比特幣在四月的疲軟開局後反彈

Bitcoin rebounds after starting April on a downturn. Let’s analyze the future prospects for the BTC price together.

比特幣在四月開始低迷後反彈。讓我們一起來分析BTC價格的未來前景。

Bitcoin (BTC) Situation

While Bitcoin faced selling pressure in the early days of April, the leading cryptocurrency’s price has recovered after hitting a new low at $64,500. Indeed, it reached $72,000 this Monday. This price level seems to have acted as resistance, with BTC struggling to surpass it. In fact, this Tuesday morning, the Bitcoin price fell back below the previous resistance level identified at $71,270. At the time of writing, Bitcoin is trading around $70,000.

比特幣 (BTC) 情況雖然比特幣在 4 月初面臨拋售壓力，但領先的加密貨幣價格在觸及 64,500 美元的新低點後已有所回升。事實上，本週一它達到了 72,000 美元。這個價格水平似乎起到了阻力作用，比特幣正在努力超越它。事實上，本週二上午，比特幣價格回落至先前確定的阻力位 71,270 美元以下。截至撰寫本文時，比特幣交易價格約為 70,000 美元。

Bitcoin is holding slightly above the value zone located around $69,800, which could serve as support. Overall, Bitcoin’s trend remains bullish, as evidenced by the 50 and 200-day moving averages. Regarding market dynamics, a slight rebound is observed, though it is not yet significant, as indicated by the oscillators. This phenomenon could prove harmful in the long term.

比特幣略高於 69,800 美元左右的價值區域，這可以作為支撐。總體而言，比特幣的趨勢仍然看漲，50 日和 200 日移動均線證明了這一點。就市場動態而言，根據振盪指標，觀察到輕微反彈，但尚未顯著。從長遠來看，這種現象可能是有害的。

The current technical analysis has been conducted in collaboration with Elie FT, an investor and passionate trader in the cryptocurrency market. Now a trainer with Family Trading, a community of thousands of proprietary traders active since 2017. You will find live sessions, educational content, and peer support around financial markets in a professional and warm atmosphere.

BTCUSD 每日圖表目前的技術分析是與加密貨幣市場的投資者和熱情交易者 Elie FT 合作進行的。現在是 Family Trading 的培訓師，該社區自 2017 年以來活躍了數千名自營交易員。您將在專業而熱情的氛圍中找到圍繞金融市場的現場課程、教育內容和同行支持。

Focus on Derivatives (BTCUSDT)

The open interest in BTC/USDT contracts has followed the direction of its price. Indeed, we can see that they increased before slightly decreasing this Tuesday, April 9th in the morning. It is interesting to note that the majority of the liquidations have recently been of short positions. Coupled with a subtle increase in the funding rate, this indicates that the interest in Bitcoin perpetual contracts has recently been predominantly on the buy side.

關注衍生性商品（BTCUSDT）BTC/USDT合約的持股量跟隨其價格的走勢而變化。事實上，我們可以看到它們在 4 月 9 日星期二早上略有下降之前有所增加。有趣的是，最近大部分清算都是空頭部位。再加上資金費率的微妙上升，這表明最近對比特幣永續合約的興趣主要集中在買方。

The liquidation heat map of the past month indicates that BTC/USDT has gone through a significant liquidation area, located around $72,000. Currently, the Bitcoin price seems to show selling interest at this level, marking a slight distribution phase. At present, the most significant liquidation zone above the current price is in a price range between $73,000 and $75,000. Below the current price, the notable levels are $69,000 and further down, $64,500. If the market approaches these levels, we could witness a massive triggering of orders, potentially increasing the cryptocurrency’s volatility. These zones, therefore, represent a major point of interest for investors.

比特幣持倉量/清算和資金費率過去一個月的清算熱圖表明，BTC/USDT 經歷了一個重要的清算區域，位於 72,000 美元左右。目前，比特幣價格似乎在這個水準上表現出拋售興趣，標誌著輕微的派發階段。目前，高於目前價格的最重要清算區域位於 73,000 美元至 75,000 美元之間的價格範圍。低於當前價格，值得注意的水平為 69,000 美元，進一步下降為 64,500 美元。如果市場接近這些水平，我們可能會看到大量訂單觸發，這可能會增加加密貨幣的波動性。因此，這些區域代表了投資者的主要興趣點。

Hypotheses for the Bitcoin (BTC) Price

• If the Bitcoin price manages to hold above $69,000, we could anticipate a bullish continuation up to the $73,000 level. The next resistance to consider, if the bullish movement continues, would be $74,000 or even $75,000 and beyond. At this point, it would represent an increase of over 7%.

• If the Bitcoin price fails to hold above $69,000, we might expect buyer support around $67,000. The next level to consider, if the bearish movement continues, would be in a price range around $64,000 and $63,000. At that stage, it would represent a drop of nearly -9%.

Conclusion

In the face of early April’s turbulence, Bitcoin shows a bullish trend supported by signs of resilience above key support levels. Despite the immediate challenges, it seems likely that buyers predominate the market. Nevertheless, it will be crucial to closely observe the price reaction at different key levels to confirm or invalidate the current hypotheses. It is also important to remain vigilant of potential “fake outs” and market “squeezes” in each scenario. Finally, let’s remember that these analyses are based solely on technical criteria and that cryptocurrency prices can evolve rapidly due to other more fundamental factors.

BTC 清算熱圖（1 個月）比特幣 (BTC) 價格假設如果比特幣價格設法保持在 69,000 美元以上，我們可以預期看漲將持續至 73,000 美元水準。如果看漲走勢持續下去，下一個需要考慮的阻力位將是 74,000 美元，甚至 75,000 美元及以上。此時，其漲幅將超過 7%。如果比特幣價格未能保持在 69,000 美元以上，我們可能會預期買家支撐位約為 67,000 美元。如果看跌趨勢持續下去，下一個要考慮的水平將是 64,000 美元至 63,000 美元左右的價格範圍。到了那個階段，這將意味著近-9%的下跌。結論面對4月初的動盪，比特幣顯示出看漲趨勢，並受到關鍵支撐位之上的反彈跡象的支持。儘管面臨迫在眉睫的挑戰，買家似乎仍主導市場。儘管如此，密切觀察不同關鍵水平的價格反應以確認或推翻當前的假設至關重要。同樣重要的是，對每種情況下潛在的「假局」和市場「擠壓」保持警惕。最後，讓我們記住，這些分析僅基於技術標準，加密貨幣價格可能由於其他更基本的因素而迅速變化。

Family Trading

Family Trading est une Communauté de traders a compte propre active depuis 2017 offrant Lives, contenus éducatifs et entraides autour des marchés financiers dont celui des cryptomonnaies avec à ses côtés Elie FT, investisseur et trader de passion sur le marché crypto.

點擊此處加入“閱讀賺錢”，將您對加密貨幣的熱情轉化為獎勵！AALink 複製Family TradingFamily Trading 是自2017 年以來活躍的自帳戶交易者社區，提供圍繞金融市場（包括加密貨幣市場）的生活、教育內容和互助與加密貨幣市場充滿熱情的投資者和交易員 Elie FT 一起。