到2030年，比特币（BTC）价格将超过100万美元

这引发了人们对这对未来五年中Ripple的XRP等Altcoins的猜测。

Cathie Wood, CEO of Ark Invest, predicts that Bitcoin (BTC) price will surpass $1 million by 2030, which has sparked speculation about what this will mean for altcoins such as Ripple’s XRP in the next five years. If the value of 1 BTC skyrockets to $1 million, what will the XRP price be by 2030? Let’s explore.

ARK Invest的首席执行官Cathie Wood预测，到2030年，比特币（BTC）的价格将超过100万美元，这引发了人们对这对未来五年中Ripple的XRP等AltCoins的猜测。如果1 BTC Skyrocket的价值至100万美元，那么到2030年，XRP价格将是多少？让我们探索。

ARK Invest’s Cathie Wood Forecasts $1M BTC Price

ARK Invest的Cathie Wood预测100万美元BTC价格

While speaking in an interview with CNBC, Cathie Wood shared a bullish forecast for Bitcoin. She noted that by 2030, BTC could rally to as high as $1.5 million. She opined,

在接受CNBC采访时，Cathie Wood分享了对比特币的看涨预测。她指出，到2030年，BTC可能会高达150万美元。她看着，

“We have always had the 2030 target. The base case is in the $700,000 to $750,000 range, the bull case in the $1.5 million range.”

“我们一直都有2030年的目标。基本案例在700,000至75万美元的范围内，公牛案件在150万美元之间。”

Wood opined that such a rally will be driven by Bitcoin taking up gold’s market share, institutional adoption, and a growing use case in the emerging market. This is similar to what the Ripple community anticipates will drive the future growth of the XRP price.

伍德认为，这样的集会将由比特币占用黄金市场份额，机构采用以及在新兴市场中日益增长的用例驱动。这类似于Ripple社区预期的情况，将推动XRP价格的未来增长。

XRP Price If 1 BTC Reaches $1M

XRP价格如果1 BTC达到100万美元

To estimate the price of 1 XRP token of BTC reaches $1M, we need to assume different scenarios depending on the rate at which Ripple price grows and gains adoption.

为了估计BTC的1 XRP代币的价格达到100万美元，我们需要根据波纹价格上涨和采用的利率来承担不同的情况。

Scenario 1: XRP Captures 6.8% of BTC’s Market Share

方案1：XRP捕获了BTC市场份额的6.8％

The first scenario to forecast how high the XRP price will rally by 2030 is by looking at its current market cap share. XRP has a market cap of $136 billion, which is around 6.8% of Bitcoin’s current $2 trillion market cap.

预测XRP价格到2030年将会有多高的第一种情况是查看其当前的市场上限份额。 XRP的市值为1360亿美元，约占比特币目前2万亿美元市值的6.8％。

If XRP maintains this market cap share against Bitcoin, it means that it will hold 6.8% of Bitcoin’s $20 trillion market cap by 2030. This is equivalent to $1.3 trillion, and if Ripple’s supply remains constant at 58 billion, the price of 1 XRP token will also be $23.

如果XRP对比特币保持了这一市值的份额，则意味着到2030年，它将占比特币20万亿美元市值的6.8％。这相当于1.3万亿美元，如果Ripple的供应量保持在580亿美元，则价格为580亿美元，价格为1 XRP代币的价格也将为23美元。

With a price value of $23, XRP would have a $1.3 trillion market cap, which is realistic as Wood’s forecast places BTC’s market cap at around $20 trillion by 2030.

XRP的价格为23美元，市值将有1.3万亿美元的市值，这是现实的，因为伍德的预测将BTC的市值定为2030年左右约20万亿美元。

Scenario 2: XRP Captures 10% of BTC’s Market Share

方案2：XRP捕获了BTC市场份额的10％

If Ripple increases its market share and attains 10% of BTC’s market cap by 2030, its market cap will reach $2 trillion. Assuming the supply remains the same at 58 billion, the XRP price will reach $35. Again, this market cap range can be attained if BTC is trading at $1 million. However, getting to such a high price would require intense institutional adoption and usage.

如果Ripple提高了其市场份额，到2030年到达BTC市值的10％，其市值将达到2万亿美元。假设供应量保持在580亿美元，XRP价格将达到35美元。同样，如果BTC的交易价格为100万美元，则可以达到这个市场上限范围。但是，达到如此高的价格将需要强烈的机构采用和使用。

Scenario 3: XRP Captures 20% of BTC’s Market Share

方案3：XRP捕获了BTC市场份额的20％

The end of the Ripple vs. SEC lawsuit is in its final stages, and this could draw much interest into XRP and lead to the altcoin capturing 10% of BTC’s $20 trillion market cap by 2030.

Ripple vs. SEC诉讼的结束处于最后阶段，这可能引起XRP的极大兴趣，并导致Altcoin到2030年占BTC 20万亿美元市值的10％。

In this scenario, XRP price will have to surge significantly to attain a $4 trillion market cap. This means that by then, 1 XRP token will be valued at $68, which is an extremely high target as Ripple would have to surge by over 30 times from its current price.

在这种情况下，XRP价格将不得不大幅提高才能达到4万亿美元的市值。这意味着那时，1 XRP令牌的价值将为68美元，这是一个极高的目标，因为波纹必须从目前的价格开始增长30倍以上。

Considering the above three scenarios, the most realistic one is for XRP to maintain its current market share of 6.8% against Bitcoin and reach $23 by 2030 if Bitcoin reaches $1M per Wood’s estimates.

考虑到以上三种情况，最现实的情况是，如果比特币的估计达到100万美元，则XRP对比特币目前的市场份额为6.8％，到2030年达到23美元。

What Factors Will Drive the XRP Price Rally?

哪些因素将推动XRP价格集会？

Institutional adoption will be the key catalyst for the future growth of XRP price. As Coingape reported, a spot XRP ETF is getting close to approval, and considering that Ripple is the largest USA-made altcoin, this product will draw institutional interest.

机构采用将是XRP价格未来增长的关键催化剂。正如Coingape所报道的那样，XRP ETF的现货正接近批准，并且考虑到Ripple是美国最大的Altcoin，该产品将引起机构利益。

Secondly, the end of the SEC lawsuit will bring in more retail interest in XRP. Currently, only 23% of US investors back Ripple, but with more regulatory clarity, this number will grow and drive an explosive rally for the altcoin.

其次，SEC诉讼的结束将引起XRP的零售利益。目前，只有23％的美国投资者退回了波纹，但是有了更明显的法规清晰度，这个数字将增长并推动Altcoin的爆炸性集会。

Considering the above factors, the price of XRP will easily reach $23 by 2030 if BTC also soars to $1 million per Cathie Wood’s forecast.

考虑到上述因素，如果BTC也飙升至每个Cathie Wood的预测，到2030年，XRP的价格将很容易达到23美元。

Frequently Asked Questions (FAQs)

常见问题（常见问题解答）