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比特幣仍然處於關注點,因為它的交易接近107,000美元,引發了關於下一個主要集會是否接近的辯論。市場參與者正在密切關注價格
Bitcoin price is still in the midst of its bull cycle, and some analysts believe that the next major rally is quickly approaching.
比特幣價格仍處於公牛週期之中,一些分析師認為,下一個主要集會正在迅速接近。
As the crypto behemoth trades at a pivotal point, sparking debate on what’s next, Countertops.com takes a look at the latest technical analysis and market insights.
隨著加密龐然大物在一個關鍵點進行交易,引發了關於下一步的辯論,toppops.com探討了最新的技術分析和市場見解。
PlanB’s Power-Law Model Signals 5-10x BTC Rally from Current Levels
PLANB的冪律模型信號從當前級別提供5-10x BTC拉力賽
PLANB的冪律模型信號從當前級別提供5-10x BTC拉力賽
Bitcoin continues to follow its long-term powerlaw trend, as per PlanB’s latest analysis. The analyst, known for the stock-to-flow (S2F) model, highlights how this model has historically signaled major bull cycles.
根據Planb的最新分析,比特幣繼續遵循其長期的PowerLaw趨勢。該分析師以股票對流量(S2F)模型而聞名,它突出了該模型歷史上如何表明主要的牛循環。
Typically, when RSI (Relative Strength Index) crosses 80, it marks renewed euphoric conditions, commonly referred to by PlanB as the “red dot” phase in his analysis. However, in this cycle, such extreme signals indicating a blow-off top have yet to materialize.
通常,當RSI(相對強度指數)越過80時,它標誌著新的欣快感條件,通常由PLANB稱為他的分析中的“紅點”階段。但是,在這個週期中,這種極端信號表明吹式頂部尚未實現。
If the S2F Model and PlanB’s Framework Hold …
如果S2F型號和Planb的框架保持……
According to PlanB’s framework, Bitcoin may be primed for a 5–10x increase from current levels, aligning with the S2F target range. This finding is significant and ties into a broader theme in the crypto markets: Many analysts are placing a 3x–10x cycle gain from the cycle low. S2F aligns with this, suggesting a cycle top between $500,000 and $1,000,000 although that remains speculative.
根據Planb的框架,比特幣可能與當前水平增加5-10倍,與S2F目標範圍保持一致。這一發現很重要,並且在加密市場中與更廣泛的主題聯繫在一起:許多分析師從周期低的周期中獲得了3x – 10x週期的增長。 S2F與此保持一致,這表明周期高500,000美元至1,000,000美元,儘管這仍然是投機性的。
Short-Term BTC Price Action: Key Support Zones to Watch
短期BTC價格行動:要觀看的關鍵支持區
短期BTC價格行動:要觀看的關鍵支持區
Noted crypto analyst Michaël van de Poppe is highlighting a short-term pullback in Bitcoin price. After failing to pierce the $110,000 resistance, BTC experienced a setback.
著名的加密分析師MichaëlVande Poppe強調了比特幣價格的短期回調。在未能刺穿110,000美元的電阻後,BTC遇到了挫折。
As the chart shows, Bitcoin price is now testing a critical support zone at $107,000. According to the analyst, the level to hold is $106,000.
如圖所示,比特幣價格現在正在測試一個關鍵支持區,為107,000美元。根據分析師的說法,要持有的水平為106,000美元。
If this support remains intact, then the uptrend could resume shortly. Otherwise, further weakness may emerge, with liquidity pools lying below $105,500. Conversely, a breakout above $110,545 could trigger a more rapid push to new all-time highs.
如果此支持保持完整,那麼上升趨勢可能很快就可以恢復。否則,可能會出現進一步的弱點,而流動性池則低於$ 105,500。相反,超過$ 110,545的突破可能會觸發更快的歷史高潮。
With heightened geopolitical tensions between the U.S. and Iran, risk assets like Bitcoin may face headwinds, while havens like gold benefit.
隨著美國和伊朗之間的地緣政治緊張局勢加劇,像比特幣這樣的風險資產可能會面臨逆風,而避風港像黃金福利。
Early Bitcoin Holders Fueling Sell-Side Pressure, Says Bitwise CEO
Bitwise首席執行官說
Bitwise首席執行官說
Adding another layer to the analysis of Bitcoin price, Bitwise CEO Hunter Horsley provides an interesting perspective on the current market dynamics.
Bitwise Hunter Horsley在對比特幣價格的分析中增加了另一層,為當前的市場動態提供了有趣的觀點。
In a recent interview, Horsley pointed out that a significant portion of the sell-side pressure is coming from early Bitcoin adopters. These investors, having entered at far lower prices, are now locking in profits around the psychological $100,000 level.
在最近的一次採訪中,霍斯利指出,賣方壓力的很大一部分來自早期比特幣採用者。這些投資者以低廉的價格進入,現在已經鎖定了100,000美元的心理利潤。
However, Horsley expects this pressure to diminish rapidly as Bitcoin continues its ascent past $130,000.
然而,霍斯利預計,隨著比特幣的上升幅度超過130,000美元,這種壓力會迅速減少。
According to his analysis, once Bitcoin crosses into the $130K–$150K range, we can anticipate a dramatic decrease in selling activity. This could set the stage for a more sustainable rally, potentially paving the way for the next leg higher.
根據他的分析,一旦比特幣越過13萬美元 - 15萬美元的價格,我們可以預計銷售活動會大大減少。這可能為更可持續的集會奠定了基礎,這可能為下一個腿更高的道路鋪平了道路。
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