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加密货币新闻

比特币 (BTC) 接近完成看涨模式,可能反弹至 83,000 美元

2024/06/07 17:44

看涨预测发生在可能影响美联储降息预期的美国关键数据之前。

比特币 (BTC) 接近完成看涨模式,可能反弹至 83,000 美元

A close above $72,000 would confirm a breakout from an inverted head-and-shoulders pattern on the daily chart. Such a breakout could lift bitcoin to $83,000, as per 10x Research.

收盘价高于 72,000 美元将确认突破日线图上的倒头肩形态。根据 10x Research 的数据,这样的突破可能会将比特币提升至 83,000 美元。

The analysis comes ahead of key U.S. data that is likely to influence expectations regarding Fed rate cuts.

该分析是在美国重要数据公布之前进行的,这些数据可能会影响美联储降息的预期。

Bitcoin (BTC) may be setting up for a rise to $83,000 as it completes a major bullish price pattern on the daily chart.

比特币 (BTC) 可能会上涨至 83,000 美元,因为它完成了日线图上的主要看涨价格模式。

A price move above $72,000 would confirm a breakout from an inverted head-and-shoulders pattern, characterized by three price troughs, with the middle one being the deepest.

价格突破 72,000 美元将确认对倒头肩形态的突破,该形态的特点是三个价格低谷,其中中间的一个是最深的。

CoinDesk technical analysis contributor 10x Research highlighted this setup in a note on Thursday, with a breakout expected within the next few days.

CoinDesk 技术分析贡献者 10x Research 在周四的一份报告中强调了这一设置,预计未来几天内会出现突破。

"It is only a matter of time until bitcoin makes a new all-time high. The head-and-shoulders formation suggests a rally towards 83,000 soon, with the resistance line likely broken within the next few days. The ideal time for this resistance to break is either today, Friday, June 7, or next week, Wednesday, June 12," 10x Research founder Markus Thielen noted in the analysis shared with CoinDesk.

“比特币创下新的历史高点只是时间问题。头肩形态表明很快就会反弹至 83,000 点,阻力线可能在未来几天内被突破。这是阻力的理想时间突破要么是今天,6 月 7 日星期五,要么是下周,6 月 12 日星期三,”10x Research 创始人 Markus Thielen 在与 CoinDesk 分享的分析中指出。

According to technical analysis theory, the inverted head-and-shoulders pattern usually forms after a downtrend and reverses the trend upwards after a breakout. The pattern rarely appears in an upward-trending market, signaling a bullish continuation.

根据技术分析理论,倒头肩形态通常在下降趋势后形成,在突破后反转趋势向上。这种模式很少出现在上升趋势的市场中,表明看涨持续。

The breakout above $72,000 hinges on the U.S. nonfarm payrolls data scheduled for release on Friday at 12:30 UTC.

能否突破 72,000 美元取决于定于世界标准时间周五 12:30 发布的美国非农就业数据。

"A strong payrolls print would put pressure on the Fed to continue raising rates and could lead to a short-term top in bitcoin. However, a weak print could bolster the case for rate cuts and add to the bullish momentum in risk assets," the analysis noted.

“强劲的就业数据将给美联储继续加息带来压力,并可能导致比特币短期见顶。然而,疲软的数据可能会支持降息,并增加风险资产的看涨势头。”分析指出。

Economists polled by Bloomberg expect, on average, the U.S. economy to have created 180,000 jobs in May, nearly matching April's 175,000 gain. The unemployment rate is set to remain at 3.9% in May.

彭博社调查的经济学家平均预计,5 月份美国经济将创造 180,000 个就业岗位,几乎与 4 月份 175,000 个就业岗位的增幅持平。 5 月份失业率预计维持在 3.9%。

The median estimate for average hourly earnings is a 0.3% increase, a tick above April's pace, leading to a 12-month wage growth of 3.9% for the second consecutive month. A stronger-than-expected reading in wage growth could heighten inflation concerns.

平均每小时收入的中值预期增长 0.3%,略高于 4 月份的增幅,导致 12 个月工资连续第二个月增长 3.9%。工资增长强于预期可能会加剧通胀担忧。

Some investment banks, including Barclays (BARC.L) and Deutsche Bank (DB), now expect the Fed to pivot to rate cuts in July. Such a shift in monetary policy stance would bode well for risk assets like bitcoin.

包括巴克莱银行 (BARC.L) 和德意志银行 (DB) 在内的一些投资银行目前预计美联储将在 7 月份转向降息。货币政策立场的这种转变对于比特币等风险资产来说是个好兆头。

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