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虽然几个媒体报道说,比特币优势在2025年3月28日达到58.8%的峰值,这是自2021年4月以来的纪录,这是一个更加细致的现实。
While several media outlets report that Bitcoin dominance has reached a peak of 58.8% on March 28, 2025 – a record since April 2021 – a more nuanced reality emerges. According to our data, BTC hit a dominance peak of 61.2% two weeks earlier. This figure, ignored or overlooked, actually reveals a decline in Bitcoin’s market share. Therefore, is this a precursor to an Altseason comeback?
虽然几个媒体报道说,比特币优势在2025年3月28日达到58.8%的峰值,这是自2021年4月以来的纪录,这是一个更加细致的现实。根据我们的数据,BTC在两周前达到了61.2%的优势峰值。这个数字被忽略或被忽视,实际上揭示了比特币市场份额的下降。因此,这是Altseason复出的先驱吗?
This dropped to 58.8% may seem insignificant, but it carries significant meaning. It shows that, although BTC remains the benchmark asset, some altcoins are beginning to regain ground. This fluctuation invites a more nuanced reading of market dynamics:
降至58.8%的人似乎微不足道,但具有重大意义。它表明,尽管BTC仍然是基准资产,但一些山寨币仍开始恢复地面。这种波动引起了对市场动态的更细微的阅读:
On March 12, 2025, Bitcoin had intensified its supremacy in the market with a dominance of 61.2%!
2025年3月12日,比特币以61.2%的统治地位增强了其在市场上的至高无上!
The Altseason is much awaited
替代已期待
A decline in Bitcoin dominance does not automatically imply the arrival of an Altseason. For it to actually manifest, there needs to be a strong rotation of capital towards altcoins, widespread outperformance (notably of Ethereum), and a significant increase in volumes. A drop in dominance could also simply reflect a correction of BTC without signaling a lasting enthusiasm for other cryptos.
比特币优势的下降并不意味着Altseason的到来。为了使其实际表现出来,需要大量的资本向山寨币旋转,广泛的表现(尤其是以太坊),并且体积大幅增加。统治地位的下降也可以简单地反映了对BTC的校正,而不会对其他加密货币产生持久的热情。
In reality, Altseason occurs when altcoins explode in a coordinated upward manner, often after a phase of Bitcoin consolidation. Without these clear signals, the current decline to 58.8% remains a simple adjustment, not a cycle change.
实际上,当AltCoins以比特币合并阶段以上的方式爆炸时,AltCoins发生在Altcoins以上的方式爆炸时发生。没有这些明确的信号,当前下降至58.8%仍然是一个简单的调整,而不是周期变化。
Therefore, Bitcoin dominance remains a key indicator. A decrease below 58% could signal a renewed interest in altcoins. But caution: without solid volumes or leading altcoins, this movement of BTC could just be a market mirage, and Altseason could once again be postponed.
因此,比特币优势仍然是关键指标。低于58%的降低可能表明对山寨币的新兴趣。但是请注意:如果没有坚实的量或领先的山寨币,BTC的这种运动可能只是市场幻影,而Altseasan可能会再次推迟。
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