在美國預期降息之前，比特幣價格維持在 7.5 萬美元以下

本文最初發表於 CoinDesk 的每日新聞通訊 First Mover，介紹了加密貨幣市場的最新動態。

Bitcoin (BTC) traded around $75,000 during the European morning Thursday, about 2% lower than the all-time high of nearly $76,500 set Wednesday. Following Donald Trump's election victory, attention will turn to the next round of interest-rate cuts by the Federal Reserve, with analysts forecasting a 25 basis-point reduction later Thursday.

週四歐洲早盤，比特幣 (BTC) 交易價格約為 75,000 美元，比周三創下的近 76,500 美元的歷史高點低約 2%。唐納德·川普贏得大選後，注意力將轉向聯準會下一輪降息，分析師預計週四晚些時候將降息 25 個基點。

While lower borrowing costs are generally seen as a bullish signal for risk assets such as crypto, this one might prove to be a non-event. The CME's FedWatch tool showed traders were assigning a nearly 100% chance of the Fed trimming the benchmark rate to 4.5%-4.7%, so the reduction is already priced in.

雖然較低的借貸成本通常被視為對加密貨幣等風險資產的看漲訊號，但事實可能證明這並不是一件大事。 CME 的 FedWatch 工具顯示，交易員認為聯準會將基準利率下調至 4.5%-4.7% 的可能性接近 100%，因此降息已經被定價。

BTC's price is still up over 16% in the past seven days and nearly 60% year-to-date. But the gains have slowed recently, and the seven-day moving average has flattened out after nearly two months of steep上昇.

BTC 的價格在過去 7 天仍然上漲了 16% 以上，今年迄今上漲了近 60%。但近期漲幅有所放緩，7日均線在經歷了近兩個月的急劇上漲後已經趨於平緩。

The seven-day average has provided support and resistance levels in the past, and it will be interesting to see if it continues to do so. A sustained move below the seven-day average could indicate a short-term bearish trend, while a breakout above the 30-day average could signal a bullish move.

七日均線過去曾提供支撐位和阻力位，看看它是否會繼續這樣做將會很有趣。持續低於7日均線可能預示短期看跌趨勢，而突破30日均線可能預示看漲趨勢。

The 30-day average has also flattened out in recent weeks, but it still shows a slight uptrend. A sustained move below the 30-day average could indicate a longer-term bearish trend, while a breakout above the 90-day average could signal a bullish move.

30日均線近幾週也趨於平緩，但仍呈現小幅上升趨勢。持續低於 30 日均線可能預示著長期看跌趨勢，而突破 90 日均線則可能預示著看漲趨勢。

The 90-day average has been trending up since early 2023, and it recently crossed above the 365-day average, which is a bullish technical signal. A sustained move below the 90-day average could indicate a bearish trend, while a breakout above the 365-day average could signal a bullish trend.

90日均線自2023年初以來一直呈現上升趨勢，最近突破365日均線，這是一個看漲的技術訊號。持續低於 90 日均線可能預示看跌趨勢，而突破 365 日均線可能預示看漲趨勢。

Among other major cryptocurrencies, ether (ETH) was trading above $2,800, adding 7% in the past 24 hours, while XRP, BNB and ADA were up 2%-4%.

在其他主要加密貨幣中，以太幣（ETH）的交易價格高於 2,800 美元，在過去 24 小時內上漲了 7%，而 XRP、BNB 和 ADA 則上漲了 2%-4%。

The CoinDesk 20 Index, which measures the price performance of the top 20 cryptocurrencies excluding stablecoins, was up 2.7% over 24 hours. Among the seven-day price changes, TRX led the gainers with a 40% seven-day gain, followed by a 20% gain for GMT and a 15% gain for UNI.

CoinDesk 20 指數衡量了除穩定幣之外的前 20 種加密貨幣的價格表現，該指數在 24 小時內上漲了 2.7%。 7日價格變動中，TRX以40%的7日漲幅領漲，其次是GMT漲幅20%、UNI漲幅15%。

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