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隨著美聯儲在周三提供其利率決定,比特幣和其他替代幣處於危險之中。這種風險解釋了為什麼BTC和頂級山寨幣(例如Cardano,Jasmy,Dogecoin和Shiba Inu)本週都退縮了。
Federal Reserve interest rate hikes are a hot topic in the cryptocurrency market now. This is because they could affect the performance of Bitcoin and other altcoins.
美聯儲的利率加息是現在的加密貨幣市場中的熱門話題。這是因為它們可能會影響比特幣和其他Altcoins的性能。
One economist has now issued a warning over the upcoming interest rate decision.
現在,一位經濟學家對即將到來的利率決定發出了警告。
Economist Warns Of Fewer Rate Cuts
經濟學家警告降低速度
經濟學家警告降低速度
Jim Bianco, an economist at Bianco Research, has warned that the Federal Reserve will deliver fewer interest rate cuts this year than many economists expect.
Bianco Research的經濟學家吉姆·比安科(Jim Bianco)警告說,美聯儲今年將比許多經濟學家預期的降低利率更少。
In an X post on Tuesday, Bianco said that he expects the Fed to keep rates intact at 4.50% at its May meeting, macroeconomic signals.
比安科(Bianco)在周二的X帖子中說,他預計美聯儲在5月會議上將利率保持在4.50%的宏觀經濟信號。
He said:
他說:
“May (blue) = 2% probability, 98% holdJune (orange) = 33% cut, 66% holdJuly (green) = 68% cut, 32% holdAnd the trend has been toward fewer, not more, cuts. Why is the Fed off the table? Short answer: inflation”
“可能(藍色)= 2%的概率,98%的Holdjune(橙色)= 33%的削減,66%Holdjuly(綠色)= 68%的削減,32%的趨勢趨於較少,而不是削減。為什麼餵養餐桌上的餵食?簡短答案:通貨膨脹:通貨膨脹:
The economist added that he expects the first cut to come in July. In his statement, he said that the “elephant in the room” was inflation.
這位經濟學家補充說,他預計首次削減將於7月進行。他在聲明中說,“房間裡的大象”是通貨膨脹。
Although recent data showed a drop in headline and core inflation in March, Bianco expects Trump’s tariffs to push them higher. He cited the recent inflation expectation data, which showed that many people expect that prices will surge to the highest level in over 40 years.
儘管最近的數據顯示三月份的標題和核心通貨膨脹率有所下降,但比安科預計特朗普的關稅將推動更高。他列舉了最近的通貨膨脹預期數據,這表明許多人期望價格將在40多年來上升到最高水平。
While energy prices have dipped, there are signs that inflation will continue rising as companies adjust their prices to maintain their margins.
儘管能源價格下跌,但有跡象表明,隨著公司調整價格以維持利潤率,通貨膨脹將繼續上漲。
Still, other analysts have a different opinion on the path of interest rates, with Goldman Sachs expecting three cuts this year. 20% of Polymarket traders anticipate three rate cuts this year, while 19% anticipate two.
儘管如此,其他分析師對利率道路也有不同的看法,高盛(Goldman Sachs)預計今年將有3次削減。多頭市場交易者中有20%的人預計今年會降低三局,而有19%的人預計將有2個降低。
What It Means For Cardano, Jasmy, Dogecoin, And Shiba Inu
這對Cardano,Jasmy,Dogecoin和Shiba Inu意味著什麼
這對Cardano,Jasmy,Dogecoin和Shiba Inu意味著什麼
Bitcoin and altcoins have remained volatile this week as investors are interested to see what the Fed will do next.
本週,由於投資者有興趣了解美聯儲接下來會做什麼,比特幣和山寨幣在本周保持波動。
These assets typically perform well when the Federal Reserve reduces rates or hints at future reductions. For instance, all these coins soared during the COVID pandemic as the Fed slashed interest rates to zero and introduced a quantitative easing policy.
當美聯儲降低未來降低的利率或提示時,這些資產通常會表現良好。例如,隨著美聯儲將利率削減到零,並引入了定量的寬鬆政策,所有這些硬幣均飆升。
They all plunged in 2022 as the Fed began raising interest rates to handle the rising inflation. Most recently, the crypto rally was due to the Fed cuts. So, a dovish tone on Wednesday could lead to more altcoins gaining, while a more hawkish tone will likely result in lower prices.
隨著美聯儲開始提高利率來處理通貨膨脹率上升的,他們都跌入了2022年。最近,加密貨幣集會是由於美聯儲削減。因此,週三的骯髒語調可能會導致更多的山寨幣增長,而更鷹派的語調可能會導致價格較低。
On the positive side, as previously mentioned, Bitcoin has several catalysts, such as the rising ETF inflows and technicals, which may push it to a record high later this year.
如前所述,比特幣具有多種催化劑,例如ETF流入和技術的上升,這可能會將其推向今年晚些時候的創紀錄。
All Bitcoin needs is for its price to move above the key resistance at $100,000, and FOMO will kick in, pushing it to a record high. This also explains why most analysts are bullish on Bitcoin, with BlackRock expecting BTC to reach $700,000 in the long term.
所有比特幣的需求都是因為它的價格超過了100,000美元的關鍵阻力,而FOMO將啟動,將其推向創紀錄的高度。這也解釋了為什麼大多數分析師都看好比特幣,而貝萊德期望BTC長期達到70萬美元。
Such a bullish Bitcoin price forecast would lead to higher altcoin prices that would benefit the likes of Cardano, Jasmy, and Dogecoin.
這樣看漲的比特幣價格預測將導致較高的山寨幣價格,這將使Cardano,Jasmy和Dogecoin之類的產品受益。
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