BTCUSD每日展望

BTCUSD 的降息希望維持在 60000 美元上方。它觸及65美元的高點，目前交易價格約為6,1100美元。

BTCUSD price outlook: TokenPost analysis

BTCUSD 價格前景：TokenPost 分析

BTCUSD is trading higher on hopes of a 50 basis point rate cut by the Federal Reserve in September.

由於聯準會 9 月降息 50 個基點的希望，BTCUSD 交易走高。

The pair hit a high of $65 and is currently trading at around $61100.

該貨幣對觸及 65 美元高點，目前交易價格約為 61100 美元。

According to the CME Fed watch tool, the probability of a 50 bpbs rate cut in Sep increased to 38.50% from 24% a week ago.

根據芝商所聯準會觀察工具，9月降息50個基點的可能性從一週前的24%上升至38.50%。

However, the probability of a 25 bpbs rate cut also increased to 61.50% from 76% a week ago.

不過，降息25個基點的可能性也從一週前的76%上升至61.50%。

BTC ETF saw inflows of $252M on Aug 23rd, 2024.

2024 年 8 月 23 日，BTC ETF 資金流入達 2.52 億美元。

All 5 major US Bitcoin ETFs saw strong inflows of over $20M yesterday.

昨天，美國所有 5 個主要比特幣 ETF 的資金流入均超過 2,000 萬美元。

The total inflows into the 5 ETFs now stand at $1.1B for the month of August.

8 月流入 5 檔 ETF 的總資金目前為 $1.1B。

US markets closed mixed on Monday. The Dow closed lower, while the S&P 500 and Nasdaq Composite both closed higher.

週一美國市場收盤漲跌互現。道瓊斯指數收低，而標準普爾 500 指數和那斯達克指數均收高。

The S&P 500 index (positive correlation with BTC) closed almost flat and is still struggling to clear the 20000 price point. Any close above will open up the index for a rally to 19000.

標準普爾 500 指數（與 BTC 呈正相關）收盤幾乎持平，仍在努力突破 20000 點。任何收盤價均高於該指數都將推動該指數反彈至 19000 點。

The technology-heavy Nasdaq index (negative correlation with BTC) closed lower and is now eyeing a support at 13000. Failure to hold that support will drag the index to 12500.

以科技股為主的納斯達克指數（與 BTC 呈負相關）收盤走低，目前關注 13000 點的支撐位。

On the technical front, BTCUSD trades above the short-term moving average of 21 EMA and 55 EMA and the long-term moving average (200 EMA) in the 4-hour chart.

技術面上，4小時圖中，BTCUSD交投於21 EMA和55 EMA的短期均線以及長期均線（200 EMA）上方。

The pair is also trading above the Bollinger Bands moving average, indicating a bullish momentum.

該貨幣對也交投於布林通道移動平均線之上，顯示看漲勢頭。

On the downside, minor support is seen at $57000. Any break below will open up the pair for a slide to the next support at $54500-$53000, followed by $50000 and $46000 levels.

下檔方面，小幅支撐位為 57000 美元。任何跌破都將使該貨幣對滑向下一個支撐位 54500-53000 美元，然後是 50000 美元和 46000 美元水平。

On the upside, primary supply zone is seen at $63000. Any break above will confirm a bullish continuation. A jump to $65000, followed by $67000 and $70000 levels is possible.

從好的方面來看，主要供應區域預計為 63000 美元。任何突破都將確認看漲的延續。可能會躍升至 65000 美元，然後是 67000 美元和 70000 美元。

Secondary barrier is seen at $70000. A close above that barrier targets $750000 and $80000 levels.

次要障礙為 70000 美元。收盤價高於該障礙的目標價位為 750000 美元和 80000 美元。

It will be interesting to see if BTCUSD can continue to trade higher in the coming sessions and eventually clear the $63000 resistance zone.

看看 BTCUSD 在接下來的交易日中是否能夠繼續走高並最終突破 63000 美元的阻力區，這將是一件有趣的事情。

If that happens, the pair could be set for a rally to $65000, followed by $67000 and $70000 levels.

如果發生這種情況，該貨幣對可能會反彈至 65000 美元，然後是 67000 美元和 70000 美元水平。

However, if BTCUSD fails to hold above the $60000 level, it could be vulnerable to a slide to $57000, followed by $54500-$53000, $50000 and $46000 levels.

然而，如果 BTCUSD 未能守住 60000 美元的水平，則可能會跌至 57000 美元，然後是 54500-53000 美元、50000 美元和 46000 美元的水平。

From a trading perspective, it might be a good idea to buy on dips around $57000 with a stop loss around $55000 for targets of $63000 and $67000.

從交易角度來看，在 57000 美元左右逢低買入可能是個好主意，止損在 55000 美元左右，目標價為 63000 美元和 67000 美元。