比特币优势方法可以触发新的Altcoin季节的历史性阻力水平

加密市场中比特币的优势正在接近以前引发主要逆转的历史性阻力水平。

Bitcoin (BTC) dominance is fast approaching a crucial technical resistance that could spark a collapse toward 40% and potentially trigger a new altcoin season, according to technical analysis published on TradingView.

根据TradingView上发布的技术分析，比特币（BTC）的优势正在迅速接近至关重要的技术抵抗力，可能会引起40％的崩溃，并有可能触发新的Altcoin季节。

A Major Technical Resistance Could Spell Trouble for BTC Dominance

主要的技术抵抗可能会为BTC优势带来麻烦

Examining the weekly candlestick chart reveals that Bitcoin dominance is nearing a critical historic resistance level—the lower boundary of the green channel highlighted above.

检查每周的烛台图表表明，比特币优势接近了关键的历史阻力水平，这是上面突出显示的绿色通道的下边界。

This phenomenon has unfolded before, and each time this descending trendline has been reached, a major reversal occurred, as highlighted by the red circles.

这种现象以前发生了，每次达到这种下降的趋势线时，都会发生重大逆转，正如红色圆圈所强调的那样。

The technical analysis suggests that history could repeat itself, potentially leading to a drop toward 34.9% in the most bearish scenario, or 40% in a less extreme case.

技术分析表明，历史可能会重演，可能导致在最不钟情的情况下下降到34.9％，在不太极端的情况下40％。

Unlike previous cycles, Bitcoin dominance has followed a different dynamic this time. It has surged significantly since the start of the current cycle, contrary to the anticipation of many investors who expected a swift decline for a vibrant altcoin season.

与以前的周期不同，这次比特币优势遵循了不同的动态。自当前周期开始以来，它已经大大飙升，这与许多投资者的预期相反，他们期望迅速下降的Altcoin季节会迅速下降。

This occurrence can be attributed to the growing presence of institutions in the Bitcoin market, particularly with the introduction of Spot ETFs. These ETFs have siphoned off a substantial portion of the crypto market cap toward BTC, hindering the potential for altcoins to flourish.

这种情况可以归因于机构在比特币市场中的日益增长的存在，尤其是在引入现场ETF的情况下。这些ETF已将大部分加密货币市场上限的大部分划分为BTC，阻碍了山寨币蓬勃发展的潜力。

Which Altcoins Stand to Gain From a Decline in Bitcoin Dominance?

哪个山寨币将从比特币优势下降中获得收益？

A decrease in Bitcoin dominance would imply that the altcoin market is outperforming the flagship cryptocurrency.

比特币优势的下降将暗示Altcoin市场表现优于旗舰加密货币。

In such a scenario, the first to benefit would likely be established cryptos that have endured multiple market cycles, often referred to as “DINO” (Dinosaurs In Name Only). These include Ethereum, XRP, Cardano, Chainlink, BNB, and Litecoin.

在这种情况下，第一个受益的可能是建立了已经经历了多个市场周期的加密货币，通常被称为“恐龙”（仅以恐龙的名义）。这些包括以太坊，XRP，Cardano，Chainlink，BNB和Litecoin。

However, it’s crucial to note that the current context differs significantly from the bullish markets of 2017 and 2021. Back then, a few hundred altcoins were in the spotlight, while today, thousands of cryptos are vying for investor attention.

但是，至关重要的是要注意，当前情况与2017年和2021年的看涨市场有很大不同。那时，几百个山寨币引起了人们的关注，而今天，成千上万的加密货币正在争夺投资者的关注。

Furthermore, the presence of Spot Bitcoin ETFs, which lock up significant long-term liquidity, could limit the magnitude of the flow toward altcoins.

此外，锁定大量长期流动性的斑点比特币ETF的存在可能会限制流向山寨币的流量。

Beyond large-cap cryptos, certain specific sectors such as artificial intelligence, tokenized real-world assets (RWA), and decentralized finance (DeFi) could also attract investor interest.

除了大型加密货币外，某些特定部门，例如人工智能，代币化的现实世界资产（RWA）和分散的财务（DEFI）也可能引起投资者的兴趣。

Even within these categories, a rigorous selection process will be necessary to identify the most promising projects.

即使在这些类别中，也必须进行严格的选择过程来确定最有前途的项目。

The potential drop in Bitcoin dominance could thus mark the beginning of a new phase in this market cycle, where altcoins gradually regain their attractiveness to investors.

因此，比特币优势的潜在下降可能标志着在这个市场周期中新阶段的开始，在该阶段，山寨币逐渐恢复了对投资者的吸引力。