到2030年，比特幣（BTC）價格將超過100萬美元

這引發了人們對這對未來五年中Ripple的XRP等Altcoins的猜測。

Cathie Wood, CEO of Ark Invest, predicts that Bitcoin (BTC) price will surpass $1 million by 2030, which has sparked speculation about what this will mean for altcoins such as Ripple’s XRP in the next five years. If the value of 1 BTC skyrockets to $1 million, what will the XRP price be by 2030? Let’s explore.

ARK Invest的首席執行官Cathie Wood預測，到2030年，比特幣（BTC）的價格將超過100萬美元，這引發了人們對這對未來五年中Ripple的XRP等AltCoins的猜測。如果1 BTC Skyrocket的價值至100萬美元，那麼到2030年，XRP價格將是多少？讓我們探索。

ARK Invest’s Cathie Wood Forecasts $1M BTC Price

ARK Invest的Cathie Wood預測100萬美元BTC價格

While speaking in an interview with CNBC, Cathie Wood shared a bullish forecast for Bitcoin. She noted that by 2030, BTC could rally to as high as $1.5 million. She opined,

在接受CNBC採訪時，Cathie Wood分享了對比特幣的看漲預測。她指出，到2030年，BTC可能會高達150萬美元。她看著，

“We have always had the 2030 target. The base case is in the $700,000 to $750,000 range, the bull case in the $1.5 million range.”

“我們一直都有2030年的目標。基本案例在700,000至75萬美元的範圍內，公牛案件在150萬美元之間。”

Wood opined that such a rally will be driven by Bitcoin taking up gold’s market share, institutional adoption, and a growing use case in the emerging market. This is similar to what the Ripple community anticipates will drive the future growth of the XRP price.

伍德認為，這樣的集會將由比特幣佔用黃金市場份額，機構採用以及在新興市場中日益增長的用例驅動。這類似於Ripple社區預期的情況，將推動XRP價格的未來增長。

XRP Price If 1 BTC Reaches $1M

XRP價格如果1 BTC達到100萬美元

To estimate the price of 1 XRP token of BTC reaches $1M, we need to assume different scenarios depending on the rate at which Ripple price grows and gains adoption.

為了估計BTC的1 XRP代幣的價格達到100萬美元，我們需要根據波紋價格上漲和採用的利率來承擔不同的情況。

Scenario 1: XRP Captures 6.8% of BTC’s Market Share

方案1：XRP捕獲了BTC市場份額的6.8％

The first scenario to forecast how high the XRP price will rally by 2030 is by looking at its current market cap share. XRP has a market cap of $136 billion, which is around 6.8% of Bitcoin’s current $2 trillion market cap.

預測XRP價格到2030年將會有多高的第一種情況是查看其當前的市場上限份額。 XRP的市值為1360億美元，約佔比特幣目前2萬億美元市值的6.8％。

If XRP maintains this market cap share against Bitcoin, it means that it will hold 6.8% of Bitcoin’s $20 trillion market cap by 2030. This is equivalent to $1.3 trillion, and if Ripple’s supply remains constant at 58 billion, the price of 1 XRP token will also be $23.

如果XRP對比特幣保持了這一市值的份額，則意味著到2030年，它將佔比特幣20萬億美元市值的6.8％。這相當於1.3萬億美元，如果Ripple的供應量保持在580億美元，則價格為580億美元，價格為1 XRP代幣的價格也將為23美元。

With a price value of $23, XRP would have a $1.3 trillion market cap, which is realistic as Wood’s forecast places BTC’s market cap at around $20 trillion by 2030.

XRP的價格為23美元，市值將有1.3萬億美元的市值，這是現實的，因為伍德的預測將BTC的市值定為2030年左右約20萬億美元。

Scenario 2: XRP Captures 10% of BTC’s Market Share

方案2：XRP捕獲了BTC市場份額的10％

If Ripple increases its market share and attains 10% of BTC’s market cap by 2030, its market cap will reach $2 trillion. Assuming the supply remains the same at 58 billion, the XRP price will reach $35. Again, this market cap range can be attained if BTC is trading at $1 million. However, getting to such a high price would require intense institutional adoption and usage.

如果Ripple提高了其市場份額，到2030年到達BTC市值的10％，其市值將達到2萬億美元。假設供應量保持在580億美元，XRP價格將達到35美元。同樣，如果BTC的交易價格為100萬美元，則可以達到這個市場上限範圍。但是，達到如此高的價格將需要強烈的機構採用和使用。

Scenario 3: XRP Captures 20% of BTC’s Market Share

方案3：XRP捕獲了BTC市場份額的20％

The end of the Ripple vs. SEC lawsuit is in its final stages, and this could draw much interest into XRP and lead to the altcoin capturing 10% of BTC’s $20 trillion market cap by 2030.

Ripple vs. SEC訴訟的結束處於最後階段，這可能引起XRP的極大興趣，並導致Altcoin到2030年佔BTC 20萬億美元市值的10％。

In this scenario, XRP price will have to surge significantly to attain a $4 trillion market cap. This means that by then, 1 XRP token will be valued at $68, which is an extremely high target as Ripple would have to surge by over 30 times from its current price.

在這種情況下，XRP價格將不得不大幅提高才能達到4萬億美元的市值。這意味著那時，1 XRP令牌的價值將為68美元，這是一個極高的目標，因為波紋必須從目前的價格開始增長30倍以上。

Considering the above three scenarios, the most realistic one is for XRP to maintain its current market share of 6.8% against Bitcoin and reach $23 by 2030 if Bitcoin reaches $1M per Wood’s estimates.

考慮到以上三種情況，最現實的情況是，如果比特幣的估計達到100萬美元，則XRP對比特幣目前的市場份額為6.8％，到2030年達到23美元。

What Factors Will Drive the XRP Price Rally?

哪些因素將推動XRP價格集會？

Institutional adoption will be the key catalyst for the future growth of XRP price. As Coingape reported, a spot XRP ETF is getting close to approval, and considering that Ripple is the largest USA-made altcoin, this product will draw institutional interest.

機構採用將是XRP價格未來增長的關鍵催化劑。正如Coingape所報導的那樣，XRP ETF的現貨正接近批准，並且考慮到Ripple是美國最大的Altcoin，該產品將引起機構利益。

Secondly, the end of the SEC lawsuit will bring in more retail interest in XRP. Currently, only 23% of US investors back Ripple, but with more regulatory clarity, this number will grow and drive an explosive rally for the altcoin.

其次，SEC訴訟的結束將引起XRP的零售利益。目前，只有23％的美國投資者退回了波紋，但是有了更明顯的法規清晰度，這個數字將增長並推動Altcoin的爆炸性集會。

Considering the above factors, the price of XRP will easily reach $23 by 2030 if BTC also soars to $1 million per Cathie Wood’s forecast.

考慮到上述因素，如果BTC也飆升至每個Cathie Wood的預測，到2030年，XRP的價格將很容易達到23美元。

Frequently Asked Questions (FAQs)

常見問題（常見問題解答）