从 2012 年到 2024 年：比特币对美国大选的历史反应

距离美国总统大选仅剩 65 天，比特币在 8 月份结束时较本月初下跌 8.6%。

Bitcoin (BTC) price movements have historically shown substantial increases after each U.S. presidential election. However, the peaks of each bull cycle occurred roughly a year later. For example, during the U.S. election on Nov. 5, 2016, BTC was trading at $703 per coin, and by the end of 2017, it surged close to $20,000. Similarly, on Nov. 5, 2020, BTC was valued at $15,579 per coin, and by Nov. 10, 2021, the price had nearly touched $69,000. Now, with just 65 days remaining until the next election, bitcoin closed out August at a price that is 8.6% lower than where it started the month.

从历史上看，每次美国总统大选后，比特币（BTC）的价格走势都会大幅上涨。然而，每个牛市周期的顶峰大约发生在一年后。例如，2016 年 11 月 5 日美国大选期间，BTC 的交易价格为每枚 703 美元，到 2017 年底，其价格飙升至接近 20,000 美元。同样，2020 年 11 月 5 日，BTC 的价格为每枚 15,579 美元，到 2021 年 11 月 10 日，价格几乎触及 69,000 美元。现在，距下一次选举仅剩 65 天，比特币 8 月份收盘价格比月初低 8.6%。

Bitcoin Price Movements After Past U.S. Elections Have Shown Peaks Later On

过去美国大选后的比特币价格走势随后出现峰值

Bitcoin (BTC) price movements have historically shown substantial increases after each U.S. presidential election. However, the peaks of each bull cycle occurred roughly a year later. To illustrate, during the U.S. election on Nov. 5, 2016, BTC was trading at $703 per coin. By the end of 2017, it surged close to $20,000. Similarly, on Nov. 5, 2020, BTC was valued at $15,579 per coin. By Nov. 10, 2021, the price had nearly touched $69,000.

从历史上看，每次美国总统大选后，比特币（BTC）的价格走势都会大幅上涨。然而，每个牛市周期的顶峰大约发生在一年后。举例来说，2016 年 11 月 5 日美国大选期间，BTC 的交易价格为每枚 703 美元。到2017年底，它飙升至接近20,000美元。同样，2020 年 11 月 5 日，BTC 的价格为每枚 15,579 美元。到 2021 年 11 月 10 日，价格已接近 69,000 美元。

This time around, bitcoin's price movements have been different. For instance, BTC achieved a lifetime high of over $73,700 per unit in March. Now, 65 days before the next election on Nov. 5, 2024, BTC’s value in U.S. dollars stands 21% lower than its all-time high. This deviation from past bull market/election cycles is noteworthy.

这一次，比特币的价格走势有所不同。例如，BTC 在 3 月份创下了每单位 73,700 美元以上的历史新高。现在，距离 2024 年 11 月 5 日下次选举还有 65 天，比特币的美元价值比历史高点低了 21%。这种与过去牛市/选举周期的偏差值得注意。

Examining the bitcoin price movements after the 2016 and 2020 elections, it's clear that BTC’s value experienced significant increases after each event. However, the peaks of each bull cycle occurred roughly a year later. In 2016, BTC's price peak came in December 2017, and in 2021, the price high was reached in November.

审视 2016 年和 2020 年选举后的比特币价格走势，很明显，每次选举后 BTC 的价值都会大幅上涨。然而，每个牛市周期的顶峰大约发生在一年后。 2016年，BTC的价格峰值出现在2017年12月，2021年，价格高点出现在11月。

Bitcoin (BTC) Price Movements After Past U.S. Elections Have Shown Peaks Later On

过去美国大选后的比特币（BTC）价格走势随后出现峰值

To further illustrate the price movements, during the U.S. election on Monday, Nov. 5, 2016, BTC was trading at $703 per coin. By December 24, 2017, bitcoin surged by over 2,700% from the election day price, reaching a high of $24,227 per unit. Moreover, on Nov. 5, 2020, BTC was valued at $15,579 per coin. By November 10, 2021, bitcoin’s price increased by over 340% from the election day price, reaching a peak of $68,685 per unit.

为了进一步说明价格走势，2016 年 11 月 5 日星期一美国大选期间，BTC 的交易价格为每枚 703 美元。截至 2017 年 12 月 24 日，比特币价格较选举日价格飙升超过 2,700%，达到每单位 24,227 美元的高位。此外，2020 年 11 月 5 日，BTC 的价格为每枚 15,579 美元。到 2021 年 11 月 10 日，比特币的价格较选举日价格上涨超过 340%，达到每单位 68,685 美元的峰值。

Stretching back to the 2013 bull run, on Nov. 5, 2012, BTC was trading at $10.80 per unit. By December 2013, the cryptocurrency’s value approached $1,250 per coin. While history may not repeat itself exactly, it often echoes familiar patterns, though the current bull run has a unique twist.

追溯到 2013 年牛市，2012 年 11 月 5 日，BTC 的交易价格为每单位 10.80 美元。到 2013 年 12 月，加密货币的价值接近每枚 1,250 美元。尽管历史可能不会完全重演，但它常常与熟悉的模式相呼应，尽管当前的牛市有一个独特的转折。

As covered by Bitcoin.com News in past reports, standard practice showed that BTC would surge from lows during the election period. However, this time around, BTC had already achieved a lifetime high of over $73,700 per unit in March. This deviation from past bull market/election cycles is noteworthy.

正如 Bitcoin.com News 在过去的报道中所报道的那样，标准做法表明，比特币将在选举期间从低点飙升。然而，这一次，BTC 在 3 月份已经创下了每单位 73,700 美元以上的历史新高。这种与过去牛市/选举周期的偏差值得注意。

Sixty-five days before Nov. 5, 2024, BTC’s value in U.S. dollars stands 21% lower than its all-time high. This suggests that the election’s outcome could significantly impact BTC's value in dollars. Only time will reveal if history will follow a similar pattern to previous U.S. elections.

距离 2024 年 11 月 5 日还有 65 天，BTC 的美元价值比历史最高点低了 21%。这表明选举结果可能会对比特币的美元价值产生重大影响。只有时间才能证明历史是否会遵循与以往美国大选类似的模式。

What do you think about the U.S. election moving bitcoin’s price this year? Do you think that it’s a possibility? Share your thoughts and opinions about this subject in the comments section below.

您如何看待今年美国大选对比特币价格的影响？您认为有可能吗？在下面的评论部分分享您对此主题的想法和意见。