比特币价格预测：BTC/USD分为两个相对的公允价值差距

在美国总统唐纳德·特朗普（Donald Trump）突然宣布从6月1日开始的所有欧盟进口商品征收50％的关税，比特币正在努力应对不断增强的波动性。

U.S. President Donald Trump's surprise announcement of a 50% tariff on all EU imports starting June 1 has triggered an instance of heightened volatility in the markets, especially in the realm of crypto.

美国总统唐纳德·特朗普（Donald Trump）的惊喜宣布从6月1日开始对所有欧盟进口商品的关税达到了50％的关税，这引发了市场上波动率提高的实例，尤其是在加密货币领域。

The macroeconomic move saw assets sell-off sharply, with Bitcoin dropping aggressively from all-time highs near $111,800 to lows around $107,500 in a matter of hours.

宏观经济的举动使资产急剧销售，比特币从历史高处接近111,800美元的高度下降到在几个小时内的低点约107,500美元。

However, there was a brief recovery towards $109,000, and technical analysis on the 1-hour candlestick timeframe shows the two ways this plays out.

但是，在109,000美元的$ 109,000中恢复了短暂的恢复，1小时的烛台时间表的技术分析显示了这两种方式。

Bitcoin FVG Structure

比特币FVG结构

According to crypto analyst TehThomas, Bitcoin’s current price structure is defined by two opposing 1-hour fair value gaps (FVGs). The lower FVG zone identified by the analyst is around $107,500, which showed up during the rally towards $111,814 ATH and is now acting as the first significant reaction point post-rally.

根据加密分析师Tehthomas的说法，比特币的当前价格结构由两个相对的1小时公允价值差距（FVG）定义。分析师确定的较低的FVG区域约为107,500美元，在拉力赛期间出现在111,814美元的ATH上，现在是后Rally的第一个重要反应点。

The upper FVG range is between $109,800 and $110,700. This level, previously the base of a breakdown candle, flipped into strong resistance on Friday. Interestingly, a rejection was confirmed inside this upper FVG, which showed there were many sellers present in that zone.

FVG上部范围在$ 109,800至$ 110,700之间。以前是崩溃蜡烛的基础，这一水平在周五变成了强烈的阻力。有趣的是，在此上部FVG内得到了拒绝，这表明该区域中有许多卖家。

Notably, the 1-hour chart shared by the analyst points to a deadlock scenario for the Bitcoin price. A breakout above or below the identified fair value gaps will likely define the directional bias for Bitcoin’s next major leg.

值得注意的是，分析师共享的1小时图表指出了比特币价格的僵局。在确定的公允价值差距上方或之下的突破可能会定义比特币下一个主要腿的定向偏差。

Bitcoin’s next impulsive move will likely come with volume confirmation, either with a bullish displacement above resistance or a bearish rejection that pushes the Bitcoin price toward a lower demand target.

比特币的下一个冲动行动可能会带来数量确认，要么是看涨的位移，要么是阻力高于抵抗力的拒绝，这将比特币价格推向了较低的需求目标。

Chart Image From TradingView

来自TradingView的图表图像

Bitcoin’s Implied Value

比特币的隐含价值

According to the analyst, there are two main liquidity targets that could come into play depending on the direction of the breakout.

根据分析师的说法，有两个主要的流动性目标可以根据突破的方向发挥作用。

On the upside, a breakout above the upper FVG could send the Bitcoin price towards the implied value of $113,000. This level is defined by the midpoint of the large imbalance in price action that occurred during the rally.

从好的方面来说，上面的FVG上方的突破可能会将比特币价格发送到113,000美元的隐含价值。该级别是由在集会期间发生的价格行动中发生较大不平衡的中点定义的。

On the downside, a breakout below the lower FVG could push the Bitcoin price towards the implied value of $106,000. This level is aligned with a liquidity pool left behind from consolidation early last week.

不利的一面是，低于下FVG的突破可能会将比特币价格推向$ 106,000的隐含价值。该水平与上周初合并后剩下的流动性池保持一致。

If the structure breaks downward below $106,000, sellers may seize control in the short term.

如果该结构向下破裂，低于$ 106,000，则卖方可能会在短期内占据控制。

At the time of writing, Bitcoin was trading at $106,888.

在写作时，比特币的交易价格为106,888美元。