Cardano再發生11％崩潰後遇到麻煩了嗎？ ADA價格前景

卡達諾（Cardano）剛剛急劇下降，昨天ADA價格下降了11.7％。最近的傾角使ADA恢復了一些重要的支持區

Cardano price dropped sharply yesterday, extending its recent pullback. As Bitcoin continues to pull back, so too is the altcoin market.

Cardano Price昨天急劇下降，擴大了最近的回調。隨著比特幣繼續向後退，Altcoin市場也是如此。

According to a breakdown by popular trader Nick Regan on his YouTube channel, this move wasn’t entirely unexpected. Last week, he noted that a bearish structure was taking shape and warned of a potential correction.

根據受歡迎的商人尼克·裡根（Nick Regan）在他的YouTube頻道上的細分，此舉並不是完全出乎意料的。上週，他指出，看跌的結構正在形成，並警告了潛在的更正。

As Bitcoin began to pull back, it pulled the altcoin market with it, and Cardano is no exception. On the 4-hour chart, Cardano broke its rising trendline and fell below the $0.72 support zone.

隨著比特幣開始退縮，它將其推出了Altcoin Market，Cardano也不例外。在4小時的圖表上，Cardano打破了其上升的趨勢線，低於0.72美元的支持區。

This level had recently helped keep the ADA price afloat and saw some buying pressure emerge. However, with it now broken, the next key level to watch is around $0.68, an area where previous buyer interest emerged.

該水平最近有助於使ADA價格保持流暢，並看到了一些購買壓力。但是，由於現在打破了它，要觀看的下一個關鍵水平約為0.68美元，這是以前買家興趣的領域。

What’s more concerning is that the red volume candles are growing, which typically signals increasing sell-side momentum.

更令人擔憂的是，紅色體積蠟燭正在增長，這通常信號會增加賣方勢頭。

Is This Part Of A Larger ABC Corrective Structure?

這是較大的ABC矯正結構的一部分嗎？

According to Nick Regan, wave A took ADA down to $0.70, wave B saw a short bounce back to $0.74, and the current wave C is taking ADA even lower.

根據尼克·裡根（Nick Regan）的說法，Wave A將ADA降至0.70美元，W Wave Bounce返回了$ 0.74，而當前的Wave C也使Ada更低。

Ideally, we could see another push to the upside after this dip. But if $0.68 breaks down completely, then this could morph into a much deeper bearish wave.

理想情況下，我們可以看到浸入後的另一個推動。但是，如果$ 0.68完全分解，那麼這可能會變成更深的看跌波。

Despite the recent weakness, Nick remains cautiously optimistic about Cardano’s outlook in 2025. He emphasized that corrections like these are part of the larger crypto cycle. As long as ADA does not fall below $0.58, he believes the macro uptrend is intact.

儘管最近有弱點，但尼克仍然對Cardano在2025年的前景保持謹慎樂觀。他強調，這樣的校正是較大的加密貨幣週期的一部分。只要ADA不低於0.58美元，他認為宏觀上升趨勢是完整的。

In fact, if this current move is just a wave two correction, ADA could still potentially rally towards $3 or more next year.

實際上，如果此目前的舉動只是第二次校正，ADA仍然可能會躍升至明年3美元或以上的$ 3。

Cardano Technical Signals

Cardano技術信號

The 4-hour timeframe now shows ADA trading under its 200 EMA, a bearish sign in the short term. This could invite traders to consider short setups with stops above $0.74 and targets near $0.66 or lower.

4小時的時間範圍現在顯示ADA以其200 EMA的交易，短期內看跌。這可以邀請交易者考慮停靠點以上$ 0.74的短暫設置，目標量接近0.66美元或更低。

Momentum indicators like the MACD are confirming the trend shift, with the MACD line crossing below the signal line and the histogram weakening. At the same time, the 1-hour Stochastic RSI has crossed down from the overbought zone, suggesting a short-term reversal.

諸如MACD之類的動量指標正在確認趨勢變化，MACD線在信號線以下和直方圖弱化。同時，1小時的隨機RSI已從過多的區域越過，這表明短期逆轉。

He also pointed to a potential macro X-Y corrective structure developing on the daily chart. If this plays out fully, the Cardano price could slip further into the $0.65 range before finding real support.

他還指出了每日圖表上潛在的宏XY矯正結構。如果這完全播放，那麼Cardano價格可能會進一步進入0.65美元的範圍，然後才能找到真正的支持。

However, the story isn’t all bearish. On the daily timeframe, the 50 EMA is approaching a crossover above the 200 EMA, a pattern known as a golden cross. While it’s typically seen as bullish, Nick reminded viewers that golden crosses tend to lag and usually confirm moves after they’ve happened.

但是，這個故事並不全是看跌。在每日時間範圍內，50 EMA正接近200 EMA上方的跨界車，這種模式稱為金十字。尼克（Nick）雖然被視為看漲，但尼克（Nick）提醒觀眾，金十字架往往會落後，並且通常在發生後確認舉動。

$0.72 was previously a crucial level, with bulls stepping in repeatedly to defend it. Now that the price is below it, the same level becomes resistance. Regaining it could flip short-term sentiment, but until then, bears remain in control. He also noted that bearish divergence had formed on the RSI while the price was climbing, adding further warning signs.

$ 0.72以前是一個關鍵水平，公牛一再介入以捍衛它。現在價格低於它，相同的水平變成了電阻。重新恢復它可以翻轉短期情緒，但在此之前，熊仍處於控制狀態。他還指出，在價格上漲時，看跌式分歧在RSI上形成，增加了警告信號。

Around $0.68, there’s what Nick called a “confluence zone” where the daily 200 EMA meets a horizontal support level. This could offer a short-term bounce opportunity if the right candles and volume appear.

大約$ 0.68，尼克稱之為“匯合區”，每日200 EMA符合水平支撐水平。如果出現正確的蠟燭和量，這可能會提供短期反彈的機會。

If that happens and ADA climbs back above $0.74, the next target for a swing trade would be $0.80 and potentially $0.94. That would complete a 1-2-3 wave structure up.

如果發生這種情況並且ADA攀升到0.74美元以上，那麼搖擺交易的下一個目標將為0.80美元，可能為0.94美元。那將完成1-2-3的波結構。

Long-Term ADA Price Targets

長期ADA價格目標

Despite the noise in short timeframes, Nick Regan sees long-term potential for Cardano. Using Elliott Wave theory, he outlined a path where ADA could climb back to $3 in 2025.

儘管時間範圍很短，但尼克·裡根（Nick Regan）認為卡爾達諾（Cardano）的長期潛力。他使用埃利奧特（Elliott Wave）理論，概述了一條路徑，ADA可以在2025年攀升至3美元。

If network adoption and on-chain metrics improve, the Cardano price could even stretch toward $5 or $12 over the next few years. However, he cautioned that this is not an overnight move and will require patience.

如果網絡採用和鏈上指標有所改善，那麼在接下來的幾年中，Cardano的價格甚至可以延長至5美元或12美元。但是，他警告說，這不是一夜之間的舉動，需要耐心。

He wrapped up the video with a few practical tips: always use stop losses, avoid going all-in on trades, and manage your risk.

他用一些實用的技巧包裹了視頻：始終使用停止損失，避免全力以赴，並管理您的風險。

Whether this is just a short-term correction or a deeper trend change remains to be seen, but for now, all eyes are on that $0.68 support zone as ADA’s next key test.

無論這只是短期校正還是更深的趨勢變化還有待觀察，但是目前，所有目光都集中在0.68美元的支持區，作為ADA的下一個關鍵測試。