比特幣鯨魚交易數量現已達到 10 週以來最高水平

鏈上數據顯示，在最近的反彈之後，比特幣鯨魚交易量激增，這表明獲利了結可能已經開始。

Bitcoin price has seen a rally of over 9% during the last week. Now, on-chain data shows that the large BTC transactions, defined as those carrying a value of at least $100,000, have spiked to the highest level in ten weeks.

上週比特幣價格上漲了 9% 以上。現在，鏈上數據顯示，大額 BTC 交易（定義為價值至少 10 萬美元的交易）已飆升至十週以來的最高水平。

According to data from the on-chain analytics firm Santiment, the Bitcoin whales have shown an increase in activity recently. The indicator of relevance here is the “Whale Transaction Count,” which keeps track of the total amount of transfers taking place on the BTC blockchain that are carrying a value of at least $100,000.

根據鏈上分析公司 Santiment 的數據，比特幣鯨魚最近的活動增加。這裡的相關指標是“鯨魚交易計數”，它追蹤 BTC 區塊鏈上發生的、價值至少為 100,000 美元的轉帳總量。

When the value of this metric is high, it means the whales are making a large number of moves on the network right now. Such a trend implies these humongous holders have an active interest in trading the coin.

當該指標的值較高時，表示鯨魚目前正在網路上進行大量移動。這種趨勢意味著這些巨大的持有者對交易代幣有著積極的興趣。

On the other hand, the indicator being low suggests the whales may not currently be paying much attention to the cryptocurrency as they aren’t making too many transactions.

另一方面，該指標較低表明鯨魚目前可能並未過多關注加密貨幣，因為他們沒有進行太多交易。

Now, here is a chart that shows the trend in the Bitcoin Whale Transaction Count over the last few months:

現在，下面的圖表顯示了過去幾個月比特幣鯨魚交易計數的趨勢：

As displayed in the above graph, the Bitcoin Whale Transaction Count has seen a notable spike recently, suggesting that the whales have made a large amount of transfers. More particularly, these humongous entities made a total of 11,697 transfers in the span of 24 hours at the peak of this spike.

如上圖所示，比特幣鯨魚的交易數量最近出現了明顯的飆升，這表明比特幣鯨魚進行了大量的轉帳。更具體地說，在高峰期的 24 小時內，這些龐大的實體總共進行了 11,697 次轉帳。

Generally, it’s hard to say anything about what sort of transfer activity it is exactly that the whales are participating in based off the Whale Transaction Count alone, since both selling and buying transactions look the same from the perspective of the indicator. The accompanying price action, though, can provide some hints.

一般來說，僅根據鯨魚交易計數很難判斷鯨魚到底參與了哪種轉移活動，因為從指標的角度來看，賣出和買入交易看起來都是一樣的。不過，隨之而來的價格走勢可以提供一些提示。

The latest peak in the metric is the highest that the indicator has gotten since early August. Back then, the spike had coincided with a crash in the asset’s price, implying that a lot of the whales’ moves may have had been for selling.

該指標的最新高峰是該指標自八月初以來的最高值。當時，價格飆升恰逢資產價格暴跌，這意味著鯨魚的許多舉動可能都是為了拋售。

The current increase in the Whale Transaction Count has come as Bitcoin has been rallying, so it’s possible that the whales may be participating in profit-taking again. Since the spike occurred, BTC has slid down under $67,000, which may add evidence for this.

當前鯨魚交易數量的增加是隨著比特幣的上漲而出現的，因此鯨魚可能會再次參與獲利了結。自飆升發生以來，BTC 已跌至 67,000 美元以下，這可能為這一點提供了更多證據。

In the same chart, Santiment has also attached the data for another BTC metric: the Social Dominance. This indicator basically tells us about the share of social media discussions that Bitcoin is occupying as compared to the total for the top 100 assets in the sector.

在同一張圖表中，Santiment 也附上了另一個 BTC 指標的數據：社交優勢。該指標基本上告訴我們，與該行業前 100 種資產的總數相比，比特幣在社交媒體討論中所佔的份額。

From the graph, it’s apparent that the Social Dominance has spiked to 25.5% for the cryptocurrency, which is the highest value since late July. Thus, Bitcoin’s mindshare is currently high when compared to that of the altcoins.

從圖中可以明顯看出，加密貨幣的社交支配力已飆升至 25.5%，這是自 7 月下旬以來的最高價值。因此，與山寨幣相比，比特幣目前的關注度很高。

This is usually a sign of fear of missing out (FOMO) among traders. Historically, excessive hype has been a poor sign for BTC, with tops often following it.

這通常是交易者擔心錯過機會 (FOMO) 的表現。從歷史上看，過度炒作對比特幣來說是一個不好的跡象，往往會出現頂峰。

“Both of these signals are signs that the rally may be on hold due to key stakeholder profit taking and high crowd FOMO,” notes the analytics firm.

該分析公司指出：“這兩個信號都表明，由於主要利益相關者的獲利回吐和大量人群的恐懼心理，漲勢可能會被擱置。”

BTC Price

比特幣價格

At the time of writing, Bitcoin is trading at around $66,900, up more than 9% over the last week.

截至撰寫本文時，比特幣交易價格約為 66,900 美元，較上週上漲超過 9%。