比特币鲸鱼交易数量现已达到 10 周以来最高水平

链上数据显示，在最近的反弹之后，比特币鲸鱼交易量激增，这表明获利了结可能已经开始。

Bitcoin price has seen a rally of over 9% during the last week. Now, on-chain data shows that the large BTC transactions, defined as those carrying a value of at least $100,000, have spiked to the highest level in ten weeks.

上周比特币价格上涨超过 9%。现在，链上数据显示，大额 BTC 交易（定义为价值至少 10 万美元的交易）已飙升至十周以来的最高水平。

According to data from the on-chain analytics firm Santiment, the Bitcoin whales have shown an increase in activity recently. The indicator of relevance here is the “Whale Transaction Count,” which keeps track of the total amount of transfers taking place on the BTC blockchain that are carrying a value of at least $100,000.

根据链上分析公司 Santiment 的数据，比特币鲸鱼最近的活动有所增加。这里的相关指标是“鲸鱼交易计数”，它跟踪 BTC 区块链上发生的、价值至少为 100,000 美元的转账总量。

When the value of this metric is high, it means the whales are making a large number of moves on the network right now. Such a trend implies these humongous holders have an active interest in trading the coin.

当该指标的值较高时，意味着鲸鱼目前正在网络上进行大量移动。这种趋势意味着这些巨大的持有者对交易代币有着积极的兴趣。

On the other hand, the indicator being low suggests the whales may not currently be paying much attention to the cryptocurrency as they aren’t making too many transactions.

另一方面，该指标较低表明鲸鱼目前可能并未过多关注加密货币，因为他们没有进行太多交易。

Now, here is a chart that shows the trend in the Bitcoin Whale Transaction Count over the last few months:

现在，下面的图表显示了过去几个月比特币鲸鱼交易计数的趋势：

As displayed in the above graph, the Bitcoin Whale Transaction Count has seen a notable spike recently, suggesting that the whales have made a large amount of transfers. More particularly, these humongous entities made a total of 11,697 transfers in the span of 24 hours at the peak of this spike.

如上图所示，比特币鲸鱼的交易数量最近出现了明显的飙升，这表明比特币鲸鱼进行了大量的转账。更具体地说，在高峰期的 24 小时内，这些庞大的实体总共进行了 11,697 次转账。

Generally, it’s hard to say anything about what sort of transfer activity it is exactly that the whales are participating in based off the Whale Transaction Count alone, since both selling and buying transactions look the same from the perspective of the indicator. The accompanying price action, though, can provide some hints.

一般来说，仅根据鲸鱼交易计数很难判断鲸鱼到底参与了哪种转移活动，因为从指标的角度来看，卖出和买入交易看起来都是一样的。不过，随之而来的价格走势可以提供一些提示。

The latest peak in the metric is the highest that the indicator has gotten since early August. Back then, the spike had coincided with a crash in the asset’s price, implying that a lot of the whales’ moves may have had been for selling.

该指标的最新峰值是该指标自八月初以来的最高值。当时，价格飙升恰逢资产价格暴跌，这意味着鲸鱼的许多举动可能都是为了抛售。

The current increase in the Whale Transaction Count has come as Bitcoin has been rallying, so it’s possible that the whales may be participating in profit-taking again. Since the spike occurred, BTC has slid down under $67,000, which may add evidence for this.

当前鲸鱼交易数量的增加是随着比特币的上涨而出现的，因此鲸鱼可能会再次参与获利了结。自飙升发生以来，BTC 已跌至 67,000 美元以下，这可能为这一点提供了更多证据。

In the same chart, Santiment has also attached the data for another BTC metric: the Social Dominance. This indicator basically tells us about the share of social media discussions that Bitcoin is occupying as compared to the total for the top 100 assets in the sector.

在同一张图表中，Santiment 还附上了另一个 BTC 指标的数据：社交优势。该指标基本上告诉我们，与该行业前 100 种资产的总数相比，比特币在社交媒体讨论中所占的份额。

From the graph, it’s apparent that the Social Dominance has spiked to 25.5% for the cryptocurrency, which is the highest value since late July. Thus, Bitcoin’s mindshare is currently high when compared to that of the altcoins.

从图中可以明显看出，加密货币的社交支配力已飙升至 25.5%，这是自 7 月下旬以来的最高值。因此，与山寨币相比，比特币目前的关注度很高。

This is usually a sign of fear of missing out (FOMO) among traders. Historically, excessive hype has been a poor sign for BTC, with tops often following it.

这通常是交易者担心错过机会 (FOMO) 的表现。从历史上看，过度炒作对比特币来说是一个不好的迹象，往往会出现顶峰。

“Both of these signals are signs that the rally may be on hold due to key stakeholder profit taking and high crowd FOMO,” notes the analytics firm.

该分析公司指出：“这两个信号都表明，由于主要利益相关者的获利回吐和大量人群的恐惧心理，涨势可能会被搁置。”

BTC Price

比特币价格

At the time of writing, Bitcoin is trading at around $66,900, up more than 9% over the last week.

截至撰写本文时，比特币交易价格约为 66,900 美元，较上周上涨超过 9%。