比特币在四月份的疲软开局后反弹

Bitcoin rebounds after starting April on a downturn. Let’s analyze the future prospects for the BTC price together.

比特币在四月份开始低迷后反弹。我们一起来分析一下BTC价格的未来前景。

Bitcoin (BTC) Situation

While Bitcoin faced selling pressure in the early days of April, the leading cryptocurrency’s price has recovered after hitting a new low at $64,500. Indeed, it reached $72,000 this Monday. This price level seems to have acted as resistance, with BTC struggling to surpass it. In fact, this Tuesday morning, the Bitcoin price fell back below the previous resistance level identified at $71,270. At the time of writing, Bitcoin is trading around $70,000.

比特币 (BTC) 情况虽然比特币在 4 月初面临抛售压力，但领先的加密货币价格在触及 64,500 美元的新低后已有所回升。事实上，本周一它达到了 72,000 美元。这个价格水平似乎起到了阻力作用，比特币正在努力超越它。事实上，本周二上午，比特币价格回落至先前确定的阻力位 71,270 美元以下。截至撰写本文时，比特币交易价格约为 70,000 美元。

Bitcoin is holding slightly above the value zone located around $69,800, which could serve as support. Overall, Bitcoin’s trend remains bullish, as evidenced by the 50 and 200-day moving averages. Regarding market dynamics, a slight rebound is observed, though it is not yet significant, as indicated by the oscillators. This phenomenon could prove harmful in the long term.

比特币略高于 69,800 美元左右的价值区域，这可以作为支撑。总体而言，比特币的趋势仍然看涨，50 日和 200 日移动均线就证明了这一点。就市场动态而言，根据振荡指标，观察到轻微反弹，但尚未显着。从长远来看，这种现象可能是有害的。

The current technical analysis has been conducted in collaboration with Elie FT, an investor and passionate trader in the cryptocurrency market. Now a trainer with Family Trading, a community of thousands of proprietary traders active since 2017. You will find live sessions, educational content, and peer support around financial markets in a professional and warm atmosphere.

BTCUSD 每日图表当前的技术分析是与加密货币市场的投资者和热情交易者 Elie FT 合作进行的。现在是 Family Trading 的培训师，该社区自 2017 年以来活跃了数千名自营交易员。您将在专业而热情的氛围中找到围绕金融市场的现场课程、教育内容和同行支持。

Focus on Derivatives (BTCUSDT)

The open interest in BTC/USDT contracts has followed the direction of its price. Indeed, we can see that they increased before slightly decreasing this Tuesday, April 9th in the morning. It is interesting to note that the majority of the liquidations have recently been of short positions. Coupled with a subtle increase in the funding rate, this indicates that the interest in Bitcoin perpetual contracts has recently been predominantly on the buy side.

关注衍生品（BTCUSDT）BTC/USDT合约的持仓量跟随其价格的走势而变化。事实上，我们可以看到它们在 4 月 9 日星期二早上略有下降之前有所增加。有趣的是，最近大部分清算都是空头头寸。再加上资金费率的微妙上升，这表明最近对比特币永续合约的兴趣主要集中在买方。

The liquidation heat map of the past month indicates that BTC/USDT has gone through a significant liquidation area, located around $72,000. Currently, the Bitcoin price seems to show selling interest at this level, marking a slight distribution phase. At present, the most significant liquidation zone above the current price is in a price range between $73,000 and $75,000. Below the current price, the notable levels are $69,000 and further down, $64,500. If the market approaches these levels, we could witness a massive triggering of orders, potentially increasing the cryptocurrency’s volatility. These zones, therefore, represent a major point of interest for investors.

比特币持仓量/清算和资金费率过去一个月的清算热图表明，BTC/USDT 经历了一个重要的清算区域，位于 72,000 美元左右。目前，比特币价格似乎在这个水平上表现出抛售兴趣，标志着轻微的派发阶段。目前，高于当前价格的最重要清算区域位于 73,000 美元至 75,000 美元之间的价格范围。低于当前价格，值得注意的水平为 69,000 美元，进一步下降为 64,500 美元。如果市场接近这些水平，我们可能会看到大量订单触发，这可能会增加加密货币的波动性。因此，这些区域代表了投资者的主要兴趣点。

Hypotheses for the Bitcoin (BTC) Price

• If the Bitcoin price manages to hold above $69,000, we could anticipate a bullish continuation up to the $73,000 level. The next resistance to consider, if the bullish movement continues, would be $74,000 or even $75,000 and beyond. At this point, it would represent an increase of over 7%.

• If the Bitcoin price fails to hold above $69,000, we might expect buyer support around $67,000. The next level to consider, if the bearish movement continues, would be in a price range around $64,000 and $63,000. At that stage, it would represent a drop of nearly -9%.

Conclusion

In the face of early April’s turbulence, Bitcoin shows a bullish trend supported by signs of resilience above key support levels. Despite the immediate challenges, it seems likely that buyers predominate the market. Nevertheless, it will be crucial to closely observe the price reaction at different key levels to confirm or invalidate the current hypotheses. It is also important to remain vigilant of potential “fake outs” and market “squeezes” in each scenario. Finally, let’s remember that these analyses are based solely on technical criteria and that cryptocurrency prices can evolve rapidly due to other more fundamental factors.

BTC 清算热图（1 个月）比特币 (BTC) 价格假设如果比特币价格设法保持在 69,000 美元以上，我们可以预期看涨将持续至 73,000 美元水平。如果看涨走势继续下去，下一个需要考虑的阻力位将是 74,000 美元，甚至 75,000 美元及以上。此时，其涨幅将超过 7%。如果比特币价格未能保持在 69,000 美元以上，我们可能预计买家支撑位约为 67,000 美元。如果看跌趋势继续下去，下一个要考虑的水平将是 64,000 美元至 63,000 美元左右的价格范围。到了那个阶段，这将意味着近-9%的下跌。结论面对4月初的动荡，比特币显示出看涨趋势，并受到关键支撑位之上的反弹迹象的支持。尽管面临迫在眉睫的挑战，买家似乎仍主导市场。尽管如此，密切观察不同关键水平的价格反应以确认或推翻当前的假设至关重要。同样重要的是，对每种情况下潜在的“假局”和市场“挤压”保持警惕。最后，让我们记住，这些分析仅基于技术标准，并且加密货币价格可能由于其他更基本的因素而迅速变化。

Family Trading

Family Trading est une Communauté de traders a compte propre active depuis 2017 offrant Lives, contenus éducatifs et entraides autour des marchés financiers dont celui des cryptomonnaies avec à ses côtés Elie FT, investisseur et trader de passion sur le marché crypto.

点击此处加入“阅读赚钱”，将您对加密货币的热情转化为奖励！AALink 复制Family TradingFamily Trading 是自 2017 年以来活跃的自账户交易者社区，提供围绕金融市场（包括加密货币市场）的生活、教育内容和互助与加密货币市场充满热情的投资者和交易员 Elie FT 一起。