在美国预期降息之前，比特币价格保持在 7.5 万美元以下

本文最初发表于 CoinDesk 的每日新闻通讯 First Mover，介绍了加密货币市场的最新动态。

Bitcoin (BTC) traded around $75,000 during the European morning Thursday, about 2% lower than the all-time high of nearly $76,500 set Wednesday. Following Donald Trump's election victory, attention will turn to the next round of interest-rate cuts by the Federal Reserve, with analysts forecasting a 25 basis-point reduction later Thursday.

周四欧洲早盘，比特币 (BTC) 交易价格约为 75,000 美元，比周三创下的近 76,500 美元的历史高点低约 2%。唐纳德·特朗普赢得大选后，注意力将转向美联储下一轮降息，分析师预计周四晚些时候将降息 25 个基点。

While lower borrowing costs are generally seen as a bullish signal for risk assets such as crypto, this one might prove to be a non-event. The CME's FedWatch tool showed traders were assigning a nearly 100% chance of the Fed trimming the benchmark rate to 4.5%-4.7%, so the reduction is already priced in.

虽然较低的借贷成本通常被视为对加密货币等风险资产的看涨信号，但事实可能证明这并不是一件大事。 CME 的 FedWatch 工具显示，交易员认为美联储将基准利率下调至 4.5%-4.7% 的可能性接近 100%，因此降息已经被定价。

BTC's price is still up over 16% in the past seven days and nearly 60% year-to-date. But the gains have slowed recently, and the seven-day moving average has flattened out after nearly two months of steep上昇.

BTC 的价格在过去 7 天里仍然上涨了 16% 以上，今年迄今上涨了近 60%。但近期涨幅有所放缓，7日均线在经历了近两个月的急剧上涨后已经趋于平缓。

The seven-day average has provided support and resistance levels in the past, and it will be interesting to see if it continues to do so. A sustained move below the seven-day average could indicate a short-term bearish trend, while a breakout above the 30-day average could signal a bullish move.

七日均线过去曾提供支撑位和阻力位，看看它是否会继续这样做将会很有趣。持续低于7日均线可能预示短期看跌趋势，而突破30日均线可能预示看涨趋势。

The 30-day average has also flattened out in recent weeks, but it still shows a slight uptrend. A sustained move below the 30-day average could indicate a longer-term bearish trend, while a breakout above the 90-day average could signal a bullish move.

30日均线近几周也趋于平缓，但仍呈现小幅上升趋势。持续低于 30 日均线可能预示着长期看跌趋势，而突破 90 日均线则可能预示着看涨趋势。

The 90-day average has been trending up since early 2023, and it recently crossed above the 365-day average, which is a bullish technical signal. A sustained move below the 90-day average could indicate a bearish trend, while a breakout above the 365-day average could signal a bullish trend.

90日均线自2023年初以来一直呈上升趋势，最近突破365日均线，这是一个看涨的技术信号。持续低于 90 日均线可能预示看跌趋势，而突破 365 日均线可能预示看涨趋势。

Among other major cryptocurrencies, ether (ETH) was trading above $2,800, adding 7% in the past 24 hours, while XRP, BNB and ADA were up 2%-4%.

在其他主要加密货币中，以太币（ETH）的交易价格高于 2,800 美元，在过去 24 小时内上涨了 7%，而 XRP、BNB 和 ADA 则上涨了 2%-4%。

The CoinDesk 20 Index, which measures the price performance of the top 20 cryptocurrencies excluding stablecoins, was up 2.7% over 24 hours. Among the seven-day price changes, TRX led the gainers with a 40% seven-day gain, followed by a 20% gain for GMT and a 15% gain for UNI.

CoinDesk 20 指数衡量了除稳定币之外的前 20 种加密货币的价格表现，该指数在 24 小时内上涨了 2.7%。 7日价格变化中，TRX以40%的7日涨幅领涨，其次是GMT涨幅20%、UNI涨幅15%。

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