BTCUSD每日展望

BTCUSD 的降息希望维持在 60000 美元以上。它触及65美元的高点，目前交易价格约为61100美元。

BTCUSD price outlook: TokenPost analysis

BTCUSD 价格前景：TokenPost 分析

BTCUSD is trading higher on hopes of a 50 basis point rate cut by the Federal Reserve in September.

由于美联储 9 月份降息 50 个基点的希望，BTCUSD 交易走高。

The pair hit a high of $65 and is currently trading at around $61100.

该货币对触及 65 美元高点，目前交易价格约为 61100 美元。

According to the CME Fed watch tool, the probability of a 50 bpbs rate cut in Sep increased to 38.50% from 24% a week ago.

根据芝商所美联储观察工具，9月份降息50个基点的可能性从一周前的24%上升至38.50%。

However, the probability of a 25 bpbs rate cut also increased to 61.50% from 76% a week ago.

不过，降息25个基点的可能性也从一周前的76%上升至61.50%。

BTC ETF saw inflows of $252M on Aug 23rd, 2024.

2024 年 8 月 23 日，BTC ETF 资金流入达 2.52 亿美元。

All 5 major US Bitcoin ETFs saw strong inflows of over $20M yesterday.

昨天，美国所有 5 个主要比特币 ETF 的资金流入均超过 2000 万美元。

The total inflows into the 5 ETFs now stand at $1.1B for the month of August.

8 月份流入 5 只 ETF 的总资金目前为 $1.1B。

US markets closed mixed on Monday. The Dow closed lower, while the S&P 500 and Nasdaq Composite both closed higher.

周一美国市场收盘涨跌互现。道琼斯指数收低，而标准普尔 500 指数和纳斯达克综合指数均收高。

The S&P 500 index (positive correlation with BTC) closed almost flat and is still struggling to clear the 20000 price point. Any close above will open up the index for a rally to 19000.

标准普尔 500 指数（与 BTC 呈正相关）收盘几乎持平，仍在努力突破 20000 点。任何收盘价均高于该指数都将推动该指数反弹至 19000 点。

The technology-heavy Nasdaq index (negative correlation with BTC) closed lower and is now eyeing a support at 13000. Failure to hold that support will drag the index to 12500.

以科技股为主的纳斯达克指数（与 BTC 呈负相关）收盘走低，目前关注 13000 点的支撑位。未能守住该支撑位将拖累该指数至 12500 点。

On the technical front, BTCUSD trades above the short-term moving average of 21 EMA and 55 EMA and the long-term moving average (200 EMA) in the 4-hour chart.

技术面上，4小时图中，BTCUSD交投于21 EMA和55 EMA的短期均线以及长期均线（200 EMA）上方。

The pair is also trading above the Bollinger Bands moving average, indicating a bullish momentum.

该货币对也交投于布林带移动平均线之上，表明看涨势头。

On the downside, minor support is seen at $57000. Any break below will open up the pair for a slide to the next support at $54500-$53000, followed by $50000 and $46000 levels.

下行方面，小幅支撑位为 57000 美元。任何跌破都将使该货币对滑向下一个支撑位 54500-53000 美元，然后是 50000 美元和 46000 美元水平。

On the upside, primary supply zone is seen at $63000. Any break above will confirm a bullish continuation. A jump to $65000, followed by $67000 and $70000 levels is possible.

从好的方面来看，主要供应区域预计为 63000 美元。任何突破都将确认看涨的延续。可能会跃升至 65000 美元，然后是 67000 美元和 70000 美元。

Secondary barrier is seen at $70000. A close above that barrier targets $750000 and $80000 levels.

次要障碍为 70000 美元。收盘价高于该障碍的目标价位为 750000 美元和 80000 美元。

It will be interesting to see if BTCUSD can continue to trade higher in the coming sessions and eventually clear the $63000 resistance zone.

看看 BTCUSD 在接下来的交易日中是否能够继续走高并最终突破 63000 美元的阻力区，这将是一件很有趣的事情。

If that happens, the pair could be set for a rally to $65000, followed by $67000 and $70000 levels.

如果发生这种情况，该货币对可能会反弹至 65000 美元，然后是 67000 美元和 70000 美元水平。

However, if BTCUSD fails to hold above the $60000 level, it could be vulnerable to a slide to $57000, followed by $54500-$53000, $50000 and $46000 levels.

然而，如果 BTCUSD 未能守住 60000 美元的水平，则可能会跌至 57000 美元，然后是 54500-53000 美元、50000 美元和 46000 美元的水平。

From a trading perspective, it might be a good idea to buy on dips around $57000 with a stop loss around $55000 for targets of $63000 and $67000.

从交易角度来看，在 57000 美元左右逢低买入可能是个好主意，止损在 55000 美元左右，目标价为 63000 美元和 67000 美元。