比特幣價格預測：BTC/USD分為兩個相對的公允價值差距

在美國總統唐納德·特朗普（Donald Trump）突然宣布從6月1日開始的所有歐盟進口商品徵收50％的關稅，比特幣正在努力應對不斷增強的波動性。

U.S. President Donald Trump's surprise announcement of a 50% tariff on all EU imports starting June 1 has triggered an instance of heightened volatility in the markets, especially in the realm of crypto.

美國總統唐納德·特朗普（Donald Trump）的驚喜宣布從6月1日開始對所有歐盟進口商品的關稅達到了50％的關稅，這引發了市場上波動率提高的實例，尤其是在加密貨幣領域。

The macroeconomic move saw assets sell-off sharply, with Bitcoin dropping aggressively from all-time highs near $111,800 to lows around $107,500 in a matter of hours.

宏觀經濟的舉動使資產急劇銷售，比特幣從歷史高處接近111,800美元的高度下降到在幾個小時內的低點約107,500美元。

However, there was a brief recovery towards $109,000, and technical analysis on the 1-hour candlestick timeframe shows the two ways this plays out.

但是，在109,000美元的$ 109,000中恢復了短暫的恢復，1小時的燭台時間表的技術分析顯示了這兩種方式。

Bitcoin FVG Structure

比特幣FVG結構

According to crypto analyst TehThomas, Bitcoin’s current price structure is defined by two opposing 1-hour fair value gaps (FVGs). The lower FVG zone identified by the analyst is around $107,500, which showed up during the rally towards $111,814 ATH and is now acting as the first significant reaction point post-rally.

根據加密分析師Tehthomas的說法，比特幣的當前價格結構由兩個相對的1小時公允價值差距（FVG）定義。分析師確定的較低的FVG區域約為107,500美元，在拉力賽期間出現在111,814美元的ATH上，現在是後Rally的第一個重要反應點。

The upper FVG range is between $109,800 and $110,700. This level, previously the base of a breakdown candle, flipped into strong resistance on Friday. Interestingly, a rejection was confirmed inside this upper FVG, which showed there were many sellers present in that zone.

FVG上部範圍在$ 109,800至$ 110,700之間。以前是崩潰蠟燭的基礎，這一水平在周五變成了強烈的阻力。有趣的是，在此上部FVG內得到了拒絕，這表明該區域中有許多賣家。

Notably, the 1-hour chart shared by the analyst points to a deadlock scenario for the Bitcoin price. A breakout above or below the identified fair value gaps will likely define the directional bias for Bitcoin’s next major leg.

值得注意的是，分析師共享的1小時圖表指出了比特幣價格的僵局。在確定的公允價值差距上方或之下的突破可能會定義比特幣下一個主要腿的定向偏差。

Bitcoin’s next impulsive move will likely come with volume confirmation, either with a bullish displacement above resistance or a bearish rejection that pushes the Bitcoin price toward a lower demand target.

比特幣的下一個衝動行動可能會帶來數量確認，要么是看漲的位移，要么是阻力高於抵抗力的拒絕，這將比特幣價格推向了較低的需求目標。

Chart Image From TradingView

來自TradingView的圖表圖像

Bitcoin’s Implied Value

比特幣的隱含價值

According to the analyst, there are two main liquidity targets that could come into play depending on the direction of the breakout.

根據分析師的說法，有兩個主要的流動性目標可以根據突破的方向發揮作用。

On the upside, a breakout above the upper FVG could send the Bitcoin price towards the implied value of $113,000. This level is defined by the midpoint of the large imbalance in price action that occurred during the rally.

從好的方面來說，上面的FVG上方的突破可能會將比特幣價格發送到113,000美元的隱含價值。該級別是由在集會期間發生的價格行動中發生較大不平衡的中點定義的。

On the downside, a breakout below the lower FVG could push the Bitcoin price towards the implied value of $106,000. This level is aligned with a liquidity pool left behind from consolidation early last week.

不利的一面是，低於下FVG的突破可能會將比特幣價格推向$ 106,000的隱含價值。該水平與上周初合併後剩下的流動性池保持一致。

If the structure breaks downward below $106,000, sellers may seize control in the short term.

如果該結構向下破裂，低於$ 106,000，則賣方可能會在短期內佔據控制。

At the time of writing, Bitcoin was trading at $106,888.

在寫作時，比特幣的交易價格為106,888美元。