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加密貨幣新聞文章

比特幣 (BTC) 接近完成看漲模式,可能反彈至 83,000 美元

2024/06/07 17:44

看漲預測發生在可能影響聯準會降息預期的美國關鍵數據之前。

比特幣 (BTC) 接近完成看漲模式,可能反彈至 83,000 美元

A close above $72,000 would confirm a breakout from an inverted head-and-shoulders pattern on the daily chart. Such a breakout could lift bitcoin to $83,000, as per 10x Research.

收盤價高於 72,000 美元將確認突破日線圖上的倒頭肩形態。根據 10x Research 的數據,這樣的突破可能會將比特幣提升至 83,000 美元。

The analysis comes ahead of key U.S. data that is likely to influence expectations regarding Fed rate cuts.

該分析是在美國重要數據公佈之前進行的,這些數據可能會影響聯準會降息的預期。

Bitcoin (BTC) may be setting up for a rise to $83,000 as it completes a major bullish price pattern on the daily chart.

比特幣 (BTC) 可能會上漲至 83,000 美元,因為它完成了日線圖上的主要看漲價格模式。

A price move above $72,000 would confirm a breakout from an inverted head-and-shoulders pattern, characterized by three price troughs, with the middle one being the deepest.

價格突破 72,000 美元將確認對倒頭肩形態的突破,該形態的特點是三個價格低谷,其中中間的一個是最深的。

CoinDesk technical analysis contributor 10x Research highlighted this setup in a note on Thursday, with a breakout expected within the next few days.

CoinDesk 技術分析貢獻者 10x Research 在周四的一份報告中強調了這一設置,預計未來幾天內會出現突破。

"It is only a matter of time until bitcoin makes a new all-time high. The head-and-shoulders formation suggests a rally towards 83,000 soon, with the resistance line likely broken within the next few days. The ideal time for this resistance to break is either today, Friday, June 7, or next week, Wednesday, June 12," 10x Research founder Markus Thielen noted in the analysis shared with CoinDesk.

「比特幣創下新的歷史高點只是時間問題。頭肩形態表明很快就會反彈至 83,000 點,阻力線可能在未來幾天內被突破。這是阻力的理想時間突破要么是今天,6 月7 日星期五,要么是下週,6 月12 日星期三,」10x Research 創始人Markus Thielen 在與CoinDesk 分享的分析中指出。

According to technical analysis theory, the inverted head-and-shoulders pattern usually forms after a downtrend and reverses the trend upwards after a breakout. The pattern rarely appears in an upward-trending market, signaling a bullish continuation.

根據技術分析理論,倒頭肩形態通常在下降趨勢後形成,在突破後反轉趨勢向上。這種模式很少出現在上升趨勢的市場中,顯示看漲持續。

The breakout above $72,000 hinges on the U.S. nonfarm payrolls data scheduled for release on Friday at 12:30 UTC.

能否突破 72,000 美元取決於定於世界標準時間週五 12:30 發布的美國非農就業數據。

"A strong payrolls print would put pressure on the Fed to continue raising rates and could lead to a short-term top in bitcoin. However, a weak print could bolster the case for rate cuts and add to the bullish momentum in risk assets," the analysis noted.

「強勁的就業數據將給聯準會繼續升息帶來壓力,並可能導致比特幣短期見頂。然而,疲軟的數據可能會支持降息,並增加風險資產的看漲勢頭。」分析指出。

Economists polled by Bloomberg expect, on average, the U.S. economy to have created 180,000 jobs in May, nearly matching April's 175,000 gain. The unemployment rate is set to remain at 3.9% in May.

彭博社調查的經濟學家平均預計,5 月美國經濟將創造 18 萬個就業崗位,幾乎與 4 月 17.5 萬個就業機會的增幅持平。 5 月失業率預計維持在 3.9%。

The median estimate for average hourly earnings is a 0.3% increase, a tick above April's pace, leading to a 12-month wage growth of 3.9% for the second consecutive month. A stronger-than-expected reading in wage growth could heighten inflation concerns.

平均每小時收入的中位數預期增長 0.3%,略高於 4 月份的增幅,導致 12 個月工資連續第二個月增長 3.9%。薪資成長強於預期可能加劇通膨擔憂。

Some investment banks, including Barclays (BARC.L) and Deutsche Bank (DB), now expect the Fed to pivot to rate cuts in July. Such a shift in monetary policy stance would bode well for risk assets like bitcoin.

包括巴克萊銀行 (BARC.L) 和德意志銀行 (DB) 在內的一些投資銀行目前預計聯準會將在 7 月轉向降息。貨幣政策立場的這種轉變對於比特幣等風險資產來說是個好兆頭。

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