這兩個經濟超級大國將在5月9日星期六恢復貿易談判。但是，這些談判充滿了不信任，決鬥的敘述，並且對關稅沒有妥協。

For crypto markets already enduring macro headwinds and thinning liquidity, the outcome or breakdown of these talks may quickly translate into sharp price swings heading into Monday.

對於已經遇到巨大逆風和流動性稀疏的加密市場，這些談話的結果或破壞可能會迅速轉化為周一的急劇波動。

US-China Trade Talks Signal Volatility for Bitcoin This Weekend

本週末，美國 - 中國貿易談話信號波動率

With low trading volumes characteristic of weekends, Bitcoin could witness significant volatility.

週末的交易量較低，比特幣可能會看到明顯的波動性。

The US Treasury Secretary recently indicated plans to meet with Chinese Vice Premier He Lifeng in Switzerland for those two days. The meeting would mark the first official trade talks since President Trump escalated tariffs on Chinese imports to 145%.

美國財政部長最近表示，計劃與中國副總理他在瑞士舉行了這兩天。這次會議將標誌著特朗普總統將中國進口的關稅升級到145％以來的第一次官方貿易會談。

The outcome or breakdown of what happens could exacerbate the weekend volatility.

發生的結果或破裂可能會加劇週末的波動。

“Thanks to POTUS, the world has been coming to the US, and China has been the missing piece—we will meet on Saturday and Sunday to discuss our shared interests. The current tariffs and trade barriers are unsustainable, but we do not want to decouple. What we want is fair trade,” Bessent stated.

“感謝POTUS，全世界已經來到了美國，中國一直是失踪的作品 - 我們將在周六和周日開會，討論我們的共同利益。目前的關稅和貿易障礙是不可持續的，但我們不想將其解散。我們想要的是公平貿易，” Bessent說。

On Thursday, the Chinese Embassy in Washington issued a blunt statement ahead of the meeting. The spokesperson directly contradicts US claims about who initiated the discussions in the statement.

週四，華盛頓駐華盛頓大使館在會議前發表了直言不諱的聲明。發言人直接與我們聲稱誰在聲明中發起討論相矛盾。

“The talks are being held at the request of the US side… China will never accept a situation where the US says one thing but does another,” read an excerpt in the statement.

“在美國的要求下進行談判……中國永遠不會接受美國說一件事，而是做另一件事的情況。”聲明中的摘錄。

China’s Ministry of Foreign Affairs echoed the message and issued a follow-up message through its spokesperson, Lin Jian.

中國外交部回應了這一信息，並通過其發言人林·簡（Lin Jian）發出了後續信息。

“To pressure or coerce China in whatever way simply does not work. We will resolutely safeguard our legitimate interests and uphold international fairness and justice,” Jian wrote.

簡寫道：“要以任何方式向中國施加壓力或脅迫中國。我們將堅決保護我們的合法利益，並維護國際公平和正義。”

The rhetoric suggests that Beijing remains deeply skeptical of US intentions. This is especially true after Washington reaffirmed that it would not reduce tariffs before talks begin.

言論表明，北京仍然對美國的意圖深表懷疑。在華盛頓重申這不會在談判開始之前不會降低關稅之後，尤其如此。

Neither side offers concrete concessions ahead of the meeting. Based on this, crypto traders fear the summit could end in another diplomatic stalemate.

在會議之前，雙方都沒有提供具體優惠。基於此，加密貨幣交易者擔心峰會可能以另一個外交僵局結束。

Bitcoin, which is edging toward $100,000, is especially exposed as it remains tethered to global risk sentiment.

比特幣朝著100,000美元的價格匯入，因為它仍然束縛了全球風險情緒，因此尤其受到暴露。

Any hint of escalation could act as a volatility catalyst. Conversely, even a symbolic thaw in relations could spark a relief rally.

任何升級的跡像都可以充當波動性催化劑。相反，即使是關係中的象徵性融化也可能引發救濟集會。

The broader macro backdrop is also shifting. As BeInCrypto reported, China cut interest rates and ramped up liquidity injections earlier in the week. It comes amid a wider push to offset its domestic economic slowdown.

更廣泛的宏觀背景也正在轉移。正如Beincrypto報導的那樣，中國在本週早些時候降低了利率，並增加了流動性注射。這是在更廣泛的推動力來抵消其國內經濟放緩的過程中。

While these stimulus efforts have bullish implications for risk assets, geopolitical friction may drown out the signal.

儘管這些刺激努力對風險資產具有看漲的影響，但地緣政治摩擦可能會淹沒信號。

For crypto traders, the concern is whether China’s monetary easing can outweigh the drag of an unresolved trade war.

對於加密交易者來說，關注的是中國的貨幣寬鬆是否可以超過未解決的貿易戰。

Fueling further speculation, US President Donald Trump teased a “very important trade deal” announcement on Friday. He said it involves a “big, and highly respected country.” While he did not name China, the timing is impossible to ignore.

美國總統唐納德·特朗普（Donald Trump）在周五取笑了一項“非常重要的貿易協議”公告。他說，這涉及一個“大而受人尊敬的國家”。雖然他沒有命名中國，但不可能忽略的時機。

“Big news conference tomorrow at 10:00 AM, at The Oval Office, concerning a major trade deal with representatives of a big and highly respected country. The first of many,” Trump posted on Truth Social.

“明天上午10:00的大新聞會議在橢圓形辦公室，涉及與一個龐大而受人尊敬的國家的代表達成的主要貿易協定。眾多國家中的第一個。”

With market participants pricing in weekend volatility, Bitcoin may once again serve as a live barometer for geopolitical risk.

隨著市場參與者在周末波動率中的定價，比特幣可能再次成為地緣政治風險的現場晴雨表。

If the Switzerland meeting produces a modest roadmap forward, crypto could benefit from renewed investor confidence. However, if talks collapse under distrust and tariff rigidity, a wave of liquidations and a rush to safe-haven assets may follow.

如果瑞士會議產生適度的路線圖，加密貨幣可以從新的投資者信心中受益。但是，如果談話在不信任和關稅的僵化下崩潰，可能會隨後清算和急於避風港資產。

This weekend, Bitcoin will not just be trading against the charts; it will be trading against the global power balance.

這個週末，比特幣不僅會與圖表進行交易。它將與全球電力平衡進行交易。