BTC价格波动，恐慌购买和比特币预测：导航加密风暴

比特币在地缘政治紧张局势和监管转移的情况下面临压力。它会在$ 10万美元中找到支持，还是更深入的下降来？另外，潜在的分裂笼罩着比特币的核心原则。

Bitcoin's price is on a rollercoaster, triggering both panic buys and cautious forecasts. Geopolitical tensions and internal disagreements add fuel to the fire. Let's break down what's happening.

比特币的价格是在过山车上的，既引发了恐慌的购买又谨慎的预测。地缘政治紧张局势和内部分歧为火灾增加了燃料。让我们分解发生的事情。

BTC Price Retreats: Panic or Opportunity?

BTC价格撤退：恐慌还是机会？

Bitcoin (BTC) has been under pressure recently, dipping below $100,000 after hitting highs above $111,000 in May. Escalating tensions between the U.S. and Iran, along with uncertainty in Washington, have spooked investors. Equities slipped, and safe-haven demand surged, leaving crypto investors wary.

比特币（BTC）最近处于压力下，5月的高高超过111,000美元，低于100,000美元。美国和伊朗之间的紧张局势升级，以及华盛顿的不确定性，使投资者震惊。股票滑倒，避风港的需求激增，使加密货币投资者保持警惕。

Despite the jitters, some remain optimistic. MicroStrategy founder Michael Saylor, speaking at BTC Prague 2025, reaffirmed his bold forecast that BTC could reach $21 million per coin within 21 years, citing pro-crypto regulation and fiat currency devaluation.

尽管有令人震惊的人，但有些仍然乐观。 MicroStrategy创始人Michael Saylor在BTC Prague 2025上发表讲话，重申了他大胆的预测，即BTC在21年内可以在21年内达到2100万美元，理由是Pro-Crypto法规和法定货币贬值。

The big question now: is this a golden buying opportunity, or is there more pain ahead? Traders are watching closely to see if Bitcoin can stabilize around the $100,000 mark or if it will dip further, potentially retesting April's lows near $74,000.

现在的大问题：这是一个金色的购买机会，还是未来的痛苦？交易者正在密切关注，以查看比特币是否可以稳定在100,000美元的大关左右，或者是否会进一步降低，可能会重新测试四月的低点接近74,000美元。

Bitcoin Forecast: A House Divided?

比特币预测：房屋分裂了？

Beyond price fluctuations, a more fundamental shift is occurring within the Bitcoin community. Bitcoin Knots, a more configurable alternative to Bitcoin Core, has seen a massive surge in popularity. Its node count has jumped over 600% this year, suggesting growing dissent against Core's influence.

除了价格波动之外，比特币社区中正在发生更根本的转变。比特币结是比特币核心的更可配置的替代品，已经看到了巨大的普及。它的节点计数今年增长了600％以上，这表明反对Core的影响力的异议。

This isn't just technical disagreement; it's ideological. Core developers are signaling a move towards a “minimally permissive” relay policy, potentially restricting non-standard transactions like those involving OP_RETURN (used for things like Ordinals and NFTs). Critics argue this undermines Bitcoin’s neutrality by enforcing a subjective vision of what's allowed on the network.

这不仅仅是技术分歧；这是意识形态。核心开发人员正在向“最低限制”继电器策略迈出，这可能会限制非标准交易，例如涉及op_return的交易（用于OP_Return（用于序列和NFT）。批评家认为，这通过对网络中允许的内容的主观构想来破坏比特币的中立性。

If Core’s changes, slated for October 2025, cause incompatibilities with non-Core clients like Knots, we could see a replay of the 2017 SegWit2x showdown. With over 13% of the network already running Knots, this is more than just a protest vote—it’s the beginning of a parallel consensus.

如果Core的变化定于2025年10月，与打结等非核心客户造成了不兼容，我们可以看到2017年SEGWIT2X摊牌的重播。由于超过13％的网络已经在打结，这不仅仅是抗议投票，而是平行共识的开始。

Panic Buy or Hodl? Lessons from the Past

恐慌购买还是hodl？过去的教训

The 2017 Bitcoin Cash fork offers some perspective. While BTC initially dipped, it quickly recovered and surged to new heights. This time, however, the stakes are higher with Bitcoin ETFs and corporations holding BTC on their balance sheets. A schism could have significant market risks.

2017年比特币现金叉提供了一些视角。当BTC最初浸入时，它迅速恢复并升至新的高度。但是，这次，比特币ETF和公司持有BTC的资产负债表上的赌注更高。分裂可能会有很大的市场风险。

Final Thoughts: Buckle Up, Buttercup!

最终想法：扣紧，毛cup！

So, what’s the takeaway? Bitcoin's price is always a wild ride. Whether you're a seasoned HODLer or a newbie considering a panic buy, remember to do your research, understand the risks, and maybe, just maybe, have a little fun along the way. After all, it wouldn't be crypto without a bit of drama, right?

那么，收获是什么？比特币的价格始终是一个疯狂的旅程。无论您是一个经验丰富的霍德勒还是考虑恐慌购买的新手，都记得要进行研究，了解风险，也许，也许在此过程中有些乐趣。毕竟，没有一点戏剧，这不会是加密货币，对吗？