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雖然幾個媒體報導說,比特幣優勢在2025年3月28日達到58.8%的峰值,這是自2021年4月以來的紀錄,這是一個更加細緻的現實。
While several media outlets report that Bitcoin dominance has reached a peak of 58.8% on March 28, 2025 – a record since April 2021 – a more nuanced reality emerges. According to our data, BTC hit a dominance peak of 61.2% two weeks earlier. This figure, ignored or overlooked, actually reveals a decline in Bitcoin’s market share. Therefore, is this a precursor to an Altseason comeback?
雖然幾個媒體報導說,比特幣優勢在2025年3月28日達到58.8%的峰值,這是自2021年4月以來的紀錄,這是一個更加細緻的現實。根據我們的數據,BTC在兩週前達到了61.2%的優勢峰值。這個數字被忽略或被忽視,實際上揭示了比特幣市場份額的下降。因此,這是Altseason復出的先驅嗎?
This dropped to 58.8% may seem insignificant, but it carries significant meaning. It shows that, although BTC remains the benchmark asset, some altcoins are beginning to regain ground. This fluctuation invites a more nuanced reading of market dynamics:
降至58.8%的人似乎微不足道,但具有重大意義。它表明,儘管BTC仍然是基準資產,但一些山寨幣仍開始恢復地面。這種波動引起了對市場動態的更細微的閱讀:
On March 12, 2025, Bitcoin had intensified its supremacy in the market with a dominance of 61.2%!
2025年3月12日,比特幣以61.2%的統治地位增強了其在市場上的至高無上!
The Altseason is much awaited
替代已期待
A decline in Bitcoin dominance does not automatically imply the arrival of an Altseason. For it to actually manifest, there needs to be a strong rotation of capital towards altcoins, widespread outperformance (notably of Ethereum), and a significant increase in volumes. A drop in dominance could also simply reflect a correction of BTC without signaling a lasting enthusiasm for other cryptos.
比特幣優勢的下降並不意味著Altseason的到來。為了使其實際表現出來,需要大量的資本向山寨幣旋轉,廣泛的表現(尤其是以太坊),並且體積大幅增加。統治地位的下降也可以簡單地反映了對BTC的校正,而不會對其他加密貨幣產生持久的熱情。
In reality, Altseason occurs when altcoins explode in a coordinated upward manner, often after a phase of Bitcoin consolidation. Without these clear signals, the current decline to 58.8% remains a simple adjustment, not a cycle change.
實際上,當AltCoins以比特幣合併階段以上的方式爆炸時,AltCoins發生在Altcoins以上的方式爆炸時發生。沒有這些明確的信號,當前下降至58.8%仍然是一個簡單的調整,而不是周期變化。
Therefore, Bitcoin dominance remains a key indicator. A decrease below 58% could signal a renewed interest in altcoins. But caution: without solid volumes or leading altcoins, this movement of BTC could just be a market mirage, and Altseason could once again be postponed.
因此,比特幣優勢仍然是關鍵指標。低於58%的降低可能表明對山寨幣的新興趣。但是請注意:如果沒有堅實的量或領先的山寨幣,BTC的這種運動可能只是市場幻影,而Altseasan可能會再次推遲。
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