比特币眼睛$ 100K：BTC对贸易谈话乐观激增；分析人士说，长期周期和ETF需求可能会推动超过10万美元的突破。

在有消息称美国和中国将在本周恢复贸易谈判之后，比特币飙升至96,800美元，点燃了1700美元的集会。

Bitcoin price rose on Monday, extending gains after notching its biggest one-day rally in over seven months as upbeat trade developments and an outlook on the cryptocurrency’s long-term cycle suggest the $100,000 mark could be in sight.

比特币的价格在周一上涨，由于乐观的贸易发展以及对加密货币的长期周期的前景，在七个月内获得了最大的一日一日集会，这表明可以看到100,000美元的成绩。

Bitcoin was last up around 1.4% over the past 24 hours to $96,800 by 08:35 ET (12:35 GMT). The world’s biggest cryptocurrency spiked rapidly by $1,700 after news that the U.S. and China will resume talks this week.

在过去的24小时内，比特币持续约1.4％，到08:35 ET（GMT 12:35）。在有消息称美国和中国将在本周恢复谈判之后，全球最大的加密货币迅速​​飙升了1,700美元。

The announcement helped improve investor sentiment across the crypto market, with altcoins like XRP, Cardano and Dogecoin also trading higher.

该公告帮助改善了加密货币市场的投资者情绪，XRP，Cardano和Dogecoin等Altcoin也更高。

With the trade war threat cooling down, attention now turns to the upcoming Federal Reserve interest rate decision - a key macro event that could decide Bitcoin’s short-term direction.

随着贸易战威胁降温，现在注意力转向即将到来的美联储利率决策 - 这是一个重要的宏观事件，可以决定比特币的短期方向。

But is Bitcoin following macro cues, or is something deeper at play?

但是，比特币遵循宏提示，还是更深入的作用？

Bitcoin Price Prediction: FOMC Meeting and Long-Term Cycles

比特币价格预测：FOMC会议和长期周期

According to crypto analyst Stockmoney Lizards, Bitcoin’s sustained price movements are driven more by historical cycles than by short-term news. Their analysis shows that:

据加密分析师斯托克·蜥蜴（Stockmoney Lizards）称，比特币的持续价格变动比短期新闻更受历史周期的驱动。他们的分析表明：

The analyst adds that macro events - like the Fed meetings and trade deals - are quickly priced in and tend to amplify existing market emotions. But they don’t necessarily decide Bitcoin’s trajectory.

分析师补充说，宏观事件（例如美联储会议和贸易协定）很快就定价并倾向于放大现有的市场情绪。但是他们不一定决定比特币的轨迹。

Bitcoin ETF demand and a potential supply shock from the halving phase could push the cryptocurrency past $100,000, according to Ben, another crypto analyst.

另一位加密分析师Ben表示，比特币ETF需求和减半阶段的潜在供应冲击可能会将加密货币推高超过100,000美元。

With the current correction possibly extending into Q4 and if history repeats itself, a strong bullish wave is likely to emerge later this year.

随着目前的校正可能会延伸到第四季度，如果历史重复出现，今年晚些时候可能会出现强大的看涨浪潮。

BitMEX founder Arthur Hayes offers a contrasting - yet bullish - outlook. In a recent interview, Hayes said:

Bitmex创始人亚瑟·海斯（Arthur Hayes）提供了对比的（但看涨）的前景。海斯在最近的一次采访中说：

“I think people are going to get bored of the narrative that the bull market is over. We’re going to get an escalation of the macro. We're going to get more rate cuts.

“我认为人们会对牛市结束的叙述感到无聊。我们将升级宏观。我们将获得更多的降低速度。

"If there's a trade war, it's going to get worse. People are going to get more desperate. They're going to pour more money into the stock market. And it's not going to work. It's going to get stupid, like 1999. But they're going to get more desperate to try and save the banking system.”

“如果发生贸易战，情况将会变得更糟。人们将变得更加绝望。他们将把更多的钱投入到股市上。而且它不会奏效。这会变得愚蠢，例如1999年。但是他们将变得更加拼命地尝试保存银行系统。”

Bitcoin’s rally past $96,800 may just be the beginning. With global easing tensions and the FOMC meeting on the horizon, more volatility is expected. But if analysts are right, the long-term bull cycle remains in tact - and $100,000 may come sooner than expected.

比特币的拉力赛超过$ 96,800可能只是开始。随着全球缓解紧张局势和FOMC会议即将到来，预计将有更多的波动。但是，如果分析师合适，那么长期的牛周期仍然存在 - 而且100,000美元可能比预期的要早。

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保持最新信息：获取有关FTX，Binance等的最新更新

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与Benzinga的加密货币覆盖范围内迅速发展的加密世界中的最新发展保持同步。

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从市场趋势和新令牌到来自FTX，Binance等主要参与者的重要更新，我们的目标是提供全面而引人入胜的内容。

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加入我们的旅程，穿越令人兴奋的Web3，Defi和Metaverse的景观。