BTC價格波動，恐慌購買和比特幣預測：導航加密風暴

比特幣在地緣政治緊張局勢和監管轉移的情況下面臨壓力。它會在$ 10萬美元中找到支持，還是更深入的下降來？另外，潛在的分裂籠罩著比特幣的核心原則。

Bitcoin's price is on a rollercoaster, triggering both panic buys and cautious forecasts. Geopolitical tensions and internal disagreements add fuel to the fire. Let's break down what's happening.

比特幣的價格是在過山車上的，既引發了恐慌的購買又謹慎的預測。地緣政治緊張局勢和內部分歧為火災增加了燃料。讓我們分解發生的事情。

BTC Price Retreats: Panic or Opportunity?

BTC價格撤退：恐慌還是機會？

Bitcoin (BTC) has been under pressure recently, dipping below $100,000 after hitting highs above $111,000 in May. Escalating tensions between the U.S. and Iran, along with uncertainty in Washington, have spooked investors. Equities slipped, and safe-haven demand surged, leaving crypto investors wary.

比特幣（BTC）最近處於壓力下，5月的高高超過111,000美元，低於100,000美元。美國和伊朗之間的緊張局勢升級，以及華盛頓的不確定性，使投資者震驚。股票滑倒，避風港的需求激增，使加密貨幣投資者保持警惕。

Despite the jitters, some remain optimistic. MicroStrategy founder Michael Saylor, speaking at BTC Prague 2025, reaffirmed his bold forecast that BTC could reach $21 million per coin within 21 years, citing pro-crypto regulation and fiat currency devaluation.

儘管有令人震驚的人，但有些仍然樂觀。 MicroStrategy創始人Michael Saylor在BTC Prague 2025上發表講話，重申了他大膽的預測，即BTC在21年內可以在21年內達到2100萬美元，理由是Pro-Crypto法規和法定貨幣貶值。

The big question now: is this a golden buying opportunity, or is there more pain ahead? Traders are watching closely to see if Bitcoin can stabilize around the $100,000 mark or if it will dip further, potentially retesting April's lows near $74,000.

現在的大問題：這是一個金色的購買機會，還是未來的痛苦？交易者正在密切關注，以查看比特幣是否可以穩定在100,000美元的大關左右，或者是否會進一步降低，可能會重新測試四月的低點接近74,000美元。

Bitcoin Forecast: A House Divided?

比特幣預測：房屋分裂了？

Beyond price fluctuations, a more fundamental shift is occurring within the Bitcoin community. Bitcoin Knots, a more configurable alternative to Bitcoin Core, has seen a massive surge in popularity. Its node count has jumped over 600% this year, suggesting growing dissent against Core's influence.

除了價格波動之外，比特幣社區中正在發生更根本的轉變。比特幣結是比特幣核心的更可配置的替代品，已經看到了巨大的普及。它的節點計數今年增長了600％以上，這表明反對Core的影響力的異議。

This isn't just technical disagreement; it's ideological. Core developers are signaling a move towards a “minimally permissive” relay policy, potentially restricting non-standard transactions like those involving OP_RETURN (used for things like Ordinals and NFTs). Critics argue this undermines Bitcoin’s neutrality by enforcing a subjective vision of what's allowed on the network.

這不僅僅是技術分歧；這是意識形態。核心開發人員正在向“最低限制”繼電器策略邁出，這可能會限制非標準交易，例如涉及op_return的交易（用於OP_Return（用於序列和NFT）。批評家認為，這通過對網絡中允許的內容的主觀構想來破壞比特幣的中立性。

If Core’s changes, slated for October 2025, cause incompatibilities with non-Core clients like Knots, we could see a replay of the 2017 SegWit2x showdown. With over 13% of the network already running Knots, this is more than just a protest vote—it’s the beginning of a parallel consensus.

如果Core的變化定於2025年10月，與打結等非核心客戶造成了不兼容，我們可以看到2017年SEGWIT2X攤牌的重播。由於超過13％的網絡已經在打結，這不僅僅是抗議投票，而是平行共識的開始。

Panic Buy or Hodl? Lessons from the Past

恐慌購買還是hodl？過去的教訓

The 2017 Bitcoin Cash fork offers some perspective. While BTC initially dipped, it quickly recovered and surged to new heights. This time, however, the stakes are higher with Bitcoin ETFs and corporations holding BTC on their balance sheets. A schism could have significant market risks.

2017年比特幣現金叉提供了一些視角。當BTC最初浸入時，它迅速恢復併升至新的高度。但是，這次，比特幣ETF和公司持有BTC的資產負債表上的賭注更高。分裂可能會有很大的市場風險。

Final Thoughts: Buckle Up, Buttercup!

最終想法：扣緊，毛cup！

So, what’s the takeaway? Bitcoin's price is always a wild ride. Whether you're a seasoned HODLer or a newbie considering a panic buy, remember to do your research, understand the risks, and maybe, just maybe, have a little fun along the way. After all, it wouldn't be crypto without a bit of drama, right?

那麼，收穫是什麼？比特幣的價格始終是一個瘋狂的旅程。無論您是一個經驗豐富的霍德勒還是考慮恐慌購買的新手，都記得要進行研究，了解風險，也許，也許在此過程中有些樂趣。畢竟，沒有一點戲劇，這不會是加密貨幣，對嗎？