比特幣 (BTC) 價格預測：隨著 Delta 梯度轉為負值，比特幣 (BTC) 會跌破 60,000 美元嗎？

如果比特幣的價格走勢與歷史模式相符，那麼它的價格將低於過去幾天的水平。簡而言之，這種預計的下降可能會持續一兩個月。

If Bitcoin’s [BTC] price action follows historical patterns, it could soon drop lower than it has in recent days. This projected decline could last a month or two, according to a recent analysis by AMBCrypto.

如果比特幣的價格走勢遵循歷史模式，它可能很快就會跌至最近幾天的水平。根據 AMBCrypto 最近的分析，這種預計的下降可能會持續一兩個月。

One key metric that aligns with this prediction is the Delta Gradient, which measures the relative change in momentum against the true organic capital of a cryptocurrency. When the gradient is positive, it typically indicates an uptrend, which can last 28 to 60 days.

與此預測相符的關鍵指標是 Delta 梯度，它衡量動量相對於加密貨幣真實有機資本的相對變化。當梯度為正值時，通常表示上升趨勢，可持續 28 至 60 天。

At the time of writing, Bitcoin’s downtrend was -2.34, indicating a negative reading. This suggests that the price may continue to experience a downtrend, which could last a similar duration.

截至撰寫本文時，比特幣的下跌趨勢為-2.34，表示讀數為負。這表明價格可能會繼續經歷下降趨勢，並持續類似的持續時間。

According to AMBCrypto’s analysis, BTC was trading at $61,062, with a 4.96% decrease in the last seven days. If the Delta Gradient continues to drop, Bitcoin’s price could fall below $60,000, as it did recently.

根據 AMBCrypto 的分析，BTC 交易價格為 61,062 美元，過去 7 天下跌 4.96%。如果 Delta 梯度繼續下降，比特幣的價格可能會跌破 60,000 美元，就像最近一樣。

This analysis also aligns with Bitcoin’s response to the period when the Realized Price rose above the spot value. Additionally, the Network Realized Profit/Loss was examined.

這項分析也與比特幣對實現價格高於現貨價值期間的反應一致。此外，也檢查了網路已實現損益。

This metric showcases the value of transactions that have realized a profit or loss recently. A positive reading of the metric indicates high profit-taking, which could lead to lower prices.

此指標顯示最近實現盈利或虧損的交易價值。此指標的正值表示獲利了結程度較高，這可能導致價格下跌。

However, if the metric is negative, it suggests a surge in realized losses, which, if intense, may indicate an upcoming rise in price.

然而，如果該指標為負，則表示已實現損失激增，如果損失劇烈，可能表示價格即將上漲。

According to the analysis, Bitcoin’s Network Realized Profit/Loss was -1.92 million, indicating that a大部分 of the transactions on-chain ended in losses.

根據分析，比特幣網路已實現盈虧為-192萬，顯示鏈上交易大部分以虧損告終。

Typically, this decline is expected to foreshadow a price increase. However, due to the dwindling activity on Bitcoin’s network, this may not be the case.

通常，這種下降預計預示著價格上漲。然而，由於比特幣網路上的活動減少，情況可能並非如此。

At the time of writing, the 24-hour Active Addresses had dropped to 694,000, down from almost one million a few days ago. Active addresses is a measure of user activity.

截至本文撰寫時，24 小時活躍地址已從幾天前的近 100 萬個降至 694,000 個。活躍地址是用戶活動的衡量標準。

When it decreases, as it has recently, it indicates that market participants are not interacting with BTC at a high level, which could lead to a significant decline in demand for the coin.

當它下降時，就像最近發生的那樣，表明市場參與者沒有與 BTC 進行高水準的互動，這可能會導致對該代幣的需求大幅下降。

Despite this analysis, others, such as analyst Michael van de Poppe, believe that BTC’s correction might be coming to an end, highlighting a good week for the coin.

儘管有這樣的分析，但分析師 Michael van de Poppe 等其他人認為 BTC 的調整可能即將結束，這凸顯了該代幣的美好一周。