本周末，美国 - 中国贸易谈话信号波动率

随着美国和中国之间在瑞士进行的高级贸易谈判，比特币（BTC）面临着一个关键的周末。这些谈话被不信任笼罩

High-level trade talks between the US and China, set for the weekend of May 10 and 11 in Switzerland, are putting Bitcoin (BTC) in the crosshairs.

美国和中国之间的高级贸易谈判定于5月10日至11日在瑞士举行，将比特币（BTC）放在十字准线中。

The two economic superpowers will be resuming trade talks on Saturday, May 9. However, these talks are awash with mistrust, dueling narratives, and no compromise on tariffs.

这两个经济超级大国将在5月9日星期六恢复贸易谈判。但是，这些谈判充满了不信任，决斗的叙述，并且对关税没有妥协。

For crypto markets already enduring macro headwinds and thinning liquidity, the outcome or breakdown of these talks may quickly translate into sharp price swings heading into Monday.

对于已经遇到巨大逆风和流动性稀疏的加密市场，这些谈话的结果或破坏可能会迅速转化为周一的急剧波动。

US-China Trade Talks Signal Volatility for Bitcoin This Weekend

本周末，美国 - 中国贸易谈话信号波动率

With low trading volumes characteristic of weekends, Bitcoin could witness significant volatility.

周末的交易量较低，比特币可能会看到明显的波动性。

The US Treasury Secretary recently indicated plans to meet with Chinese Vice Premier He Lifeng in Switzerland for those two days. The meeting would mark the first official trade talks since President Trump escalated tariffs on Chinese imports to 145%.

美国财政部长最近表示，计划与中国副总理他在瑞士举行了这两天。这次会议将标志着特朗普总统将中国进口的关税升级到145％以来的第一次官方贸易会谈。

The outcome or breakdown of what happens could exacerbate the weekend volatility.

发生的结果或破裂可能会加剧周末的波动。

“Thanks to POTUS, the world has been coming to the US, and China has been the missing piece—we will meet on Saturday and Sunday to discuss our shared interests. The current tariffs and trade barriers are unsustainable, but we do not want to decouple. What we want is fair trade,” Bessent stated.

“感谢POTUS，全世界已经来到了美国，中国一直是失踪的作品 - 我们将在周六和周日开会，讨论我们的共同利益。目前的关税和贸易障碍是不可持续的，但我们不想将其解散。我们想要的是公平贸易，” Bessent说。

On Thursday, the Chinese Embassy in Washington issued a blunt statement ahead of the meeting. The spokesperson directly contradicts US claims about who initiated the discussions in the statement.

周四，华盛顿驻华盛顿大使馆在会议前发表了直言不讳的声明。发言人直接与我们声称谁在声明中发起讨论相矛盾。

“The talks are being held at the request of the US side… China will never accept a situation where the US says one thing but does another,” read an excerpt in the statement.

“在美国的要求下进行谈判……中国永远不会接受美国说一件事，而是做另一件事的情况。”声明中的摘录。

China’s Ministry of Foreign Affairs echoed the message and issued a follow-up message through its spokesperson, Lin Jian.

中国外交部回应了这一信息，并通过其发言人林·简（Lin Jian）发出了后续信息。

“To pressure or coerce China in whatever way simply does not work. We will resolutely safeguard our legitimate interests and uphold international fairness and justice,” Jian wrote.

简写道：“要以任何方式向中国施加压力或胁迫中国。我们将坚决保护我们的合法利益，并维护国际公平和正义。”

The rhetoric suggests that Beijing remains deeply skeptical of US intentions. This is especially true after Washington reaffirmed that it would not reduce tariffs before talks begin.

言论表明，北京仍然对美国的意图深表怀疑。在华盛顿重申这不会在谈判开始之前不会降低关税之后，尤其如此。

Neither side offers concrete concessions ahead of the meeting. Based on this, crypto traders fear the summit could end in another diplomatic stalemate.

在会议之前，双方都没有提供具体优惠。基于此，加密货币交易者担心峰会可能以另一个外交僵局结束。

Bitcoin, which is edging toward $100,000, is especially exposed as it remains tethered to global risk sentiment.

比特币朝着100,000美元的价格汇入，因为它仍然束缚了全球风险情绪，因此尤其受到暴露。

Any hint of escalation could act as a volatility catalyst. Conversely, even a symbolic thaw in relations could spark a relief rally.

任何升级的迹象都可以充当波动性催化剂。相反，即使是关系中的象征性融化也可能引发救济集会。

The broader macro backdrop is also shifting. As BeInCrypto reported, China cut interest rates and ramped up liquidity injections earlier in the week. It comes amid a wider push to offset its domestic economic slowdown.

更广泛的宏观背景也正在转移。正如Beincrypto报道的那样，中国在本周早些时候降低了利率，并增加了流动性注射。这是在更广泛的推动力来抵消其国内经济放缓的过程中。

While these stimulus efforts have bullish implications for risk assets, geopolitical friction may drown out the signal.

尽管这些刺激努力对风险资产具有看涨的影响，但地缘政治摩擦可能会淹没信号。

For crypto traders, the concern is whether China’s monetary easing can outweigh the drag of an unresolved trade war.

对于加密交易者来说，关注的是中国的货币宽松是否可以超过未解决的贸易战。

Fueling further speculation, US President Donald Trump teased a “very important trade deal” announcement on Friday. He said it involves a “big, and highly respected country.” While he did not name China, the timing is impossible to ignore.

美国总统唐纳德·特朗普（Donald Trump）在周五取笑了一项“非常重要的贸易协议”公告。他说，这涉及一个“大而受人尊敬的国家”。虽然他没有命名中国，但不可能忽略的时机。

“Big news conference tomorrow at 10:00 AM, at The Oval Office, concerning a major trade deal with representatives of a big and highly respected country. The first of many,” Trump posted on Truth Social.

“明天上午10:00的大新闻会议在椭圆形办公室，涉及与一个庞大而受人尊敬的国家的代表达成的主要贸易协定。众多国家中的第一个。”

With market participants pricing in weekend volatility, Bitcoin may once again serve as a live barometer for geopolitical risk.

随着市场参与者在周末波动率中的定价，比特币可能再次成为地缘政治风险的现场晴雨表。

If the Switzerland meeting produces a modest roadmap forward, crypto could benefit from renewed investor confidence. However, if talks collapse under distrust and tariff rigidity, a wave of liquidations and a rush to safe-haven assets may follow.

如果瑞士会议产生适度的路线图，加密货币可以从新的投资者信心中受益。但是，如果谈话在不信任和关税的僵化下崩溃，可能会随后清算和急于避风港资产。

This weekend, Bitcoin will not just be trading against the charts; it will be trading against the global power balance.

这个周末，比特币不仅会与图表进行交易。它将与全球电力平衡进行交易。