比特幣眼睛$ 100K：BTC對貿易談話樂觀激增；分析人士說，長期週期和ETF需求可能會推動超過10萬美元的突破。

在有消息稱美國和中國將在本週恢復貿易談判之後，比特幣飆升至96,800美元，點燃了1700美元的集會。

Bitcoin price rose on Monday, extending gains after notching its biggest one-day rally in over seven months as upbeat trade developments and an outlook on the cryptocurrency’s long-term cycle suggest the $100,000 mark could be in sight.

比特幣的價格在周一上漲，由於樂觀的貿易發展以及對加密貨幣的長期週期的前景，在七個月內獲得了最大的一日一日集會，這表明可以看到100,000美元的成績。

Bitcoin was last up around 1.4% over the past 24 hours to $96,800 by 08:35 ET (12:35 GMT). The world’s biggest cryptocurrency spiked rapidly by $1,700 after news that the U.S. and China will resume talks this week.

在過去的24小時內，比特幣持續約1.4％，到08:35 ET（GMT 12:35）。在有消息稱美國和中國將在本週恢復談判之後，全球最大的加密貨幣迅速​​飆升了1,700美元。

The announcement helped improve investor sentiment across the crypto market, with altcoins like XRP, Cardano and Dogecoin also trading higher.

該公告幫助改善了加密貨幣市場的投資者情緒，XRP，Cardano和Dogecoin等Altcoin也更高。

With the trade war threat cooling down, attention now turns to the upcoming Federal Reserve interest rate decision - a key macro event that could decide Bitcoin’s short-term direction.

隨著貿易戰威脅降溫，現在註意力轉向即將到來的美聯儲利率決策 - 這是一個重要的宏觀事件，可以決定比特幣的短期方向。

But is Bitcoin following macro cues, or is something deeper at play?

但是，比特幣遵循宏提示，還是更深入的作用？

Bitcoin Price Prediction: FOMC Meeting and Long-Term Cycles

比特幣價格預測：FOMC會議和長期週期

According to crypto analyst Stockmoney Lizards, Bitcoin’s sustained price movements are driven more by historical cycles than by short-term news. Their analysis shows that:

據加密分析師斯托克·蜥蜴（Stockmoney Lizards）稱，比特幣的持續價格變動比短期新聞更受歷史週期的驅動。他們的分析表明：

The analyst adds that macro events - like the Fed meetings and trade deals - are quickly priced in and tend to amplify existing market emotions. But they don’t necessarily decide Bitcoin’s trajectory.

分析師補充說，宏觀事件（例如美聯儲會議和貿易協定）很快就定價並傾向於放大現有的市場情緒。但是他們不一定決定比特幣的軌跡。

Bitcoin ETF demand and a potential supply shock from the halving phase could push the cryptocurrency past $100,000, according to Ben, another crypto analyst.

另一位加密分析師Ben表示，比特幣ETF需求和減半階段的潛在供應衝擊可能會將加密貨幣推高超過100,000美元。

With the current correction possibly extending into Q4 and if history repeats itself, a strong bullish wave is likely to emerge later this year.

隨著目前的校正可能會延伸到第四季度，如果歷史重複出現，今年晚些時候可能會出現強大的看漲浪潮。

BitMEX founder Arthur Hayes offers a contrasting - yet bullish - outlook. In a recent interview, Hayes said:

Bitmex創始人亞瑟·海斯（Arthur Hayes）提供了對比的（但看漲）的前景。海斯在最近的一次採訪中說：

“I think people are going to get bored of the narrative that the bull market is over. We’re going to get an escalation of the macro. We're going to get more rate cuts.

“我認為人們會對牛市結束的敘述感到無聊。我們將升級宏觀。我們將獲得更多的降低速度。

"If there's a trade war, it's going to get worse. People are going to get more desperate. They're going to pour more money into the stock market. And it's not going to work. It's going to get stupid, like 1999. But they're going to get more desperate to try and save the banking system.”

“如果發生貿易戰，情況將會變得更糟。人們將變得更加絕望。他們將把更多的錢投入到股市上。而且它不會奏效。這會變得愚蠢，例如1999年。但是他們將變得更加拼命地嘗試保存銀行系統。”

Bitcoin’s rally past $96,800 may just be the beginning. With global easing tensions and the FOMC meeting on the horizon, more volatility is expected. But if analysts are right, the long-term bull cycle remains in tact - and $100,000 may come sooner than expected.

比特幣的拉力賽超過$ 96,800可能只是開始。隨著全球緩解緊張局勢和FOMC會議即將到來，預計將有更多的波動。但是，如果分析師合適，那麼長期的牛週期仍然存在 - 而且100,000美元可能比預期的要早。

Stay Updated: Get Latest Updates on FTX, Binance and More

保持最新信息：獲取有關FTX，Binance等的最新更新

Keep abreast of the latest developments in the rapidly evolving world of crypto with Benzinga's Cryptocurrency coverage.

與Benzinga的加密貨幣覆蓋範圍內迅速發展的加密世界中的最新發展保持同步。

From market trends and new tokens to crucial updates from major players like FTX, Binance and more, our aim is to provide comprehensive and engaging content.

從市場趨勢和新令牌到來自FTX，Binance等主要參與者的重要更新，我們的目標是提供全面而引人入勝的內容。

Join our journey through the exciting landscape of Web3, DeFi and the metaverse.

加入我們的旅程，穿越令人興奮的Web3，Defi和Metaverse的景觀。