比特幣優勢方法可以觸發新的Altcoin季節的歷史性阻力水平

加密市場中比特幣的優勢正在接近以前引發主要逆轉的歷史性阻力水平。

Bitcoin (BTC) dominance is fast approaching a crucial technical resistance that could spark a collapse toward 40% and potentially trigger a new altcoin season, according to technical analysis published on TradingView.

根據TradingView上發布的技術分析，比特幣（BTC）的優勢正在迅速接近至關重要的技術抵抗力，可能會引起40％的崩潰，並有可能觸發新的Altcoin季節。

A Major Technical Resistance Could Spell Trouble for BTC Dominance

主要的技術抵抗可能會為BTC優勢帶來麻煩

Examining the weekly candlestick chart reveals that Bitcoin dominance is nearing a critical historic resistance level—the lower boundary of the green channel highlighted above.

檢查每週的燭台圖表表明，比特幣優勢接近了關鍵的歷史阻力水平，這是上面突出顯示的綠色通道的下邊界。

This phenomenon has unfolded before, and each time this descending trendline has been reached, a major reversal occurred, as highlighted by the red circles.

這種現像以前發生了，每次達到這種下降的趨勢線時，都會發生重大逆轉，正如紅色圓圈所強調的那樣。

The technical analysis suggests that history could repeat itself, potentially leading to a drop toward 34.9% in the most bearish scenario, or 40% in a less extreme case.

技術分析表明，歷史可能會重演，可能導致在最不鍾情的情況下下降到34.9％，在不太極端的情況下40％。

Unlike previous cycles, Bitcoin dominance has followed a different dynamic this time. It has surged significantly since the start of the current cycle, contrary to the anticipation of many investors who expected a swift decline for a vibrant altcoin season.

與以前的周期不同，這次比特幣優勢遵循了不同的動態。自當前週期開始以來，它已經大大飆升，這與許多投資者的預期相反，他們期望迅速下降的Altcoin季節會迅速下降。

This occurrence can be attributed to the growing presence of institutions in the Bitcoin market, particularly with the introduction of Spot ETFs. These ETFs have siphoned off a substantial portion of the crypto market cap toward BTC, hindering the potential for altcoins to flourish.

這種情況可以歸因於機構在比特幣市場中的日益增長的存在，尤其是在引入現場ETF的情況下。這些ETF已將大部分加密貨幣市場上限的大部分劃分為BTC，阻礙了山寨幣蓬勃發展的潛力。

Which Altcoins Stand to Gain From a Decline in Bitcoin Dominance?

哪個山寨幣將從比特幣優勢下降中獲得收益？

A decrease in Bitcoin dominance would imply that the altcoin market is outperforming the flagship cryptocurrency.

比特幣優勢的下降將暗示Altcoin市場表現優於旗艦加密貨幣。

In such a scenario, the first to benefit would likely be established cryptos that have endured multiple market cycles, often referred to as “DINO” (Dinosaurs In Name Only). These include Ethereum, XRP, Cardano, Chainlink, BNB, and Litecoin.

在這種情況下，第一個受益的可能是建立了已經經歷了多個市場週期的加密貨幣，通常被稱為“恐龍”（僅以恐龍的名義）。這些包括以太坊，XRP，Cardano，Chainlink，BNB和Litecoin。

However, it’s crucial to note that the current context differs significantly from the bullish markets of 2017 and 2021. Back then, a few hundred altcoins were in the spotlight, while today, thousands of cryptos are vying for investor attention.

但是，至關重要的是要注意，當前情況與2017年和2021年的看漲市場有很大不同。那時，幾百個山寨幣引起了人們的關注，而今天，成千上萬的加密貨幣正在爭奪投資者的關注。

Furthermore, the presence of Spot Bitcoin ETFs, which lock up significant long-term liquidity, could limit the magnitude of the flow toward altcoins.

此外，鎖定大量長期流動性的斑點比特幣ETF的存在可能會限制流向山寨幣的流量。

Beyond large-cap cryptos, certain specific sectors such as artificial intelligence, tokenized real-world assets (RWA), and decentralized finance (DeFi) could also attract investor interest.

除了大型加密貨幣外，某些特定部門，例如人工智能，代幣化的現實世界資產（RWA）和分散的財務（DEFI）也可能引起投資者的興趣。

Even within these categories, a rigorous selection process will be necessary to identify the most promising projects.

即使在這些類別中，也必須進行嚴格的選擇過程來確定最有前途的項目。

The potential drop in Bitcoin dominance could thus mark the beginning of a new phase in this market cycle, where altcoins gradually regain their attractiveness to investors.

因此，比特幣優勢的潛在下降可能標誌著在這個市場週期中新階段的開始，在該階段，山寨幣逐漸恢復了對投資者的吸引力。