從 2012 年到 2024 年：比特幣對美國大選的歷史反應

距離美國總統大選僅剩 65 天，比特幣在 8 月結束時較本月初下跌 8.6%。

Bitcoin (BTC) price movements have historically shown substantial increases after each U.S. presidential election. However, the peaks of each bull cycle occurred roughly a year later. For example, during the U.S. election on Nov. 5, 2016, BTC was trading at $703 per coin, and by the end of 2017, it surged close to $20,000. Similarly, on Nov. 5, 2020, BTC was valued at $15,579 per coin, and by Nov. 10, 2021, the price had nearly touched $69,000. Now, with just 65 days remaining until the next election, bitcoin closed out August at a price that is 8.6% lower than where it started the month.

從歷史上看，每次美國總統大選後，比特幣（BTC）的價格走勢都會大幅上漲。然而，每個牛市週期的頂峰大約發生在一年後。例如，2016 年 11 月 5 日美國大選期間，BTC 的交易價格為每枚 703 美元，到 2017 年底，其價格飆升至接近 20,000 美元。同樣，2020 年 11 月 5 日，BTC 的價格為每枚 15,579 美元，到 2021 年 11 月 10 日，價格幾乎觸及 69,000 美元。現在，距離下一次選舉僅剩 65 天，比特幣 8 月收盤價格比月初低 8.6%。

Bitcoin Price Movements After Past U.S. Elections Have Shown Peaks Later On

過去美國大選後的比特幣價格走勢隨後出現峰值

Bitcoin (BTC) price movements have historically shown substantial increases after each U.S. presidential election. However, the peaks of each bull cycle occurred roughly a year later. To illustrate, during the U.S. election on Nov. 5, 2016, BTC was trading at $703 per coin. By the end of 2017, it surged close to $20,000. Similarly, on Nov. 5, 2020, BTC was valued at $15,579 per coin. By Nov. 10, 2021, the price had nearly touched $69,000.

從歷史上看，每次美國總統大選後，比特幣（BTC）的價格走勢都會大幅上漲。然而，每個牛市週期的頂峰大約發生在一年後。舉例來說，2016 年 11 月 5 日美國大選期間，BTC 的交易價格為每枚 703 美元。到2017年底，它飆升至接近20,000美元。同樣，2020 年 11 月 5 日，BTC 的價格為每枚 15,579 美元。到 2021 年 11 月 10 日，價格已接近 69,000 美元。

This time around, bitcoin's price movements have been different. For instance, BTC achieved a lifetime high of over $73,700 per unit in March. Now, 65 days before the next election on Nov. 5, 2024, BTC’s value in U.S. dollars stands 21% lower than its all-time high. This deviation from past bull market/election cycles is noteworthy.

這一次，比特幣的價格走勢有所不同。例如，BTC 在 3 月創下了每單位 73,700 美元以上的歷史新高。現在，距離 2024 年 11 月 5 日下次選舉還有 65 天，比特幣的美元價值比歷史高點低了 21%。這種與過去牛市/選舉週期的偏差值得注意。

Examining the bitcoin price movements after the 2016 and 2020 elections, it's clear that BTC’s value experienced significant increases after each event. However, the peaks of each bull cycle occurred roughly a year later. In 2016, BTC's price peak came in December 2017, and in 2021, the price high was reached in November.

檢視 2016 年和 2020 年選舉後的比特幣價格走勢，很明顯，每次選舉後 BTC 的價值都會大幅上漲。然而，每個牛市週期的頂峰大約發生在一年後。 2016年，BTC的價格高峰出現在2017年12月，2021年，價格高點出現在11月。

Bitcoin (BTC) Price Movements After Past U.S. Elections Have Shown Peaks Later On

過去美國大選後的比特幣（BTC）價格走勢隨後出現峰值

To further illustrate the price movements, during the U.S. election on Monday, Nov. 5, 2016, BTC was trading at $703 per coin. By December 24, 2017, bitcoin surged by over 2,700% from the election day price, reaching a high of $24,227 per unit. Moreover, on Nov. 5, 2020, BTC was valued at $15,579 per coin. By November 10, 2021, bitcoin’s price increased by over 340% from the election day price, reaching a peak of $68,685 per unit.

為了進一步說明價格走勢，2016 年 11 月 5 日星期一美國大選期間，BTC 的交易價格為每枚 703 美元。截至 2017 年 12 月 24 日，比特幣價格較選舉日價格飆升超過 2,700%，達到每單位 24,227 美元的高點。此外，2020 年 11 月 5 日，BTC 的價格為每枚硬幣 15,579 美元。到 2021 年 11 月 10 日，比特幣的價格較選舉日價格上漲超過 340%，達到每單位 68,685 美元的高峰。

Stretching back to the 2013 bull run, on Nov. 5, 2012, BTC was trading at $10.80 per unit. By December 2013, the cryptocurrency’s value approached $1,250 per coin. While history may not repeat itself exactly, it often echoes familiar patterns, though the current bull run has a unique twist.

追溯到 2013 年多頭市場，2012 年 11 月 5 日，BTC 的交易價格為每單位 10.80 美元。到 2013 年 12 月，加密貨幣的價值接近每枚硬幣 1,250 美元。儘管歷史可能不會完全重演，但它常常與熟悉的模式相呼應，儘管當前的牛市有一個獨特的轉折。

As covered by Bitcoin.com News in past reports, standard practice showed that BTC would surge from lows during the election period. However, this time around, BTC had already achieved a lifetime high of over $73,700 per unit in March. This deviation from past bull market/election cycles is noteworthy.

正如 Bitcoin.com News 在過去的報導中所報導的那樣，標準做法表明，比特幣將在選舉期間從低點飆升。然而，這一次，BTC 在 3 月已經創下了每單位 73,700 美元以上的歷史新高。這種與過去牛市/選舉週期的偏差值得注意。

Sixty-five days before Nov. 5, 2024, BTC’s value in U.S. dollars stands 21% lower than its all-time high. This suggests that the election’s outcome could significantly impact BTC's value in dollars. Only time will reveal if history will follow a similar pattern to previous U.S. elections.

距離 2024 年 11 月 5 日還有 65 天，BTC 的美元價值比歷史最高點低了 21%。這表明選舉結果可能會對比特幣的美元價值產生重大影響。只有時間才能證明歷史是否會遵循與以往美國大選類似的模式。

What do you think about the U.S. election moving bitcoin’s price this year? Do you think that it’s a possibility? Share your thoughts and opinions about this subject in the comments section below.

您如何看待今年美國大選對比特幣價格的影響？您認為有可能嗎？在下面的評論部分分享您對此主題的想法和意見。