比特幣、Luke Dashjr 和救援工作：深入探討最新進展

探討 Luke Dashjr 關於比特幣對個人的依賴、潛在的硬分叉以及對其未來的爭論的警告。

Bitcoin's been buzzing lately, not just about price predictions and halving cycles, but also about the core infrastructure and the folks who keep it running. Let's dive into the drama surrounding Luke Dashjr, rescue efforts, and what it all means for the future of the OG crypto.

比特幣最近很熱鬧，不僅涉及價格預測和減半週期，還涉及核心基礎設施和維持其運行的人員。讓我們深入了解有關 Luke Dashjr 的戲劇、救援工作以及這一切對 OG 加密貨幣的未來意味著什麼。

Dashjr's Warnings: Bitcoin's One-Man Show?

Dashjr 的警告：比特幣的獨角戲？

Luke Dashjr, a Bitcoin OG, has been pretty vocal about his concerns. He's been involved in patching critical bugs and opposing controversial proposals. He's been feeling the heat, stating that Bitcoin can't survive if it depends on one person constantly stepping in to save the day. It's like relying on a single superhero to save the world every time a villain pops up – exhausting, right?

比特幣 OG 成員 Luke Dashjr 直言不諱地表達了他的擔憂。他參與了修復嚴重錯誤並反對有爭議的提案。他一直感受到了壓力，表示如果比特幣依賴於一個人不斷地介入來拯救世界，那麼比特幣就無法生存。這就像每次出現惡棍時都依靠一個超級英雄來拯救世界一樣——很累，對吧？

Back in 2013, Dashjr helped squash a nasty inflation bug that could've split the blockchain. Fast forward to 2017, he stood against the SegWit2x hard fork, which aimed to double Bitcoin's block size. His resistance played a role in preserving Bitcoin's original vision.

早在 2013 年，Dashjr 就幫助解決了可能導致區塊鏈分裂的嚴重通貨膨脹問題。快進到 2017 年，他反對 SegWit2x 硬分叉，該分叉旨在將比特幣的區塊大小增加一倍。他的抵抗在維護比特幣最初的願景方面發揮了作用。

More recently, he's been sounding the alarm about Ordinals and inscriptions, citing risks to Bitcoin's UTXO set. He even claimed he tried to mitigate these issues before a spike in outputs but was hit by a hack. Talk about a rough patch!

最近，他對序數和銘文發出了警報，指出比特幣 UTXO 集存在風險。他甚至聲稱，他試圖在產量激增之前緩解這些問題，但遭到了黑客攻擊。談論一個艱難的補丁！

Hard Fork Controversy: Rewriting Bitcoin's History?

硬分叉爭議：改寫比特幣歷史？

Things got even spicier when leaked messages suggested Dashjr was discussing a hard fork to retroactively remove on-chain content classified as CSAM. The idea involves a trusted multisig quorum that could mark transactions and replace them with zero-knowledge proofs. This would allow nodes to verify the transaction's validity without storing the controversial content. However, this requires changing the consensus rules, which is a huge deal.

當洩露的消息表明 Dashjr 正在討論硬分叉以追溯刪除歸類為 CSAM 的鏈上內容時，事情變得更加激烈。這個想法涉及一個可信的多重簽名法定人數，可以標記交易並用零知識證明代替它們。這將允許節點驗證交易的有效性，而無需存儲有爭議的內容。然而，這需要改變共識規則，這是一件大事。

Critics argue that this approach could centralize control of Bitcoin, undermining its decentralized nature. Dashjr has dismissed these claims as “fabricated nonsense.”

批評者認為，這種方法可能會集中控制比特幣，破壞其去中心化性質。 Dashjr 駁斥了這些說法，稱其為“無稽之談”。

The big question is whether modifying stored data aligns with Bitcoin's core principle of immutability. Hard forks are usually a last resort, and they require massive consensus from developers, miners, and the whole ecosystem. It's like trying to change the foundation of a building after it's already been built – risky and complicated.

最大的問題是修改存儲的數據是否符合比特幣不變性的核心原則。硬分叉通常是最後的手段，需要開發者、礦工和整個生態系統的大量共識。這就像在建築物建成後試圖改變其地基一樣——風險很大且複雜。

Hayes's Hot Take: Is the Bitcoin Cycle Dead?

海耶斯的熱門觀點：比特幣週期已經結束了嗎？

Arthur Hayes, the former BitMEX CEO, threw another curveball into the mix. He argues that the classic four-year Bitcoin cycle might be losing its grip due to monetary policy shifts and rising fiat liquidity. According to Hayes, past bear markets were driven more by monetary tightening than by halving mechanics. The halving remains relevant, but other factors can amplify or mute its effects.

BitMEX 前首席執行官阿瑟·海耶斯 (Arthur Hayes) 又拋出了另一個難題。他認為，由於貨幣政策的轉變和法定流動性的增加，經典的四年比特幣週期可能會失去控制。海耶斯表示，過去的熊市更多是由貨幣緊縮而非減半機制推動的。減半仍然具有相關性，但其他因素可能會放大或減弱其影響。

Hayes suggests that investors should look beyond calendar dates and combine on-chain supply metrics with macro indicators, derivatives positioning, and institutional flow data. In other words, don't just rely on the halving – keep an eye on the bigger picture.

海耶斯建議投資者應該超越日曆日期，將鏈上供應指標與宏觀指標、衍生品頭寸和機構流量數據結合起來。換句話說，不要只依賴減半——要關注更大的前景。

The Bottom Line

底線

Bitcoin's future is anything but boring. From Luke Dashjr's warnings about centralization to the hard fork debate and Arthur Hayes's cycle theories, there's plenty to keep an eye on. Whether the four-year cycle fades depends on how much monetary policy and liquidity flows dominate price formation.

比特幣的未來絕不是無聊的。從 Luke Dashjr 對中心化的警告到硬分叉辯論和 Arthur Hayes 的周期理論，有很多值得關注的地方。四年周期是否消失取決於貨幣政策和流動性流動在多大程度上主導價格形成。

So, buckle up, crypto enthusiasts! It's gonna be a wild ride. One thing's for sure: Bitcoin continues to evolve, and the debates and discussions are far from over. And hey, maybe one day we'll all be sipping margaritas on a beach, reminiscing about the good old days of Bitcoin drama. Until then, stay informed and keep your crypto close!

所以，係好安全帶，加密貨幣愛好者！這將是一次瘋狂的旅程。有一點是肯定的：比特幣仍在不斷發展，爭論和討論還遠未結束。嘿，也許有一天我們都會在海灘上喝瑪格麗塔酒，回憶比特幣戲劇的美好時光。在那之前，請隨時了解情況並保管好您的加密貨幣！