Cardano再发生11％崩溃后遇到麻烦了吗？ ADA价格前景

卡达诺（Cardano）刚刚急剧下降，昨天ADA价格下降了11.7％。最近的倾角使ADA恢复了一些重要的支持区

Cardano price dropped sharply yesterday, extending its recent pullback. As Bitcoin continues to pull back, so too is the altcoin market.

Cardano Price昨天急剧下降，扩大了最近的回调。随着比特币继续向后退，Altcoin市场也是如此。

According to a breakdown by popular trader Nick Regan on his YouTube channel, this move wasn’t entirely unexpected. Last week, he noted that a bearish structure was taking shape and warned of a potential correction.

根据受欢迎的商人尼克·里根（Nick Regan）在他的YouTube频道上的细分，此举并不是完全出乎意料的。上周，他指出，看跌的结构正在形成，并警告了潜在的更正。

As Bitcoin began to pull back, it pulled the altcoin market with it, and Cardano is no exception. On the 4-hour chart, Cardano broke its rising trendline and fell below the $0.72 support zone.

随着比特币开始退缩，它将其推出了Altcoin Market，Cardano也不例外。在4小时的图表上，Cardano打破了其上升的趋势线，低于0.72美元的支持区。

This level had recently helped keep the ADA price afloat and saw some buying pressure emerge. However, with it now broken, the next key level to watch is around $0.68, an area where previous buyer interest emerged.

该水平最近有助于使ADA价格保持流畅，并看到了一些购买压力。但是，由于现在打破了它，要观看的下一个关键水平约为0.68美元，这是以前买家兴趣的领域。

What’s more concerning is that the red volume candles are growing, which typically signals increasing sell-side momentum.

更令人担忧的是，红色体积蜡烛正在增长，这通常信号会增加卖方势头。

Is This Part Of A Larger ABC Corrective Structure?

这是较大的ABC矫正结构的一部分吗？

According to Nick Regan, wave A took ADA down to $0.70, wave B saw a short bounce back to $0.74, and the current wave C is taking ADA even lower.

根据尼克·里根（Nick Regan）的说法，Wave A将ADA降至0.70美元，W Wave Bounce返回了$ 0.74，而当前的Wave C也使Ada更低。

Ideally, we could see another push to the upside after this dip. But if $0.68 breaks down completely, then this could morph into a much deeper bearish wave.

理想情况下，我们可以看到浸入后的另一个推动。但是，如果$ 0.68完全分解，那么这可能会变成更深的看跌波。

Despite the recent weakness, Nick remains cautiously optimistic about Cardano’s outlook in 2025. He emphasized that corrections like these are part of the larger crypto cycle. As long as ADA does not fall below $0.58, he believes the macro uptrend is intact.

尽管最近有弱点，但尼克仍然对Cardano在2025年的前景保持谨慎乐观。他强调，这样的校正是较大的加密货币周期的一部分。只要ADA不低于0.58美元，他认为宏观上升趋势是完整的。

In fact, if this current move is just a wave two correction, ADA could still potentially rally towards $3 or more next year.

实际上，如果此目前的举动只是第二次校正，ADA仍然可能会跃升至明年3美元或以上的$ 3。

Cardano Technical Signals

Cardano技术信号

The 4-hour timeframe now shows ADA trading under its 200 EMA, a bearish sign in the short term. This could invite traders to consider short setups with stops above $0.74 and targets near $0.66 or lower.

4小时的时间范围现在显示ADA以其200 EMA的交易，短期内看跌。这可以邀请交易者考虑停靠点以上$ 0.74的短暂设置，目标量接近0.66美元或更低。

Momentum indicators like the MACD are confirming the trend shift, with the MACD line crossing below the signal line and the histogram weakening. At the same time, the 1-hour Stochastic RSI has crossed down from the overbought zone, suggesting a short-term reversal.

诸如MACD之类的动量指标正在确认趋势变化，MACD线在信号线以下和直方图弱化。同时，1小时的随机RSI已从过多的区域越过，这表明短期逆转。

He also pointed to a potential macro X-Y corrective structure developing on the daily chart. If this plays out fully, the Cardano price could slip further into the $0.65 range before finding real support.

他还指出了每日图表上潜在的宏XY矫正结构。如果这完全播放，那么Cardano价格可能会进一步进入0.65美元的范围，然后才能找到真正的支持。

However, the story isn’t all bearish. On the daily timeframe, the 50 EMA is approaching a crossover above the 200 EMA, a pattern known as a golden cross. While it’s typically seen as bullish, Nick reminded viewers that golden crosses tend to lag and usually confirm moves after they’ve happened.

但是，这个故事并不全是看跌。在每日时间范围内，50 EMA正接近200 EMA上方的跨界车，这种模式称为金十字。尼克（Nick）虽然被视为看涨，但尼克（Nick）提醒观众，金十字架往往会落后，并且通常在发生后确认举动。

$0.72 was previously a crucial level, with bulls stepping in repeatedly to defend it. Now that the price is below it, the same level becomes resistance. Regaining it could flip short-term sentiment, but until then, bears remain in control. He also noted that bearish divergence had formed on the RSI while the price was climbing, adding further warning signs.

$ 0.72以前是一个关键水平，公牛一再介入以捍卫它。现在价格低于它，相同的水平变成了电阻。重新恢复它可以翻转短期情绪，但在此之前，熊仍处于控制状态。他还指出，在价格上涨时，看跌式分歧在RSI上形成，增加了警告信号。

Around $0.68, there’s what Nick called a “confluence zone” where the daily 200 EMA meets a horizontal support level. This could offer a short-term bounce opportunity if the right candles and volume appear.

大约$ 0.68，尼克称之为“汇合区”，每日200 EMA符合水平支撑水平。如果出现正确的蜡烛和量，这可能会提供短期反弹的机会。

If that happens and ADA climbs back above $0.74, the next target for a swing trade would be $0.80 and potentially $0.94. That would complete a 1-2-3 wave structure up.

如果发生这种情况并且ADA攀升到0.74美元以上，那么摇摆交易的下一个目标将为0.80美元，可能为0.94美元。那将完成1-2-3的波结构。

Long-Term ADA Price Targets

长期ADA价格目标

Despite the noise in short timeframes, Nick Regan sees long-term potential for Cardano. Using Elliott Wave theory, he outlined a path where ADA could climb back to $3 in 2025.

尽管时间范围很短，但尼克·里根（Nick Regan）认为卡尔达诺（Cardano）的长期潜力。他使用埃利奥特（Elliott Wave）理论，概述了一条路径，ADA可以在2025年攀升至3美元。

If network adoption and on-chain metrics improve, the Cardano price could even stretch toward $5 or $12 over the next few years. However, he cautioned that this is not an overnight move and will require patience.

如果网络采用和链上指标有所改善，那么在接下来的几年中，Cardano的价格甚至可以延长至5美元或12美元。但是，他警告说，这不是一夜之间的举动，需要耐心。

He wrapped up the video with a few practical tips: always use stop losses, avoid going all-in on trades, and manage your risk.

他用一些实用的技巧包裹了视频：始终使用停止损失，避免全力以赴，并管理您的风险。

Whether this is just a short-term correction or a deeper trend change remains to be seen, but for now, all eyes are on that $0.68 support zone as ADA’s next key test.

无论这只是短期校正还是更深的趋势变化还有待观察，但是目前，所有目光都集中在0.68美元的支持区，作为ADA的下一个关键测试。